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  The U.S. population grew from 152 million in 1950 to 270 million in 2002, a 78% increase. We will have doubled in 57 years.   004745

John F. Kennedy.   "There is, of course, a legitimate argument for some limitation upon immigration. We no longer need settlers for virgin lands, and our economy is expanding more slowly than in the nineteenth and early twentieth century."
  President John F. Kennedy, A Nation of Immigrants 004715

What to Do?
    012493

Road to Ruin: How America is Ravaging the Planet.   U.S. population has risen by 100 million since 1970, and an area three times the size of Britain was recently opened up for mining, drilling, logging and road building. A million new legal migrants are coming into the USA every year and the Census Bureau projection for 2050 is 420 million. The belief that the US is the best country in the world is a cornerstone of national self-belief, and many Americans want others to share it. They also want cheap labor to cut the sugar cane, pluck the chickens, pick the oranges, mow the lawns and make the beds. The population issue is political dynamite and it is potent among the Hispanic community, who will probably decide the future president and do not wish to be told their relatives will not be allowed in or, if illegal, harassed. "Neither party wants to say we should change immigration policy," says John Haaga of the independent Population Reference Bureau. "The phrase being used is 'Hispandering'". Extra Americans are a problem for the world because migrants take on American consumption patterns. It's not the number of people, it's their consumption. The federal government does not include anyone charged with thinking about this issue.      October 24, 2003   Common Dreams 008446

  I have nothing against immigrants. My ancestors were immigrants. My parents were immigrants to California. Some of my friends are immigrants. But there has come a critcal time now that we must say no to growth. While the greatest need is in third world countries, tears come to my eyes when I think of what is happening to the wild areas of California, the favorite haunts of my youth. California is one of the most biologically diverse parts of the world. But not for long. It has become horrifically sprawled out and the miles driven in greenhouse-gas-emitting vehicles has increased even faster than the population while the number of hours spent sitting or creeping along in traffic (and the emissions still spewing out) has increased even faster. I have little faith that our unproven attacks on sprawl will resolve the ever-increasing problem of human overflow in California. Los Angeles, big and bloated, craves more and more water. Economic growth due to population growth will end when our resources run out, but not before the environment is trampled.   May 1999   K. Pitts 004743

William Jefferson Clinton.   "Within five years there will be no majority race in our largest state, California." ... "In a little more than 50 years" ... "there will be no majority race in the United States." ... "The driving force behind our increasing diversity is a new, large wave of immigration. It is changing the face of America." ... "No other nation in history has gone through a change of this magnitude in so short a time." ... "What do the changes mean? They can either strengthen and unite us, or they can weaken and divide us. We must decide... But mark my words, unless we handle this well, immigration of this sweep and scope could threaten the bonds of our union."   Portland State University's Commencement 1998 004716

No New Categories of Immigration Should Be Considered until Overall Green Card Numbers Are Dramatically Reduced.   Testifying at a U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee hearing on S. 424, Roy Beck, CEO of NumbersUSA, said that S. 424 would create a new category of immigration that was numerically unlimited. President Clinton’s Council on Sustainable Development recommended that annual green card numbers be cut low enough to allow the U.S. population to stabilize. Without it, environmental sustainability in the U.S. was seen as impossible with massive U.S. population growth through the massive immigration that Congress was pushing. Another Clinton-era commission, the bi-partisan U.S. Commission on Immigration Reform, chaired by Barbara Jordon, recommended deep cuts in immigration to remove the economic injustice that current immigration numbers impose on the most vulnerable members of our national community. In a time of grave environmental concerns, and 9% unemployment rate, S. 424 is being examined without a concern for either; instead every piece of complex immigration legislation caters to special interest groups. But nearly every new adult permanently added to the U.S. population through immigration legislation would be a potential competitor to unemployed and underemployed American workers. And every new immigrant increases the total U.S. carbon footprint and ecological footprint. In 1972, Americans chose to reduce the U.S. fertility rate to below the replacement level of 2.1. It has been just below that level ever since. However, the last two decades have seen the largest U.S. population boom in our nation’s history and even the annual number of births is setting all-time records. Every time U.S. citizens deal with extra costs, congestion, sprawl or other deterioration in quality of life due to explosive population growth, they can thank one Congress after another that has either raised immigration numbers or maintained the new higher levels. There has been a quadrupling of annual green cards since 1965. Before 1970, there were only 250,000 green cards issued each year. In 2008, 1,107,126 green cards were issued to immigrants. The period from 2000-2007 saw 725,000 illegal foreign workers and dependents. In 2005 there were 1,015,000 annual births to legal and illegal immigrants. To stabilized U.S. population, green card numbers would have to be cut back to that traditional level – between 250,000 and 300,000. This would result in 50 million more people by 2050, instead of the 130 million if we maintain current immigration levels. The Department of Energy has a very ambitious goal of wind producing 20% of electricity demand by 2030, but the population growth resulting from such high immigration levels will add more new electricity demand during that time than all the new wind power added. Immigration-driven U.S. population growth is making the really difficult tasks of meeting carbon goals, energy goals, infrastructure goals and economic goals close to impossible without fundamentally slashing the American standard of living. We should think of our children and grandchildren who will inherit an energy-depleted and resource-depleted planet. The President Clinton’s Council on Sustainable Development said: "As a matter of public debate, immigration is a sensitive and explosive issue, and both legal and illegal immigration must be addressed with great sensitivity and care in order to advance the debate." Bills like S. 424 might work if each of the new green cards created in a bill was accompanied by a “multiple off-set” that not only would make up for the new green cards but would advance the overall reduction goal, but there is no sign of this happening.   June 3, 2009   NumbersUSA website 024031

U.S. Fertility Rate Hits 35-Year High, Stabilizing Population.   The U.S. fertility rate (the average number of babies being born to each woman) increased 2% between 2005 and 2006, to 2.1. The rising fertility rate is unwelcome news to environmentalists, the "replacement rate" is considered desirable because it means a country is producing enough young people to replace and support aging workers without population growth being so high it taxes national resources. Industrialized countries have long had fertility rates below the replacement level, creating labor shortages and loss of cultural identity as the proportion of native-born residents shrinks in relation to immigrant populations. Over the long term you can't have significant continued growth or continued decline, neither is sustainable. Experts cite a complex mix of factors, including lower levels of birth control use, religious values that encourage childbearing, social conditions that make it easier for women to work and have families, and a growing Hispanic population. The rate dipped below replacement level in 1972 and hit a low of 1.7 in 1976, but it started rising again in the late 1970s. The population rose steadily nevertheless, however, due to, in part, immigration. The fertility rate finally surpassed the replacement threshold again in 2006. Teenagers may have had some impact, but the birthrate went up for every group, including women in their 20s. Some of the increase is explained by immigration. Foreign-born Hispanics have the highest fertility rate 2.9 (2.1), Asians (1.9) and whites (1.86). For developed countries, a replacement-level fertility rate is considered vital for supplying new workers to pay into the system to support retirees. If you're talking about replacing the births with migrants, that would lead to fundamental societal change for the receiving country. But not everyone sees growth as encouraging, given that the US remains a leading consumer of scarce natural resources. The world is consuming resources faster than the Earth can sustain over the longer term, forests are shrinking, fisheries are collapsing, water tables are falling. Large parts of the world's grasslands are deteriorating. The U.S. is already disproportionately responsible for that because of our very high consumption levels.   Karen Gaia says: contrary to what many people think, in a world of dwindling per capita resources, replacement rate is too high. Each offspring and/or new worker will use an additional share of the world's resources, leaving less and less for everyone, including retirees. It is time to stop thinking of growing the money supply, which only leads to inflation, and to start thinking about conservation of resources, which means reversing population growth, at least until there is a balance between the number of people and resources.   December 21, 2007   Washington Post 022657

Retreat on Population.   The most remarkable and deep-rooted shift is about explosive human population growth, which was central in the 1960s and 1970s, but today is kicked into the corner and shunned. This is a tectonic change. In today's world, population numbers and growth are overlooked as the cause of ecological and social problems. For example, some environmentalists in the US have seized on sprawl as a leading cause of habitat loss. But do they mention that a driving factor behind sprawl is population growth. The US is the only developed country with ?third-world population growth rates, and our growth is driven by immigration. But those who should understand that there are limits to growth overlooked this benchmark. And now, as legislation on immigration is being thrashed out in the US, conservationists and environmentalists are nowhere to be seen. Lost in the immigration debate is any mention of population growth and its impact. If conservationists are going to protect Nature, we must ponder why we've retreated on population. Why the Retreat? (1) Dropping Fertility; (2) Anti-Abortion Politics; (3) Emergence of Women's Issues as Priority Concern. (4) Rift Between Conservationists and New-Left Roots (5) Immigration Becomes Chief Growth Factor. The general perception among the public and even environmentalists that Paul Ehrlich was wrong and Julian Simon was right. By 1973, the fertility rate had fallen to replacement level and people in the US and other rich countries believed the population problem was over. The Catholic Church rejected the problem of population growth because of their twisted dogma against contraception. By the UN population conference in 1994, a shift had been made from a concern about population growth to a campaign for the empowerment of women. In the 1960s, immigration was an almost insignificant fraction of growth. As American fertility fell to a level that would have allowed population stabilization within decades, immigration levels were rising rapidly. By the end of the 1990s, immigrants and their offspring were contributing nearly 70% of U.S. population Given present realities. Why do we want our children to face an America of 400 million people? Because immigration is the main cause of population growth in the US, the mob mentality of political correctness prevents any calm, rational discussion of population issues in this country. As some of the environmental and conservation funding community was taken over by social activists, foundations increasingly tended not to fund groups that discussed immigration. Why have society at large and the environmental and conservation movements retreated from forthright concern and action over population growth? Our desire to reproduce and our compulsion to defend our offspring are evolutionarily essential.   July 01, 2007   The Rewilding Institute 021474

U.S.;: The Next 100 Million and the Face of America.   There will be 400 million Americans in 2043, climbing to 420 million by midcentury. Non-Hispanic whites will have dwindled from 69% to 50.1%. Hispanics will reach 24%, Asians to 8%, African-Americans 14%. The US will be a "majority of minorities." America could, as many voters and their elected officials now demand, clamp down on immigration. The high teen pregnancy rate could drop. Scientific advances could extend longevity. Americans are expected to continue to gravitate west and south. The great American midsection will continue to empty. If these regional shifts continue, membership in the US House of Representatives would change. It may shift the current alignment of "red" states and "blue" states. An increasing Hispanic population could affect the political balance. At the same time, the population will become older. The impact of the aging baby-boom generation will be felt on Social Security and Medicare. It could also have political impact. Americans will marry later in life, and more of them will live alone. Experts believe that expansion to meet the housing and other community needs of a growing population is likely to remain concentrated in suburbs and exurbs. Annual US population growth of nearly 3 million contributes to the water shortages that are a serious concern in the West and many areas in the East. Water tables are falling throughout most of the Great Plains and in the Southwest. Some lakes are disappearing and rivers are running dry. Scarcely a day goes by in the western United States without another farmer or an entire irrigation district selling their water rights to cities. Concern about a growing populace and decreasing resources is likely to push governments toward conservation. Nineteen states and the District of Columbia now have standards that require electric utilities to use more renewable sources. The Chinese government released its first report that measures economic growth plus the environmental consequences. Other governments and financial intuitions are being pushed in the same direction. US portfolio managers in charge of $30 trillion in assets demand carbon disclosures of all the companies in their portfolios. By mid-century, cars will be getting 100 m.p.g. if they're still using gasoline instead of fuel cells. Cities and towns will get more compact as suburbs end up being too costly and inefficient. Meanwhile, the US population gains about 8,000 every day. This growth rate is expected to decline a bit by mid-century but by then the numbers will have increased to some 420 million. If Congress ducks the issue of immigration reform, our population is projected to still continue its rapid growth. As the racial and ethnic mix shifts, public attitudes are likely to change. We'll have much more tolerance for people of other backgrounds, cultures and languages, points of view, and religious and belief systems. There will be a lot more Americans.   October 10, 2006   Christian Science Monitor 018955

In Feb 1996, President Clinton's Council on Sustainable Development - Population & Consumption Task Force wrote, "This is a sensitive issue, but reducing immigration levels is a necessary part of population stabilization and the drive toward sustainability."
017775


The Politics of Birth: Demographic Shifts Create Challenges Politicians Can't Ignore.   The US birthrate hovers at the replacement level 2.2 births per woman. In other developed nations, too few babies are born to maintain current populations. These trends give rise to long-range problems for politicians, who typically show only short-term vision. The US population is boosted by immigration and the higher birthrates among immigrant women, also by a fertility rate of 1.7 children among college-educated, non-Hispanic white women. The aging of America will put a strain on the federal budget. Only 12% of the U.S. population is 65 or older, yet the cost of their health care is higher than anywhere else in the world. The Budget Office projects a rise from 4.3% of GDP in 2000 to 11.5% percent in 2030 and 21% in 2050. America's problems pale alongside those of Western Europe, where low birthrates threaten benefits for the elderly as well as economic stability. The European Union has 15 million Muslims with a birth rate three times that of non-Muslims. If present trends continue, by 2015 Europe's Muslim population will double while the non-Muslim population will shrink by 3.5%. That has political implications for global politics, particularly on issues involving the Middle East.      March 16, 2006   Charlotte Observer 016814

As Many as 12 Million Live in U.S. Illegally.   The number of illegal immigrants in the US has grown to 12 million, and account for one in every 20 workers. People who illegally enter the US from Mexico are staying longer because it is harder to move across the border. It is estimated that 850,000 illegal immigrants have arrived in US each year since 2000. The Senate is trying to address border security and the temporary worker program, but consensus has been elusive. Business leaders and advocates for immigrants' rights argue that America's economy would collapse if all the illegal workers were deported. The Center for Immigration Studies called the government's crackdown halfhearted and very few businesses are fined for hiring illegal immigrants. There would be plenty of Americans willing to accept jobs done by illegal immigrants if they paid adequate wages and benefits. There are about 7.2 million undocumented workers in the U.S., or about 5% of the country's work force. It is estimated that illegal immigrants fill 25% of agricultural jobs, 17% of office and house cleaning positions, 14% of construction jobs and 12% in food preparation. Mexicans make up 56% of illegal immigrants, 22% come from other Latin American countries, 13% are from Asia, and Europe and Canada 6%. Researchers estimated that N. Carolina spent $61 million more than it collected in taxes to provide Hispanics with services in 2004, an average of $102 for each of the 600,913 Hispanics that live in the state, of which nearly half is illegal. Total taxes paid by Hispanics, including sales, property and personal income tax tallied $756 million. But the state spent $817 million on the following 27.5% of the state's population growth from 1990 to 2004 and 57% of public school enrollment growth in the past five years. Hispanics make up 7% of the state's population, up from 1.1% in 1990.   We simply cannot accomodate the world's excess population. If we feel bad about the inequality of wealth, we should be helping people in other countries live better lives - in their own country - and have fewer children.   March 2005   Charlotte Observer 016710

Bioregionalism   Any region whose biodiversity or sustainability is threatened by population pressures is neglectful if it does not find a way to stop growth.   April 30, 2004   Karen Gaia Pitts 010419

Myths, Truths and Half-truths About Human Population Growth and the Environment   To ignore population growth as a central issue is to deny reality. Population and immigration are closely tied. Without post-1990 immigration, the U.S. population would be 310 million in 2050; with immigration, it could be 438 million. The population could double by 2100, with two-thirds attributed to immigration. With U.S. population growing by three million a year, we lose two acres of farmland every minute. Traffic congestion costs $78 billion a year. A serious water shortage is developing with aquifers drying up. At the present rate of population growth, the U.S. won't be exporting any food in 2025. Most of the western US could experience a 40% to 76% drop in precipitation because of climate change. From 6.3 billion people on the planet today, the UN projects 8.9 billion in 2050. If fertility remains constant the world population could double by 2050, to 12.8 billion. We need a new understanding of the effects of population growth.

MYTH -- World population is shrinking. There is a population shortfall trend in Western Europe, Russia and Japan, but the problem today is not under-population - it is the rapid population increase in the least-developed countries. The population of the industrialized regions grows at an annual rate of 0.25% compared 1.46% in the less-developed countries. We are adding 77 million people to the globe annually, 21% from India, 12% from China and 5% from Pakistan. Population grows in the U.S., despite a near zero-growth fertility rate of 2.05 in 2002, because of the impact of immigrants and their descendants who have large families. American population is therefore growing as fast as in some of the Third World countries. The population in 30 developed countries excluding the U.S. will not grow much at all through 2050, but in the U.S. and the Third World it will rise steadily, to 7.7 billion.

HALF-TRUTH --- Sprawl and the decline in open space are caused by bad development policies and the automobile. America now has more automobiles than drivers, and the auto industry has been influencing development. Cheap mortgages made suburbia possible and each subdivision claims open space. The rush to the suburbs was spurred by urban riots of the 1960s, but population growth is a cause that gets ignored when sprawl is discussed. The U.S. had 150 million people when the suburbs were new. Only 50 years later, we had 275 million. Each year we build over an area the size of Delaware, including 400,000 acres of arable land. But we can't solve the sprawl problem by moving people to high-density cities. Cities use the resources of an area many times their size. Immigration exacerbates sprawl because it is a primary contributor to population growth. Immigration was responsible for 98% of California's population. But half the immigrants live in suburbs, and 24% settle in central cities. States that grew in population by more than 30% from 1982 to 1997 sprawled 46% percent. States that grew by 10% sprawled 26%. We lose 1,600 acres of land for every 10,000 people added.

There is a solid basis for the argument that the cause for this is high western consumption rates and waste. Americans comprise 5% of the world's population, but in 1996 used nearly a third of its resources and produced half of its hazardous waste. Reducing our sky-high consumption rates would be a help. Unfortunately, reducing consumption is difficult to achieve on a national basis, and international momentum is toward emulating American levels. Developing countries want cars, televisions and signs of western prosperity. China, which is encouraging car ownership, will surpass the U.S. as a global warming gas emitter by 2015. The UN's panel on climate change projects that by 2025 developing countries could be emitting four times as much carbon dioxide (CO2) as they do today. Betsy Hartmann, of the Committee on Women, Population and the Environment (CWPE), claims population control is anti-women. Her group, CWPE rejects the notion that population size and growth are responsible for environmental degradation. Family planning she claims is about human rights and women's health'not population control. She concludes that voluntary programs are oppressive to women. But there is considerable evidence that women are primary victims of overpopulation and they started the family planning movement, and buy almost all the contraception in the world. Women want to control their lives. Women who have power tend to use family planning more frequently than in countries where they are powerless. Iran's effort to make birth control available has cut the growth rate in half. Hartmann has attacked anti-immigrant and anti-population growth in the U.S.

HALF-TRUTH --- Education will reduce fertility rates. Education does produce smaller families, but there are exceptions. Tanzania had 90% female literacy by the 1990s, but in 2002 each family had an average of 5.3 children. Lack of knowledge was the reason for not using birth control in a Kenyan survey. Soap operas presenting birth control in a positive light led to increased contraceptive use in India, Kenya and Mexico. Cultural beliefs are not altered by education and they play a big part in attitudes toward birth control. Family planning is embraced in Iran, and in the Catholic countries of Europe, but some religious denominations continue to be against family planning.

HALF-TRUTH --- Population growth does not lead to hunger and starvation, it's a distribution problem. The world currently produces enough food and uneven distribution produces hunger, but the long-term outlook is ominous. The growth in agriculture has slowed since the 1960s, crops approach their maximum yield, arable land is lost and global fisheries crash. In Haiti population growth has led to a human rights crisis. Nearly 70% of Haitians depend on subsistence agriculture in one of the most devastated environments where only 30% of the land is suitable for cultivation. A share of poverty is traceable to population growth and limited soils and clean water. Haiti has the fourth most undernourished people on Earth, only 40% of its eight million have access to fresh water. Haiti has a population and political problem. International aid groups cannot compensate for a devastated environment supporting too many people. A billion people are likely to be added to the Indian subcontinent in the next 50 years, at the same time the region faces a huge freshwater crisis. Pakistan is likely to double its population, to 332 million, by 2050.

MYTH --- Contraceptive use is accepted, and U.S. aid is increasing availability. The growth in the developing world will depend on women's access to education and health care. In Kenya, where the Catholic Church has led public condom burnings, there is 90% access to contraceptives but only a third of the population is using them. The UN defined access to reproductive health services as a human right. Unfortunately, although 60% percent of women worldwide use contraception, only 10% in sub-Saharan Africa do. The current "unmet need" for contraception averages 70% in Asia and Latin America. Around the world, 123 million women do not have adequate access to family planning. The Bush administration has cut funding for family planning aid although family planning availability tends to reduce abortions.

QUANDARY --- Population growth can only be addressed globally and it's selfish to worry about immigration levels in the U.S. Population growth needs global solutions, but these are in short supply. Population policy is set on the national level, and is at the whim of cultural and religious norms. Americans must address the full consequences of high immigration numbers. High emigration may allow countries to continue with high fertility rates. Immigrants adopt the high consumption patterns of their host country, putting larger strains on natural resources. The housing consumption of immigrants will rise substantially in the next 15 years. Per-capita energy consumption barely rose between 1970 and 1990 but total U.S. energy use rose 36 percent'because of the immigration-driven U.S. population.

FALSE --- Calls to reduce immigration are racist. Immigrants have always been the scapegoats, and fear of being lumped in with racist groups has led many mainstream environmental organizations to avoid the population immigration issue. But population growth is a root cause of environmental degradation, and the U.S. population would hardly be growing at all were it not for immigration. The ethnicity and race doesn't matter - it's the numbers. In Los Angeles native-born black janitors in the hotel industry have been replaced by laborers from Mexico and El Salvador and pay dropped from $12 an hour to $3.35 an hour. Immigration hurts first and worst - our own poor. Some of immigration's biggest supporters are business leaders who want to keep wages low. A tight American labor market would benefit everyone all over the world, because wages would rise in the U.S. and jobs now here would be exported to countries, including India, Mexico and Vietnam, that need to put people to work. If we don't soon get a handle on this critical issue it may be too late, for the planet and for ourselves.      January 2004   E Magazine 009532

William Jefferson Clinton.   "Within five years there will be no majority race in our largest state, California." ... "In a little more than 50 years" ... "there will be no majority race in the United States." ... "The driving force behind our increasing diversity is a new, large wave of immigration. It is changing the face of America." ... "No other nation in history has gone through a change of this magnitude in so short a time." ... "What do the changes mean? They can either strengthen and unite us, or they can weaken and divide us. We must decide... But mark my words, unless we handle this well, immigration of this sweep and scope could threaten the bonds of our union."   Portland State University's Commencement 1998 004716

What Drives U.S. Population Growth?.   Between 1990 and 2000, 33 million people were added to the U.S. population, 40% from immigration. 67% of future U.S. population growth will be due to immigrants and their progeny. Differential mortality and fertility rates between Canada and the U.S. can be attributed to the Canadian health care system as folks are more likely to seek treatment in that country than they are in the U.S. The Canadian government prevents drug company price-gouging, so more women in Canada are likely to be using the Pill which costs half as much as in the U.S. and is used much more often in that nation. The U.S. will add 140 million people by 2050. The fertility rate in the U.S. was higher than that of 70 other countries, including China, Korea, Thailand, Iran, Cuba, Singapore, and Sri Lanka. The population of illegal immigrants is larger than the population of many states. In 1980, the Select Commission on Immigration and Refugee Policy proposed a cap on immigrants of 425,000 per year. Some conservative senators thought the numbers were too high and opposed an amnesty for illegal immigrants. In 1986, an amnesty was passed without a cap on legal immigrants. Legal immigration is over twice the level called for in the above-cited amendment. Population growth makes other environmental problems harder to solve. 33 million more people requires over 12 million housing units, 15.8 million more passenger cars that will consume about 825 million barrels of oil a year, all of the recoverable oil in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) in less than four years. Over 75 million acres of forest will be needed to supply 33 million people with paper and wood, an area larger than that protected under the forest conservation rule.      December 23, 2002   Patrick Burns 005835

Fertile Ground: a U.S. Population Policy Would Set An Example for the World.   Above-replacement fertility of native-born women in the U.S. dropped to below-replacement level from 1972 onward. However, the 1965 immigration law changes ushered in a new source of growth. Post-1970 immigrants and their descendants account for half the 70 million population increase in the past 30 years. Florida demographer Leon Bouvier has calculated that absent post-1970 immigration, U.S. population would be peaking around 250 million by the year 2040, then declining. Unchecked, our 1% annual growth rate will lead to a half-billion Americans by mid-21st century.   July 19, 1999   B. Meredith Burke - Ft. LauderdaleSun-Sentinel 004742

Interview with Ralph Nader.     Question from Battista: "What would you do about the influx of illegal aliens?" Nader answers: "The employers who want illegal aliens to come so they can exploit them at cheap wages and not have to pay any benefits because the workers can't object, they're illegal, we have to enforce the law against these employers, No. 1. ... No. 2, if we had a more decent foreign policy toward Mexico and Central Mexico where we sided with the peasants and the workers once in a while instead of the oligarchs and corrupt government, there wouldn't be such a desperate economic condition for these desperate people to move north and expose their entire lives to crossing the border like that. And third, I don't think this country should be engaged in a brain drain of highly talented scientists and computer specialists from Third World country that desperately need them in order to bring them here instead of paying American specialists an adequate wage. And that's what's called the high-brow part of the immigration issue. We are hogging too much talent from other countries where these countries and their peoples need their entrepreneurial, their scientific and their technical talents. So we need to pay attention to that."   July 06, 2000   Talk Back Live 004802

  The U.S. population grew from 152 million in 1950 to 270 million in 2002, a 78% increase. We will have doubled in 57 years.   004745

  "It's time to stop running this Pyramid Scheme whereby we grow the population to grow the economy. It's insanity"   November 1999   LB 004744

David Brower Resigns from the Sierra Club Board.   via a statement in the SF Chronicle, which states that Brower "chastised the Club's leadership for refusing to take a stand on US immigration issues." ... " 'Overpopulation is perhaps the biggest problem facing us, and immigration is part of that problem', Brower said. 'It has to be addressed.' " May 19, 2000   San Francisco Chronicle 004718

Former Democratic Senator Gaylord Nelson.  
We have to address the population issue. The United Nations, with the U.S. supporting it, took the position in Cairo in 1994 that every country was responsible for stabilizing its own population. It can be done. But in this country, it's phony to say "I'm for the environment but not for limiting immigration." It's just a fact that we can't take all the people who want to come here. And you don't have to be a racist to realize that. However, the subject has been driven out of public discussion because everybody is afraid of being called racist if they say they want any limits on immigration. Gaylord Nelson, founder of Earth Day 004717

John F. Kennedy.   "There is, of course, a legitimate argument for some limitation upon immigration. We no longer need settlers for virgin lands, and our economy is expanding more slowly than in the nineteenth and early twentieth century."
  President John F. Kennedy, A Nation of Immigrants 004715

The Numbers


300 Million ... and Counting; If You're Like Many People, That's a Hard Number to Comprehend, but You Might Want to Get Used to That Figure. Later This Year, the U.S. Population Will Reach That Mark..   The U.S. Census Bureau expects the population to hit the 300-million mark in October. In the last five years, about 58% of growth has come from natural increase while 42% is because of immigration. The natural increase in California last year outpaced immigration, with 64% of growth because of births outweighing deaths and 36% because of immigration. Some lament the strain on natural resources and the toll the growing population exacts on the environment, but many can't make an accurate guess when asked how many people live in the US. People have a hard time relating to numbers because they think it doesn't affect their lives. If anything, reaching the 300 million people benchmark is a time to look at overpopulation and how it may affect the quality of our lives. Are we going to have enough schools, are classes going to be too crowded, what services will be available? Are our communities going to be safe and healthy? Will there be enough parks and open space? The problems are already here and they're going to get worse. Countries with little growth or even population declines are at the opposite end of the spectrum, asking, 'What are we going to do with a declining working age population and growing aging population?' U.S. population growth doesn't take into account the indirect result of immigration. In 2003, 24% of U.S. women who gave birth were foreign-born and 46% of California women who gave birth were foreign-born. If not for immigration, the U.S. population would not be growing very fast, but we also would be a lot older. We're younger because immigrants are young, working-age adults for the most part and are in their prime child-bearing years. The envıronmental organization Sierra Club laments the stress population growth places on the environment, but believes the focus should be on human rights. Ensuring people have access to reproductive health care, education and equal economic opportunities is directly linked to the planet's health. When every individual has access to basic human rights, they choose to have smaller and healthier families. The average person doesn't really care about the number of people living in the United States.   In a few years, when it is too late, people will be very concerned about the population growth as it directly affects their way of life.   January 29, 2006   Sacramento Bee 016314

Immigration, Population and the Environment.   In October 2006, the US passed the 300 million population milestone. Media coverage was oddly celebratory. Sadly, environmental groups were virtually silent on this day, which marked a doubling of the country's population in only 55 years. The environmental establishment had largely abandoned concerns about US population growth more than two decades ago. Some such as the Sierra Club, shifted their focus to address global population issues exclusively. The environmental establishment appears to view continued US population growth as irrelevant. Sprawl? Fight it with smart growth. Rising energy consumption? Promote energy conservation/efficiency and the development of alternative energy. Both sprawl and growing energy consumption are directly attributable to our rapidly growing population. Population growth is responsible for over half of the loss of national rural lands to new development, two million acres annually. The higher the population growth, the greater the sprawl. In the absence of population growth, smart growth policies would be much more successful and encounter less opposition. Around 87% of US growth in energy consumption and carbon-dioxide emissions is linked to the rising number of energy consumers, US population growth, and only 13% with increasing per-capita energy use. If it were not for an increase in population, energy consumption would have declined. US emissions from fossil-fuel combustion grew by almost 13% during the 1990s. US population accounted for all of the increase. US greenhouse gas emissions are projected to increase by approximately 40% between 2000 and 2020 - driven by population growth. The U.S. is the only country with massive population, massive growth, and massive per-capita consumption. If the U.S. adds another 100 million residents, any gains in reducing per-capita consumption, promoting smart growth, or better managing water resources are likely to be negated. America's ballooning population, unique in the developed world, is driven by high immigration numbers, which, combined with recent immigrants' higher fertility rates, is responsible for 70% to 80% of the 3 million people added to the population annually. While native-born fertility has been at or below replacement level since the early 1970s, immigration numbers have more than quadrupled, even without considering illegal immigration. If they had remained at the pre-1970 average, US population would be peaking in the next 15 years at approximately 250 million. Whereas, under the guest-worker bill passed by the Senate last year, the number of legal, permanent immigrants would double to more than two million per year, putting the United States on track to reach a population of 500 million by around 2050, and of one billion by 2100. The framers of the Immigration Act had a stated goal of increasing overall growth and consumption, and a less open one of holding down wages. Thus, higher consumption is not an aftereffect of today's immigration policy; it is its intention. A sustainable immigration policy would match immigration with emigration, at a level of about 250,000 people a year. This figure represents the country's historical average. As a result of significantly lower future numbers, most labor economists believe individual immigrants in this country would be better off in terms of higher wages/benefits/availability of jobs and education, and face less resistance from the communities they enter. The country needs a population policy, guided by critical thinking and analysis. This policy should include efforts to reduce the rate of unintended pregnancies in the United States (which are the highest in the developed world). It is time for the environmental establishment to take off their blinders regarding US population growth, and take the lead in forging a more sustainable demographic future for our country. Our human health and welfare, and the fate of wild nature, depend on our tackling root causes, not merely symptoms, of environmental problems.   Ralph says: Hurrah!!! At last here is someone who is not afraid to tell the truth. Should be on the front page of every newspaper. Karen Gaia says: one thing that is not true in this article: The Sierra Club does pay attention to U.S. population and fertility reduction.   September 06, 2007   Environmental Grantmakers Journal 021892

U.N. Population Division: Population Challenges and Development Goals.   World population passed 6 billion at the end of 1999 and was 6.5 billion by 2005. It is growing at 1.2% annually. The increase to 7.0 billion is expected to take 13 years and 9.1 billion by 2050, contingent on access to family planning and arresting the spread of HIV. In Europe, populations are projected to decline, as fertility levels are expected to remain below replacement. Six countries account for nearly half of increment in population. India 22%; China 11%; and Pakistan, Nigeria, the USA and Bangladesh 4% each. The growth of the US represents 4% of world population with about 40% of this the result of international migration. The world population growth rate has fallen from 2% per year in the 1960s to 1.2% today. In contrast, the Russian Federation is expected to experience the largest decline, about 35 million; Ukraine, Japan and Italy follow, with decreases of 23 million, 15 million and 7 million, respectively. The world's proportion of urban population is projected to reach 61% in 2030. Urbanization is advanced in the more developed regions, where 75% of the population lived in urban areas in 2005. Fertility has declined in all areas of the world. In 2000-2005, 84 countries or areas exhibited fertility levels at or below replacement level. Forty-two countries have fertility levels at or above five children per woman in 2000-2005. Some 13 countries exhibit sustained high fertility and presents serious challenges to the future development of those countries. Contraceptive prevalence increased from 5% in 1990 to 59% 1995, and to an estimated 63% in 2000. The fastest increases were in Africa and Latin America and the Caribbean. Follow the link for additional detailed information regarding population levels.   Karen Gaia says: 40% of the U.S. population growth is due to immigration and another (approximately) 25% is due to births to those immigrants. Migration means a population gain in one place and a loss to some other place; therefore about 65% of the population gain in the U.S. should not be counted unless you want to count their impact on the earth, which is magnified when they move to the U.S.   November 24, 2006   United Nations 019173

US Idaho;: A Nation in Full.   America has grown since 1790, when there were fewer than 4 million. Since 2000 alone, the nation has added some 20 million people. Three trends emerge, migration, immigration, and the boomers, many now near retirement. As population shifts, redistricting will follow, and older Americans will also have a profound effect on government. The 1970 census reported that Idaho's main problem is growth and how to manage it. The challenge for city planners is to find enough room, housing, and jobs for more than double-or triple-Boise's metropolitan area population. For four decades, the South and West have been America's fastest-growing areas. California's cities provide the majority of new Boise residents. That has led to lengthy discussion about land use and economic development. In Fort Wayne the school is 13% Hispanic with the number of students taking classes in English as a second language increasing. Immigration growth is transforming the city. An estimated 12 million undocumented immigrants now live in America. The US is growing older. The median age is 36.5 and is expected to rise to 39 by 2030 before leveling off. Wilmington, on the Cape Fear coast, has become a magnet for retirees, its pre-elderly population-ages 55 to 64-jumped 52%, the seventh-fastest rate for any city in America. Prof. William Hall, senior economist at the Center for Business and Economics Services at UNCW, estimates that retirees generate $2 for every $1 they spend. By around 2043, the nation's population is expected to reach 400 million. The South and West will be home to roughly two thirds of the country's population. The impact of births by new immigrants will be a larger force than immigrants crossing the border. Whites could make up just about half of the population, the black population could grow 50%, and the Hispanic and Asian populations more than double. The over-65 population is expected to double to 71.5 million. Social Security and Medicare are headed for trouble.   September 26, 2006   US News & World Report 018827

U.S.;: 300,000,000; a Nation Takes Stock as Population Milestone Approaches;.   American population is growing by nearly 1% annually. But a big reason the U.S. population is growing is immigration. There were fewer than 10 million foreign-born people here in 1967, compared with 36 million today. America is becoming increasingly diverse, due to Hispanic immigrants. The nation's minority population is 98 million, one-third of the total. Hispanics were the largest minority group with 42.7 million people. Hispanics accounted for nearly half the U.S. population growth of 2.8 million people. The 300 million figure may seem distant until you drive between Spokane and Coeur d'Alene and realize much of it wasn't here 20 years ago. A child born in the U.S. consumes 300 times more of the world's resources as a child born in a nation like Chad. America's thirst for cheap oil, has driven the global economy since the mid-1800s. Now, We have really tapped the easy sources for light sweet crude. As oil reserves are depleted, the economies of China and India are competing with us for the same reserves. At the same time, as increasing the number of coal-fired power plants as China is doing and Texas is attempting will only aggravate carbon dioxide emissions. There is stronger evidence that most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities.   October 01, 2006   Spokesman Review (US) 018885

U.S.;: 300 Million Reasons to Worry?.   According to census projections, the U.S. population has reached 300 million and will climb to 420 million by 2050. This is a sign of either impending calamity or enduring vitality. Aging and immigration are vexing. By 2030 the 65-and-over population will be about 20% of the total. That will involve costs for Social Security and Medicare. Meanwhile, annual immigration will be about 1 million. That will transform the nation's profile and could reshape its politics and culture. By 2050 Hispanic Americans will be almost 25% of the total. Asian Americans will be 8% by 2050, while non-Hispanic whites will drop from 69 to 50%. Blacks will stay around 14%. Already about half of the last 100 million Americans are immigrants and their U.S.-born children. But our character and culture are powerful and resilient. From 1950 to 1970, two-thirds of metropolitan growth occurred in suburbs. Since 1970, 84% of U.S. population growth has occurred in the South and the West. We change and adapt, even while bedrock principles and attitudes endure. But population growth has raised two serious concerns. One is that we are creating overcongested communities that will demand energy and water that won't be there or only at an exorbitant price. Population growth will cause an economic and social backlash. But maybe people will return to Cleveland and Milwaukee, where water is plentiful and housing prices are low. Still, population growth shows why curbing energy use and greenhouse gases is so hard. Simply to keep total energy demand steady would require each American to make deep cuts in energy use. Up to a point, America's willingness to accept immigrants is a sign of confidence. But our careless approach to immigration is creating social problems. Many Hispanic immigrants have average weekly wages are only two-thirds of the average. The predominance of poor workers frustrates assimilation. This makes immigration seem threatening to millions of Americans. Paying the retirement benefits of baby boomers could require federal tax increases of 30%/50%. A growing part of the labor force will consist of Hispanic and Asian Americans. And they may wonder why they should pay so much to support somebody else's wealthier parents. The politics could get ugly. So if population growth backfires, we will have only ourselves to blame.   Karen Gaia says: If the entire population growth of the US were to go to Cleveland and Milwaukee ... would you want to live there?   October 04, 2006   Washington Post 018893

The United States at 300 Million.   The US is set to become the third country after China and India to have 300 million people. Within another 37 years, we are projected to pass 400 million. Natural increase drives nearly 60% population growth annually. International immigration accounts for about 40%. One of the most significant trends has been the shift of the population west and south. Between 1970 and 2000, the population share in the South and West rose from 48% to 58%. People are moving farther from central cities and their inner suburbs, pushing into woodlands and farmland. The percent of the total population living in the suburbs of metropolitan areas grew from 38% to 50% between 1970 and 2000, while those living in central cities stayed at around 30%. People are concerned about crowding. One-person households are more than twice as common as those of five people or more at more than 26% of the total. Young adults are moving out on their own. Older people who are divorced or widowed often choose to live alone. Many forces underlie these changes. The age at first marriage has risen from 23 to 27 for men and from 21 to 26 for women. Increasing levels of women's education give women more options for independence outside marriage. Children are moving back home after college. Saddled with school loans, many overcome any reservations they might have had to returning to the nest. Between 1970 and 2004, the share of women in the labor force rose from 43% to 59%. The array of occupations include far more than the traditional options. Economic forces exerted pressure on families until it was hard for one-income families to get by. Experts believe the current Social Security system will not be able to cover the payments promised to retirees after 2030. Of Americans ages 25 and older the share who finished high school soared from 55% to 85% between 1970 and 2004. Now more applicants are expected to have a college degree. The number of foreign-born people in the US has reached more than 35 million. But at 12% of the population, the share is lower than it was between 1860 and 1920, when it ranged to 15%. The largest share of immigrants to the US still comes from Latin America, and from Mexico in particular. Many are not authorized to be here. Recent estimates peg the number of unauthorized migrants at 11.5 million, with more than one-half from Mexico. Immigrants are fueling the growth in the number of ethnic minorities. One-fifth of all children under age 18 are either foreign-born or in a family where at least one parent was foreign-born. Today, almost half of all children under age 5 are members of a racial or ethnic minority. And if current trends persist, that share will increase. These trends could have an impact on the US. Since 1974, the under age 18 have been more likely to live below the poverty line than other age groups. In 2005, 18% of the young lived in poverty, compared with 10% of people 65 and over and 11% ages 18 to 64. Members of racial or ethnic minorities are more likely to live in poverty, with blacks the most likely 34%, Hispanics 28% and whites 14%. If we don't address these age and race differences in poverty and well-being, today's children may be less able or willing to support the predominantly white when they reach adulthood.   October 03, 2006   018869

USA Counts Down to a Milestone. Best Guess is to Mark Calendar for October.   The Census Bureau's say that in October the USA's population will hit 300 million. Population change includes returning military or civilians, but in trying to pinpoint when the population reaches 300 million, what matters are births, deaths and immigration. More than 11,000 babies are born a day, and since the 1990s, more than 2,870 immigrants a day enter the USA. The probability is at least 3-to-1, that it is a baby, not an immigrant. The mother would be "a white, non-Hispanic woman living in the South, about 28 years old." Peter Morrison, a demographer with the non-profit RAND Corp., agrees on the ethnicity. The Brookings Institution, say calculations project that the 300 millionth American will be the child of Mexican-born bilingual immigrants. The majority of births are to white non-Hispanics. Hispanics account for less than one-quarter of births. It is suggested the baby will be the firstborn of a working mother in her first marriage. There's a 50-50 chance she will be a college graduate but less than a 50% chance the father will be.   Karen Gaia says: the Brookings Institute is probably right in saying about half the growth in the U.S. is by Hispanics. However, this figure is looking at deaths as well as births and net migration. The births are to both natives and non-natives. On the other hand, to estimate who the 300 million person arriving or being born in the U.S., one does not include deaths. Also, counting Hispanics is not exactly scientific - many of them are native born Americans. This article compares apples to oranges, and example of sloppy journalism.   August 01, 2006   USA TODAY 018279

Without Fanfare, America Nears 300 Million Milestone.   The population of the United States will hit 300 million in mid- or late October. Unlike the commemorations of the 200 million mark, critics of rapid growth will question whether America can remain prosperous while growing at 1 million new residents every 127 days. Others will argue that the 300 millionth American will be an illegal immigrant. The only official recognition planned so far is a press briefing by federal demographic experts. The pressures associated with population growth are dominating our public discussion with issues like traffic congestion, school overcrowding, loss of open spaces and increases in municipal taxes. It's not surprising no one is celebrating. Foremost among the Bush administration's fears are concerns it will fuel renewed anger over federal immigration and border-security. Immigrants accounted for 40% population growth in recent years, and half entered the US illegally. Because of immigration, we are growing about 1% every year. That has impact on sprawl, the environment and congestion. Do we want to be a country of 500 million people? That is where we are headed. During the last five years, we've been averaging 1.5 million immigrants each year, from both legal and illegal immigration. There is an 8-in-10 chance that the 300 millionth person will either be an immigrant or the newborn child of an immigrant. Experts say immigration isn't quite that dominant in recent growth. There's a 49% chance that 300 millionth person will be Hispanic. Only 18% of recent population growth has been among non-Hispanic white people, while blacks account for 14%, Asians 14% and American Indians 4%. About 1% of the recent population growth has been among people of mixed racial background. In 1967, the population of the U.S. reached 200 million, which was celebrated by the birth of the 200 millionth citizen. When the population reaches 300 million, immigration opponents may try to commemorate the moment by seeking to identify someone who illegally crosses the U.S-Mexican border at about the time the milestone is reached, joked Census Director Louis Kincannon. Since we were at 200 million the nation's profile has dramatically transformed. Today there are 36 million foreign-born, or nearly 1 in every 8. Non-Hispanic whites are a minority in California and Texas. Whites are expected to be only a plurality nationwide in less than half a century. America has become more urban and crowded. An average of 84 people now live on each square mile, up from 56 in 1967. Today, there are 44 urban areas with at least a million population. This increase in population has a profound effect on the environment. Climate change is the biggest challenge of this new century and this kind of sprawl increases the challenges. Federal standards have cut air and water pollution dramatically. But automobiles are still the primary source of air pollution. We remain highly dependent upon driving, as a result of half a century of suburban sprawl. We have a long way to go to turn this around. Consider the other aspects of a bigger population, We will have to build more roads, highways and bridges. It means more and more land must be occupied for housing, highways and other transportation infrastructure. Will the coming larger populations produce a sustainable society with a continued high quality of life?   Karen Gaia says - 1) Experts who say immigration isn't dominant in recent growth are not considering the births to immigrants. 2) A growth of 1% a year doubles in 70 years. 3) Most people are not immigration 'opponents' but rather advocates of immigration reduction, since immigration has reached record levels in the last decade.   June 15, 2006   Scripps Howard News Service 017795

U.S.: Reform Bill to Double Immigration.   The immigration reform bill would more than double the flow of legal immigration into the US each year and lower the skill level of those immigrants. The number of extended family members that U.S. citizens or legal residents can bring into this country would double. The number of immigrant workers and their immediate families could increase sevenfold. Another provision would grant visas to any woman or orphaned child anywhere in the world "at risk of harm" because of age or sex. The bill has been praised by President Bush, and he is expected to endorse it. All told, the Hagel-Martinez bill would increase the annual flow of legal immigrants to more than 2 million from 1 million today. These increases are in addition to the 10 million to 12 million illegal aliens already in the U.S. who would be put on a path to citizenship. These figures do not take into account the hundreds of thousands of immigrants who would be admitted to the U.S. each year under the guest-worker program. We would accept another 325,000 through the guest-worker program in the first year. The bill stalled over Democratic refusal to allow consideration of any amendments, but debate resumes. Immigration is already at historic levels and this would double that at least. One of the most alarming aspects of the bill are the provisions that alter which type of workers are ushered into the country. Historically, the system has been slanted in favor of the highly educated and skilled. Currently, less than 60% of the 140,000 work visas each year are reserved for professors, engineers, doctors and others with extraordinary abilities. Fewer than 10% is reserved for unskilled laborers. Under the Senate proposal, the percentage of work visas for the highly educated would be cut to about 30% and those for unskilled laborers would more than triple. What's more, the bill would make it easier for unskilled workers to remain here permanently while keeping hurdles in place for skilled workers. It would still require highly skilled workers who are here on a temporary basis to find an employer to "petition" for their permanent residency but it would allow unskilled laborers to "self-petition," meaning their employer would not have to guarantee their employment as a condition on staying. Slanting immigration law in favor of the unskilled and uneducated would be costly. College-educated immigrants are likely to be strong contributors to the government's finances. By contrast, immigrants with low education levels are likely to be a fiscal drain on other taxpayers. Half of all adult illegal immigrants in the U.S. have less than a high-school education. In addition, recent immigrants have high levels of out-of-wedlock childbearing, which increases welfare costs and poverty. But the greatest cost may not be the unskilled workers who immigrate here in the future, but the ones who are already here illegally. The Senate bill would grant citizenship to between 9 and 10 million illegal aliens who, if allowed to become citizens, would be permitted to bring their entire extended family, including any elderly parents. The long-term cost of government benefits to the parents of 10 million recipients of amnesty could be $30 billion per year or more. The bill, if enacted, would be the largest expansion of the welfare state in 35 years.   Allowing college-educated immigrants creates a brain drain on the sending country and puts those immigrants on a fast-track to high consumerism. Allowing unskilled workers results in a poorer country. But the biggest problem, regardless of whether immigrants are unskilled or educated, is the resulting footprint of this country, which gets bigger every day - from both consumerism and from sheer numbers.   May 16, 2006   017470

U.S.: Senate Immigration Bill Would Allow 100 Million New Legal Immigrants Over the Next Twenty Years.   If enacted, the Comprehensive Immigration Act would be the most dramatic change in immigration law in 80 years, allowing an estimated 103 million to legally immigrate to the U.S. over the next 20 years. The bill grants amnesty to some 10 million illegal immigrants but no attention has been given to the fact that the bill would quintuple the rate of legal immigration into the US, raising the inflow of legal immigrants from around one million per year to over five million per year. The law would add an extra 84 million legal immigrants to the population. The maximum number that could legally enter would be almost 200 million over twenty years, over 180 million more than current law permits. The three legal statuses that a legal immigrant might hold: 1. Temporary Status: Persons enter the U.S. temporarily and are required to leave after a period of time. 2. Near-Permanent, Convertible Status: Persons enter the U.S. are given the opportunity to convert to legal permanent residence after a few years. 3. Legal Permanent Residence (LPR): Persons have the right to remain in the United States for their entire lives. After five years, they have the right to become citizens. Immigrants in convertible or LPR status have the right to bring spouses and minor children into the country. They will be granted permanent residence with the primary immigrant and may become citizens. After naturalizing, an immigrant has the right to bring his parents into the U.S. as permanent residents. There are no limits on the number of spouses, dependent children, and parents of naturalized citizens that may be brought into the country. The siblings and adult children with their families of legal permanent residents are given preference in future admission. Four provisions would result in an explosive increase in legal immigration: 1) Amnesty and citizenship to 85% of the current 11.9 million illegal immigrants, 2) The New 'Temporary Guest Worker' Program, 3)Additional Permanent Visas for Siblings, Adult Children, and their Families, and 4) Additional Permanent Employment Visas. Those in the U.S. for five years or more would be granted immediate amnesty. Those in the country between two and five years could travel to one of 16 ports of entry, where they would receive amnesty and lawful work permits. In total, the bill would grant amnesty to 85% of the illegal immigrant population, 10 million individuals. After amnesty, illegal immigrants would spend six years before attaining LPR status. After five years in LPR status, they would have the opportunity to become naturalized citizens. There would be no numeric limit on the number of illegal immigrants, spouses, and dependents receiving LPR status. Under the New Temporary Guest Worker Program: nearly all guest workers would have the right to become permanent residents and citizens. Foreign workers could enter the U.S. as guest workers if they have a job offer from a U.S. employer. Guest workers would be allowed to remain in the U.S. for six years. However, in the fourth year, the guest worker could ask for LPR status and would receive it if he or she has learned English or is enrolled in an English class. There are no numeric limits on the number of guest workers who could receive LPR status. Then the guest worker could remain in the country permanently and could become a U.S. citizen and vote in U.S. elections after just five years. The spouses and minor children of guest workers would also be permitted to immigrate to the U.S. Five years after obtaining LPR status, these spouses could become naturalized citizens with no limit on the number of spouses and children who could immigrate under the guest worker program. In the first year, 325,000 visas would be given out, but if employer demand for guest workers is high, that number could be boosted by an extra 65,000 in the next year. If employer demand continues to be high, the number of visas could be raised by up to 20% in each year. This allows the number of immigrants to climb steeply. If the H-2C cap were increased by 20% each year, within twenty years the annual inflow of workers would reach 12 million and 70 million guest workers would enter the U.S. over the next two decades and none would be required to leave. The guest worker program is an open door based on the demands of U.S. business. It is an open border provision. The permanent entry of non-immediate relatives such as brothers, sisters, and adult children is currently subject to a cap of 480,000 per year minus the number of immediate relatives admitted in the prior year. This bill eliminates the deduction for immediate relatives from the cap and increases the number of non-immediate relatives who could attain LPR status by 254,000 per year. The U.S. currently issues around 140,000 employment-based visas each year. Now the U.S. would issue 450,000 employment-based green cards per year between 2007 and 2016. After 2016, the number would fall to 290,000 per year. This means that some 990,000 persons per year would be granted LPR status until 2016 and, after that, 638,000 per year. Assumptions made for the estimates in this paper include: *In the current employment-based visa program, 1.2 dependents enter for each incoming worker. The ratio of incoming spouses and children to amnesty recipients is assumed to be only 0.6. * Parents of naturalized citizens make up 8% of all new legal immigrants. This paper assumes that half of all adult immigrants will naturalize after five years and 30% of the parents of these naturalized citizens will immigrate in the three years after their childrens naturalization. * This paper assumes that the number of immigrants in the guest worker program would increase at a more moderate rate of 10% per year. Alternative estimates for 20% and 0% growth are also presented. Today roughly 950,000 persons receive permanent residence visas each year. Over 20 years, the inflow of immigrants through this channel would be 19 million under existing law. The bill would grant amnesty to roughly 10 million illegal immigrants. The number of family-sponsored visas for secondary family members, such as adult brothers and sisters, is currently limited to 480,000 per year minus the number of visas given to immediate family members (spouses, minor children, and parents of U.S. citizens). The bill allows the total quota on secondary family members to be 480,000 without deductions for immediate family members. The net increase would be around 254,000 per year, or 5.1 million over 20 years. Total annual immigration under this provision is likely to be 450,000 workers plus 540,000 family members annually. The net increase above current law over 20 years would be around 13.5 million persons. The guest worker would allow 325,000 persons to participate in the first year. This number could rise by 65,000 in the next year and then by 20% per year. The total inflow of workers under this program would be 20 million over 20 years. Guest workers could bring their spouses and children to the U.S. as permanent residents; the added number would be 24 million over 20 years. Illegal immigrants who received amnesty could bring their spouses and children into the U.S. with the opportunity for full citizenship. The number would be at least six million. Naturalized citizens would have an unlimited right to bring their parents into the U.S. as legal permanent residents. Over twenty years, the number of parents would be around five million. Overall, the bill would allow some 103 million persons to legally immigrate over the next twenty years. The net inflow of illegal immigrants into the U.S. population is around 700,000 per year. Legal immigration would exceed five million per year, seven times the rate of the current illegal immigration flow. The figure of 103 million new legal immigrants is based on the assumption that immigration under the guest worker program would grow at 10% per year. If guest-worker immigration grows at the maximum rate, 20% per year, the total number of new immigrants coming to the U.S. over the next twenty years would be 193 million. If immigration under the program did not increase at all for two decades but remained fixed at the initial level of 325,000 per year, total legal immigration under CIRA would be 72 million over twenty years, or more than three times the level that would occur under current law. Between 1870 and 1920, the U.S. experienced a massive flow of immigration. During this period, foreign born persons hovered between 13% and 15% of the population. In 1924, Congress reduced future immigration. By 1970, foreign born persons had fallen to 5%. The foreign born now comprise around 12% of the population. However, if this bill was enacted, and 100 million new immigrants entered the country over the next twenty years, foreign born persons would rise to over one quarter of the U.S. population. If enacted, this would be the most dramatic change in immigration law in 80 years. The bill would give amnesty to 10 million illegal immigrants and quintuple the rate of legal immigration into the U.S. Under the bill, the annual inflow of immigrants with the option of becoming legal permanent residents would rise from the current level of one million per year to more than five million per year. Within a few years, the annual inflow of new immigrants would exceed one percent of the current U.S. population. This would be the highest immigration rate in U.S. history. Within 20 years, some 103 million new immigrants would enter the U.S. This number is about one-third of the current U.S. population. All of these immigrants would be permanent residents with the right to become citizens and vote in U.S. elections. CIRA would transform the United States socially, economically, and politically. Within two decades, the character of the nation would differ dramatically from what exists today.   Karen Gaia says: The article does not even mention the impacts to the environment and what about the impact of a doubling of the U.S. population upon the carrying capacity of this planet? Ralph says: It is time that we arrived at a sensible limit to the number of people our country can support. Then limit the population to that figure.   May 15, 2006   Heritage Foundation 017450

U.S.: Illegal Immigrants in the US: How Many Are There?.   Depending on the source, the number of illegal immigrants in the US range from about 7 up to 20 million or more. Even settling on a ballpark figure is difficult. For one thing, illegal immigrants avoid responding to census questionnaires. Based on the national census in 2000 the estimate of illegal immigrants is 8.7 million. As of 2003, the US Services put the number at 7 million. Since then, officials have said the number has grown by 500,000 a year. The US Border Patrol union says the total number of illegal immigrants in the US today is between 12 and 15 million. The Pew Hispanic Center estimates 11.5 to 12 million live in the US today. But in a letter, Sen. John McCain wrote: "According to the US Border Patrol statistics, almost four million people crossed our borders illegally in 2002. Although many are caught and made to leave the country, a significant number try again. No one knows for sure how many succeed, but the number crossing the border and disappearing into the US economy could be much higher than official estimates." Citing school enrollments, foreign remittances, border crossings, and housing permits, researchers at Bear Stearns reported evidence that the census estimates of undocumented immigrants may be capturing half of the total undocumented population. There may be as many as 20 million illegal immigrants in the US today. Very dramatic increases in services are required in communities that have become gateways for immigration including public school enrollment, language proficiency, and building permits. (California, Texas, Florida, New York, Illinois, New Jersey, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina account for about half the undocumented population.) In addition, these new undocumented workers are sending home significant amounts of money, suggesting their numbers are higher than official estimates. "Between 1995 and 2003, the tally of Mexicans has climbed 56% percent, and median weekly wage has increased by 10%, yet remittances jumped 199% over the same period. Nearly 14 million people live households where the spouse is in the US illegally. This is partly because children born in the US are automatically US citizens. "The large number of US citizen children born to parents with no legal status highlights one of the dilemmas in developing policies to deal with the unauthorized population. The annual number of illegal immigrants has exceeded those coming legally for the past 10 years. The number of "unauthorized migrants", including those who have temporary permission or those whose status is unresolved, has grown since legalization programs began in the mid-1980s. About 180,000 a year in the 1980s; 400,000 per year from 1990-1994; 575,000 per year from 1995-1999; and 850,000 per year from 2000-2005. A growing number of Americans believe that immigrants are taking jobs and housing and creating strains on the healthcare system. Many people also worry about the cultural impact of the expanding number of newcomers. Between 2000 and 2006, the percentage of those polled who feel that immigrants are a burden grew from 38% to 52% while those who feel that immigrants strengthen the US dropped from 50% to 41%. In the past 15 months, those who say the growing number of newcomers threaten traditional American values, has grown from 40% to 48%. Those who say newcomers strengthen American society has dropped from 50% to 45%.   Karen Gaia says: Immigrants are not a burden, in fact, they have helped build this country. But, unlike the past, we now have massive numbers of new immigrants and we need to limit the population growth of our country. Americans have done their part to insure sustainability by getting their birth rate down to below replacementment level. It is now up to immigrants to do their part by limiting the number that come into this country. Illegal immigrants defy this limitation.   May 19, 2006   Christain Science Monitor 017489

Smaller Families in Mexico May Stir U.S. Job Market; Some See Slower Migration of Low-skilled Workers.   Thanks to a decades-long family-planning campaign, most Mexicans are having far fewer children. This demographic shift has fostered hope that someday Mexico will produce a healthy middle class of people. Most Mexicans today are far too poor for luxuries but the new, smaller Mexican family may help change that by allowing parents to invest more in their children's education, finally producing the generation that lifts Mexico into the developed world. Although the flood of Mexicans is whipping up debate in Washington, the crossings may slow simply because smaller families limit the pool of potential migrants, especially if a growing middle class makes more Mexicans comfortable at hom. A reduction in cheap Mexican labor would have ripple effects on the U.S. economy and could raise costs for employers as they searched for immigrant labor. If the current flood of immigrants is hurting lower-skilled native-born Americans, the easing of the flood might help them. An estimated 459,000 Mexicans come to the U.S. each year, most younger people looking for low-skilled work. There are millions of Mexicans in their 20s and 30s born to big families that had no means to support education. But the prediction are that by 2050, Mexico's median age will rise to 42, while the U.S. will rise to 41. This is by no means assured and the critical challenge for Mexicans is what they will do with the next 20 years. Mexico's large working-age population means it should spend more on job training, power and transportation, and a social-security system. But currently taxes are low and many rich people evade them. The public-education system is weak and the poor often inherit the low-wage jobs of their parents. If an aging Mexico stagnates, the drive to emigrate to the U.S. may grow stronger than ever. It's hard to predict whether Mexico will prosper. Rapid population growth was long seen as both a religious obligation in largely Roman Catholic Mexico and as a goal of public policy. In the early 1970s, demographers began warning that Mexico's population could triple to 150 million by 2000. The government set up family-planning clinics, free contraception, sterilization quotas at clinics and began an advertising campaign that is still widely remembered. "The small family lives better," proclaimed television and radio commercials. Today, the government still sends the same message. The Mexican Senate recently voted to extend sex education to kindergarten. The population-control efforts had a huge impact, but not before a flood of Mexicans born in the 1970s, '80s and '90s began moving to the U.S. The vast flow has relieved pressure on Mexico from millions of jobless young people and helped keep its population in check. Mexico would have another 16 million people today if it hadn't been for the migrants and the children they had in the U.S. instead of Mexico. However, economic development may fuel immigration by giving would-be migrants the cash to cross the border. Many Mexicans move to the U.S. not because they are jobless but because they want a better job than the one they have. Polls show that 49% of Mexican adults would move to the U.S. if they could.   How can we possibly accomodate all the people who WANT to come to the U.S? 78 million people a year are born into this world. Most of them are poor. If they have the means to come to the U.S., they probably will. If everyone came who wanted to, say 40 million a year, that place a tremendous burden on this country and its environment. We must have immigration limits!!! Also,the Mexican birth rate is probably lower because the Mexican birth rate is exported to the U.S. Given that 9% of all Mexicans are now in the U.S. (Population Reference Bureau), this is not hard to believe. What is also unfair is that Mexicans can afford to come to the U.S., while many truely impoverished people don't have a chance to come here!   May 08, 2006   Wall Street Journal 017267

U.S.: Immigration Vs. Environment.   Former Colorado Governor Dick Lamm wants people to think about why immigration is bad for the planet. The Democrat is part of a group pushing to ban illegal immigrants from using state services. He doesn't want to be pegged a racist for joining the right on the issue. "The ecosystem doesn't need another 300 million consuming Americans," he said. Arguments against immigration are usually framed around economics. Lamm says the biggest consequence of immigration legal or illegal is that it creates more people who adopt the wasteful American lifestyle. Most environmentalists agree with Lamm that 20% of the world's richest people are consuming at least 80% of the resources. "I think there are much better ways to solving resource depletion and environmental problems than closing our borders," said Steve Welter a chairman of the Sierra Club, an enviromental organization based in the U.S., and recommends an international approach to sustainability. Lamm does support increasing foreign aid to developing countries and halting the production of cars that get less than 40 miles per gallon. After "bumming around" in India the world's second most populous country about 30 years ago and witnessing the poverty there, Lamm said population control became his life's devotion. Al Bartlett, a retired Colorado University professor said the US population is expected to hit 300 million this year, up from 150 million in 1950 and immigration is about three-quarters of the population growth. Americans should work to make sure every child worldwide is a wanted child.      January 23, 2006   016279

300 Million ... and Counting; If You're Like Many People, That's a Hard Number to Comprehend, but You Might Want to Get Used to That Figure. Later This Year, the U.S. Population Will Reach That Mark..   The U.S. Census Bureau expects the population to hit the 300-million mark in October. In the last five years, about 58% of growth has come from natural increase while 42% is because of immigration. The natural increase in California last year outpaced immigration, with 64% of growth because of births outweighing deaths and 36% because of immigration. Some lament the strain on natural resources and the toll the growing population exacts on the environment, but many can't make an accurate guess when asked how many people live in the US. People have a hard time relating to numbers because they think it doesn't affect their lives. If anything, reaching the 300 million people benchmark is a time to look at overpopulation and how it may affect the quality of our lives. Are we going to have enough schools, are classes going to be too crowded, what services will be available? Are our communities going to be safe and healthy? Will there be enough parks and open space? The problems are already here and they're going to get worse. Countries with little growth or even population declines are at the opposite end of the spectrum, asking, 'What are we going to do with a declining working age population and growing aging population?' U.S. population growth doesn't take into account the indirect result of immigration. In 2003, 24% of U.S. women who gave birth were foreign-born and 46% of California women who gave birth were foreign-born. If not for immigration, the U.S. population would not be growing very fast, but we also would be a lot older. We're younger because immigrants are young, working-age adults for the most part and are in their prime child-bearing years. The envıronmental organization Sierra Club laments the stress population growth places on the environment, but believes the focus should be on human rights. Ensuring people have access to reproductive health care, education and equal economic opportunities is directly linked to the planet's health. When every individual has access to basic human rights, they choose to have smaller and healthier families. The average person doesn't really care about the number of people living in the United States.   In a few years, when it is too late, people will be very concerned about the population growth as it directly affects their way of life.   January 29, 2006   Sacramento Bee 016314

U.S. Population to Reach 300 Million in October.   The U.S. Census Bureau officially pegged the resident population of the United States as being close to 297,900,000, with a baby being born every 8 seconds, someone dying every 12 seconds and the nation gaining an immigrant every 31 seconds on average. The U.S. population is growing by about one person every 14 seconds and is expected to top 300 million in October. The United States is gaining people, thanks to immigration and higher fertility rates, particularly among immigrants. The Census Bureau projects that the population will top 400 million in less than 40 years from now.   Time to address factors that push and pull people into the U.S. Also time to cut U.S. consumption. New Americans soon consume much more than they did in their originating countries.   January 14, 2006   Xinhua General News Service 016189

U.S. Census - Population Increase in the U.S..   Between April 2000 and July 2004, the US population rose to 294 million, 198 million whites, 41 million Hispanics, 39 million Blacks and 14 million Asians. The non-Hispanic white population will drop to one- half by 2050. Texas (just over 50%) joined Hawaii (77%), New Mexico (56%), and California (56%) as the fourth state in which minority groups, account for a majority of the population. California's 36 million includes 12 million Hispanics and five million Asians. Los Angeles county, 10 million residents, includes 4.6 million Hispanics and 1.4 million Asians. Of third generation Mexican-Americans only 11% earned college degrees, compared to 38% of whites and 46% of Asian Americans. Most western cities, reliant on water from far away, are more densely populated than eastern cities. The urbanized area in and around LA is the most densely populated US place. In some cases, high density in the Los Angeles area is due to immigrants crowding into conventional housing. Of the 10 US municipalities that have more than four people per household, nine are in sections of LA marked by garage conversions and back-yard sheds. Maywood, one-square-mile in southeast LA County that was built for 10,000 people, has about 30,000 residents today. One homeowner put four metal tool sheds from Home Depot in the backyard and rented them to newcomers for $150 a month each. Maywood schools have been overcrowded and operating on an emergency schedule for the past 23 years. In other parts of the US, communities are being developed on the fringes of urban areas. Today's exurbs offer large homes for those willing to endure longer commutes in exchange for lower home prices. In a Florida exurb development, almost half of the buyers were in their 30s. They were 38% Hispanic, 24% white and 16% black, and 75% had children. The median income of US households was $44,400 in 2004, down 4% from its 1999 peak and unchanged from 2003. The earnings of full-time workers employed year-round fell to $40,800 for men and $31,200 for women. The range in incomes across counties with populations of 250,000 or more was almost four to one. Fairfax County, Virginia had the highest median income in 2004, about $88,000, and Hildalgo county, Texas had the lowest, about $25,000. The poverty line was $19,307 for a family of four in 2004, and 37 million Americans, 12.7%, had incomes below the line. Poverty was at its lowest in 2000, when 32 million or 11.3% were poor. Some 45 million Americans did not have health insurance in 2004. Up to 10 million may be eligible for Medicaid. In 2004, there were 21.4 million foreign-born persons in the US labor force, 14.5% of the total work force of 148 million. Between 2002 and 2004, the foreign-born labor force rose by 1.2 million, accounting for half of US labor force growth. 66% of US- and foreign-born residents 16 and older are in the labor force. Foreign-born men had a higher labor force participation rate (LFPR) than US-born men in 2004, 81 to 72%, while foreign-born women had a lower LFPR, 54% to 60%. The biggest gap in LFPRs was for women with children under 18, 58% percent of such foreign-born women were in the labor force, compared to 73% for US-born women. Foreign-born workers earned an average of $502 a week in 2004, 76% as much as US-born workers, who averaged $662 a week. Foreign-born men earned 69% as much as US-born men, while foreign-born women earned 81% as much as similar US-born women. Immigrants are about 12% of residents, almost 15% of workers, and 20% earning less than $9 an hour. 42% of immigrant-headed families were low- income, compared to 21% of families with US-born heads of household. About 68% percent of immigrant-headed families and 83% of families with US-born heads of household got Earned Income Tax Credit benefits. 30% of foreign- born workers are believed to be unauthorized.   Illegal immigration can be reduced to a large degree by enforcing current laws that regulate employment of illegals. The U.S. encourages illegal immigration only because illegals will work at slave wages.   October 2005   Rural Migration News 015393

Growth Due to Births vs Immigration.   Carl Pope, Executive Director of the Sierra Club, cites an assertion in a book by Edwin Stennett that the US population can be stabilized at 400 million by 2025 if we drop our fertility rate to about that of France, or a bit lower, even if we maintain our current immigration rate[see below for a correction by Edwin Stennett]: "Current net US immigration is about 1 million per year and the total fertility rate is 2.05 children per woman. If we could establish and maintain a fertility rate of 1.8 children per woman, we would soon stabilize our population' even with a net immigration of 1 million per year. For a wealthy nation, 1.8 is still a high fertility rate - Canada is at 1.6 and Germany 1.3." Germany has a 0% population growth rate, a 1.39 TFR and an immigration rate of 2.18/1000, according to the CIA factbook; Spain has a 0.15% growth rate, a 1.28 TFR, and a 0.99/1000 immigration rate; France is 0.37% growth/1.85 TFR/0.66 immigration. None of these figures include illegal immigration. The U.S. has a 0.92% growth rate, a 2.08 TFR, and a 3.31/1000 immigration rate. This too does not include illegal immigration which adds enough to make the immigration rate 5.0/1000 and the growth rate at about 1.1%, predicting a US population of 600 million in 2068 (adding 1.55 million people a year). While native-born Americans have a fertility rate like Germany's, immigrants have a much higher fertility rate, making the target 1.8 TFR elusive. The author feels that even if the TFR were reduced to 1.8 for native born and immigrants alike, and even if immigration were reduced to 2.5/1000 (in effect eliminating illegal immigration), the growth rate would still be around 0.4% a year. [Edwin Stennet: I acknowledge (p114 of In Growth We Trust) that if we achieve a TFR of 1.8, but the net immigration climbs to 2 million per year, then stability would not be reached until the population of the U.S. approached 1 billion people!]   October 10, 2005   Bob Shanbrom 015351

Hispanics Consolidate as First Minority in US .   The Latino population is the main minority in US, with 41.3 million people because of a growth rate that is three times higher than the overall population. Between 2000 and 2004, it was 49% of the US population growth. Contrary to the 1980s and 1990s, immigration was not the main cause, but births by Latino families residing in the US. The population group with the slowest growth rate was the Anglo-Saxon with a rate of 0.3%.      June 13, 2005   unknown 014038

U.S.: Births to Immigrants at All-Time High.   In 2002, 23% of all births in the US were to legal or illegal immigrant mothers, compared to 15% in 1990, 9% in 1980 and 6% in 1970. Current immigration continues at record levels, thus births to immigrants will continue to increase. 383,000, or 42% of births to immigrants are to illegal alien mothers. Births to illegals now account for nearly 1 out of every 10 births in the US. The longer illegal immigration is allowed to persist the harder it is to solve, because these children can stay permanently, their citizenship can prevent a parent's deportation, and once adults, they can sponsor their parents for permanent residence. A "temporary" worker program would result in the addition of hundreds of thousands of people to the U.S. population each year. The growth in births has been accompanied by a decline in diversity. The top country for immigrant births, Mexico, increased from 24% in 1970 to 45% in 2002. In 2002, births to Hispanic immigrants accounted for 59% of all births to immigrant mothers who are much less educated than native mothers. In 2002, 39% lacked a high school degree, compared to 17% of native-born mothers. Immigrants now account for 41% of all births to mothers without a high school degree. The states with the increase in births to immigrants are Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, Nebraska, Arkansas, Arizona, Tennessee, Minnesota, Colorado, Delaware, Virginia, and Maryland. Immigrants have higher fertility and are more likely to be in their reproductive years than natives. Nevertheless, this will not affect the nation's overall age structure. Immigrants plus their U.S.-born children, have only reduced the average age in the United States from 37 to 36. With or without post-1980 immigrants and their children, 66% of the population is of working age. Each year new immigration (legal and illegal), plus births to immigrants, adds 2.4 million people to America's population, making for a more densely settled country.      July 07, 2005   Center for Immigration Studies 014488

Hidden Facts in New Census Hispanic Data.   Hispanics accounted for half of the national population growth between 2003 and 2004. Almost 4 million Hispanic U.S. citizens are not included as they are residents of Puerto Rico. If included there would be 45.1 Hispanic residents of the U.S. rather than the 41.3 most recently reported. The growth due to immigration is the same for non- Hispanic whites and Hispanics. 56% of the growth of the Hispanic population between was due to births minus deaths and 44% to migration. The population of Hispanics age 65 and older grew by 25%. While the population of Hispanics under 18 grew by 14% since 2000, the growth has been 25% for Hispanics 65 and over. The median age for Hispanics rose from 25.8 years to 26.9 years. This message comes from The National Alliance for Hispanic Health, delivering services to over 12 million persons every year.      June 17, 2005   Hispanic Health 014039

U.S.: Izaak Walton League on Immigration.   The Izaak Walton League has produced two booklets on population: Guide to Population Issues and Population Growth and Outdoor America. "In recent years, America has received twice as many immigrants as all other countries combined, around 1.5 million people annually in the last few years. During the 1990s, 900,000 immigrants entered legally and 335,000 to 500,000 illegally." This influx accounts for half of the U.S. annual population growth of nearly 3 million. With a higher fertility than native-born Americans for the first few generations, immigration is affecting the U.S. age structure. You can download the booklets or ask for hard copies at www.iwla.org. Every major threat to outdoor recreation - from climate change to hunting access, from habitat loss to dying fisheries - is, at its base, an issue about how people can continue to thrive while maintaining a livable world.      June 10, 2005   Izaak Walton League 013979

U.S.: Population/Immigration.   The population of undocumented residents in the US increased by 23% in the four-year period ending last March, a net increase of 485,000 per year between 2000 and 2004. The prospect of better job opportunities in the US remains a powerful lure for many immigrants. The population is growing at a similar pace as in the late 1990s even though the U.S. economy today isn't as robust. "Undocumented" immigrants are those on expired visas; those who violated their admission in other ways plus a small percentage who are here legally. Mexicans are the largest group at 5.9 million, or about 57%. 2.5 million or 24%, are from other Latin American countries. The U.S. foreign-born population, regardless of legal status, is 35.7 million. Those of Mexican descent are more than 11 million, or 32%. The number of U.S. residents with Mexican backgrounds has increased by nearly 600,000 annually since 2000, with more than 80% of the new arrivals with proper documentation. Officials have raised concerns about border security amid intelligence that terrorists have considered using the Southwest border to infiltrate the US. Bush has promoted a guest-worker program that would allow migrants to work here for a limited time as long as they have a job. Critics argue that such workers drive down wages. The best way is better enforcement of the borders and of worksites. In 1990, 88% of the undocumented population lived California, New York, Texas, Illinois, Florida and New Jersey. By 2004, those states accounted for 61%.      March 21, 2005   Center for Immigration Studies 013269

Foreign-born Population Swells in U.S..   The U.S. foreign-born numbered 34.2 million in 2004, 12% of the population, outpacing internal growth. Immigrant population rose 2.3% from 2003, the native-born population 0.6%. Nationwide growth is a continuation of a 3-year trend from 2000 to 2003. Foreign-born population grew by 10.8% to 167,396 people from 2000 to 2003, compared with 2.5% among the native-born. Utah saw 17.3% growth in foreign-born population, compared with 4.5% in the native population. If the trends, Utah's immigrant population will grow to 250,000 by 2010 and at least 100,000, will be undocumented. Today 53% of the nation's immigrants were born in Latin America, 25% in Asia, 14% in Europe and 8% elsewhere. There are 30.4 million second-generation Americans, or natives with one or both parents born in a foreign country. Within the foreign-born, noncitizen population, only 59.4% had a high school diploma, compared with 88.3% of the native population and 77.4% of the naturalized citizen population. Naturalized citizens surpassed those born in the U.S. with 32% holding a bachelor's degree, compared with 27.8% of native-born citizens. Under 24% of foreign-born noncitizens had a bachelor's degree. Immigrants who weren't U.S. citizens were chiefly in "service," followed by "management, professional and related" and "production, transportation and material moving" occupations. "Management, professional and related" were the most common occupations for both native-born workers and naturalized citizens.      February 23, 2005   US Census Bureau 012941

Fastest Growth Found in 'Red States'.   Population growth continues in the Southern and Western states. If it continues states in the Northeast and Midwest will lose their dominance to Sun Belt states by 2010. New York will likely be overtaken by Florida in five years. New Jersey could be passed by North Carolina in three. The USA's population on July 1 was 293.7 million, up 1% from July 1, 2003 and the nation will have 311.7 million people in 2010. The growth for the decade was 10%, compared with 13.2% in the 1990s. Many states in the northern USA gained immigrants from 2003 to 2004 but lost people to other states. Most of the fast-growing states are gaining residents from other states and immigrants from abroad. Economic and political power is shifting to states attracting suburbanites from densely populated areas. Seats in the House of Representatives are reallocated every 10 years to reflect population shifts. The next round will come after the 2010 Census. Based on the latest population estimates, New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Indiana each would lose a House seat. Arizona, Florida, Texas and Utah each would gain a seat. Florida, the third-fastest-growing state, gained an average 1,090 people a day, bringing its population to 17.4 million. Nevada was the fastest-growing state for the 18th year. Massachusetts lost population for the first time in a decade. California remained the most populous state at 35.9 million as immigration fueled much of its growth. But California continues to lose more residents to other states than it gains from the rest of the USA. Colorado lost more people to other states than it gained for the second year, but immigration and births pushed its population up 1.2%, to 4.6 million. Big gains in Idaho, New Mexico and Utah may indicate that some of Colorado's appeal is fading as major growth has clogged highways and pushed housing prices higher.      December 22, 2004   USA Today 012501

U.S.: More Are Calling North Carolina Home.   North Carolina is one of the 10 fastest-growing states, its population grew 1.4% from July 2003 to July 2004, adding 120,031 people. It is the 9th-fastest-growing state with a population of 8.54 million. Top-Growing states: Nevada - 4.1%, Arizona - 3%, Florida - 2.3%, Idaho - 1.9%, Georgia - 1.8%, Texas - 1.7%, Utah - 1.6%, Delaware - 1.5%, North Carolina - 1.4%, New Mexico -1.3%. Internal migration to North Carolina climbed from 25,000 last year to 46,000 this year, for the state's mild weather, good infrastructure, established industries and universities. The number of people coming to North Carolina from other countries fell from 31,000 to 30,000 which might be due to increased vigilance along the border with Mexico, the country of origin for most of North Carolina's immigrants. For the third year, North Carolina's natural increase dropped, from 45,187 in July 2003 to 43,902 in July 2004. Five of the 10 fastest-growing states are in the South: Florida, Georgia, Texas, Delaware and North Carolina and added 1.5 million people. The nation added 3 million people, growing by 1% to 293.7 million.      July 2003   US Census Bureau 012524

Immigrant Population at Record High in 2004.   The nation's legal and illegal immigrant population reached more than 34 million in March of 2004, an increase of 4 million, almost half from illegal immigration, since 2000. This shows that immigration does not rise and fall in step with the economy. Between 2000 and 2004, nearly 6.1 million legal and illegal immigrants arrived; offset by deaths and return migration the total increased by 4.3 million. The 6.1 million who arrived in the four years since 2000 compares to 5.5 million in the four years prior to 2000, during the economic expansion while unemployment increased from 4.4% to 6.1%. The largest increase in immigrant population was in Texas, Georgia, North Carolina, New Jersey, Maryland, Washington, Arizona, and Pennsylvania. The idea that immigration rises and falls in step with the economy is wrong. Many countries are much poorer than the United States, and being unemployed is better than staying in the home country. Evidence from the 19th and early 20th centuries show that economic downturns in the U.S. had an impact on immigration levels. Immigrants account for nearly 12% of the population, the highest in over 80 years. Recent immigration has no impact on the nation's age structure. The diversity of the immigrants continues to decline, with Mexico accounting for 31% in 2004. Immigration enforcement has become more lax and while visa applicants may have to wait longer for approval, only a tiny number of illegal aliens have been detained. The primary sending countries are poorer relative to the U.S. than in the past. People come to America for many reasons, to join family, avoid social or legal obligations, take advantage of America's social services, and enjoy greater personal and political freedom. Even an economic downturn is unlikely to have an impact on immigration levels. If we want lower immigration levels it requires enforcement of laws and changes to the immigration system. Information for the report comes from the March Current Population Surveys (CPS) collected by the Census Bureau, also called the Annual Social and Economic Supplement.      November 2004   Center for Immigration Studies 012199

Historical Perspective of Immigration   From 1776 to 1976, the U.S. averaged approximately 230,000 legal immigrants per year. Those numbers contrast our current immigration level (2004) of approximately one million legal and 700,000 illegal immigrants per year.   November 2004   012043

U.S. Population Stabilization: Births - Deaths + Immigration - Emigration = 0.   The failure of environmental groups to take into account the environmental importance of immigration dilutes the integrity of their message on the environment. The environmental problems caused by population growth are severe, and have nothing to do with racism. Some complain that even though it isn't racist to support immigration reduction, since SOME who support immigration reduction are ethnically biased, it's wrong to support immigration reduction. Meanwhile our environmental problems mount up. It's a shame that environmentalists let themselves be distracted by something that is ecologically irrelevant. We'll see more messages in which the writer splits hairs to show why it's bad for environmental groups to take a stand on the environmental problems of immigration. We'll be told that since a bad person supports immigration reduction, we mustn't taint ourselves by agreeing with that person. We're tainted if we fail to take a stand based on ecological reality.      June 16, 2004   010699

U.S.: The Sierra Club Board of Directors Election; Lack of Border Policy May Erase Sierra Club Gains.   by Richard D. Lamm The Sierra Club cannot get an environmentally sound America without considering population and immigration. This is not as issue of immigrants, but of immigration. The American birthrate will lead to a stable population around 2050, but with today's level of immigration, our population will be 500 million. What public policy advantage would there be to an America of 500 million? Do we have too much open space and outdoor recreation spots? What will 500 million Americans mean to our environment? Do we not have enough diversity? Some say the US is morally obligated to allow immigration, Some say that the United States is morally obligated to allow immigration for the sake of the developing world. If so, why stop at the current annual rate of 1 million legal immigrants? Why not add 2 million or 5 million or 10 million a year? Do we have a moral immigration policy at 1 million, but immoral at 900,000? Allowing 1 million immigrants into the US annually does nothing to alleviate poverty worldwide. We would do better to aid people in their home countries but our maximum generosity will hardly dent world poverty. The best role for America is to show that an environmentally aware, free people can build a sustainable society. Be generous to the poor, but by helping them where they live. We can help more people through foreign aid than by allowing a lucky few to come to America. We have to move toward sustainability -- and that means addressing consumption and population. The Sierra Club cannot run from this issue. The world's ecosystem does not need 300 million more Americans. Immigration has gone from a solution to a problem, and the sooner the public and the Sierra Club recognize this, the better will be the America we leave our children.      April 19, 2004   San Francisco Chronicle 010343

Does One Immigrant Make An Impact? .   I'm reminded of one of the paradoxes of the ancient Greek philosopher Zeno. Zeno asks whether a single millet seed makes a sound when it falls to the ground. His companion answers "no". Zeno asks whether a bushel of millet seeds make a sound when dropped. The answer, of course, is "yes". So either it is impossible for a bushel of seeds to make a noise when dropped, since the bushel consists of a finite number of silent single seeds, or it is impossible for a single seed to be silent when dropped. I think most people would agree that the single seed makes a noise when it is dropped, but we just can't hear it. Similarly, we may not notice the ecological damage from one year's (or one person's) immigration, but there is damage, nonetheless. And when we have several years of immigration, we do notice the damage.   March 2004   Gregory Bungo 009991

The annual arrival of 1.5 million legal and illegal immigrants, coupled with 750,000 annual births to immigrant women, is the determinate factor or three-fourths— of all U.S. population growth.
2002   Center For Immigration Studies 007659


  The United States is one of the world's fastest-growing industrialized nations. By 2050, the nation's population is projected to increase by nearly 130 million people -- the equivalent of adding another four states the size of California.   2000   Population Connection 004740

Births, Deaths, and Immigration, 1997 to 1998.  
Area 7/1/98
Population
(Estimate)
7/1/97
Population
(Estimate)
Numerical
Change
Percent
Change
Births Deaths NIM NDM
United States 27,0298,524 267,743,595 2,554,929 1.0 3,890,842 2,311,727 952,938 0
California 32,666,550 32,182,118 484,432 1.5 52,6785 223,066 268,685 -89,711
NIM = Net International Migration     NDM = Net Domestic Migration       July 1, 1999   US Census Bureau 004792

Projected Immigration Levels.   The latest figures on immigration (1998) show annually there are 800 thousand legal and 300 thousand illegal immigrants. In 1994 the US Censu Bureau issued a high, a low, and a middle projection for future growth. The low, based on 1.9 births per woman and net immigration of 350,000 per year, US population would peak at 291 million in 2030 and decline to 282 million in 2050. The high, based on 2.6 births per woman and net immigration of 1,370,000 annually, the population of the US would be 519 million in 2050.   1998   National Audubon Society & US Census Bureau 004782

Percentages.   In 1997 the US foreign-born population was 9.7% of the total. 27% of the foreign-born in the US were born in Mexico. In March 1997, 3.3% of the native-born were receiving public assistance compared to 4.9% for foreign-born.   March 1997   U.S. Census Bureau 004781

Historic Levels.   U.S. immigration was largely unrestricted until the mid-1920s, after which Congress passed legislation severely limiting entry from all regions except northwestern Europe. In 1965 immigration laws have been more liberal, including the Immigration and Reform Act of 1986, under which 2.7 million illegal aliens, mostly from Mexico, were given legal immigrant status. 27 million since 1965 have immigrated to the U.S., including illegal entries. In recent years, typically there will be 916,000 legal immigrants, an estimated 275,000 illegals, while emigration reduce those numbers by about 220,000 annually. The U.S. Census Bureau projects the U.S. population to 394 million in 2050. Of the 122 million increase, 80 million would be added because of immigration.   September 1999   Scientific American 004777

Percentage of Foreign-Born.   Almost 1 in 10 Americans (9.3% = 25,208,00 people) is foreign born - a proportion not seen since 150 years ago. In the 1990s, foreign born numbers in the U.S. increased 4 times faster than native born. While in the 1850s, foreign born were mostly European, today's foreign born are Latinos and Asians. Foreign born Asians outnumber native-born Asian Americans, 6.4 million to 4.1 million.   September 16, 1999   Associated Press 004775

  US overimmigration does not relieve overpopulation problems in third-world countries. Each year the populations of the world's impoverished nations grow by over 78 million people. US overimmigration cannot have any significant affect on this number, even at historically high mass immigration levels of 1,000,000 per year.   1999   004735

The US Census Bureau - Net effect of immigration:.   The resident population of the United States, projected to 7/14/99 at 5:47:25 PM EDT is
One birth every 8 seconds
One death every 15 seconds
One international migrant every 30 seconds.
One US citizen (net)returning every 4781 seconds
Net gain of one person every 11 seconds
  004733

Immigration by Country of Origin.     INS 004729

Components of Change for the Total Resident Population:Middle Series, 1999 to 2100.     004727

Total Population by Race, Hispanic Origin, and Nativity: Middle Series, 1999 and 2000.     004726

Resident Population Estimates of the United States by Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin: April 1, 1990 to July 1, 1999, with Short-Term Projection to May 1, 2000.     004725

Annual Projections of the Total Resident Population as of July 1: Middle, Lowest, Highest, and Zero International Migration Series, 1999 to 2100.     July 11, 1999   004724

Foreign-Born Resident Population Estimates of the United States by Age and Sex: April 1, 1990 to July 1, 1999.     004723

Immigration and Ecological Footprints

Immigrants, when they first come to the U.S., tend to have less of an impact than the average citizen. They drive fewer miles and often pack themselves into high density living situations. They consume fewer goods. However, if they cross the border illegally through environmentally sensitive areas, they do have high impact in those areas. Immigrants soon grow into the American way of life and their ecological footprint increases, until their impact approaches that of the average American: excessively high and unsustainable.

For more on the impact of an average American on the environment, go to WOA!!s U.S. Population page   004849

Australia: Many in Denial Over Rising Population.   Population growth in Asia averages 1.1% a year. Australia should have a much lower growth rate, but our annual population growth had risen to 1.5%. According to Bureau of Statistics figures, it is now 1.7%. At this rate, our population will reach 42 million by 2051. This is far above any estimate of the population Australia could hope to feed. This week's government white paper proposes a 5% cut in emissions, but assumes per capita cuts can outpace population growth. This is based on the assumption we are heading for 28 million people in Australia by 2051, rather than 42 million. Some claim Australia is a big country, yet the geographer George Seddon has remarked Australia is "a small country with big distances". Our agricultural areas are not so large, or fertile, as population boosters pretend. The human as well as the natural environment deteriorates as population grows. The reaction to any suggestion that population growth, and immigration, should be reduced was to accuse the critic of "racism". Yet most immigrants think immigration is too high. Figures show that births each year in Australia are twice the number of deaths. Australia's safe carrying capacity in the long term may be as low as 8 to 12 million people. In 1994, the Australian Academy of Science said that 23 million people should be our limit. Over the years, Australians have been promised a series of points at which population growth would supposedly be capped: Bob Hawke spoke of 25 million, which might be the limit set by water resources. The minister for immigration, spoke of our population naturally peaking at some 23 million. Our current trajectory is to break 100 million by 2100. Population increase suits governments wanting to please the business community now. There is still a way out and it is naive to think population growth can be slowed. In the past two years, most politicians have ceased being in denial about climate change, greenhouse emissions, limits to water, and peak oil. Our population growth is out of control.   December 19, 2009   Sydney Morning Heral 023576

New York Times Population Debate.   The New York Times is publishing a series of articles on the impact immigrants are having on American institutions, with the first article focusing on educating new immigrants. It appears The New York Times is attempting to separate the population issue from US immigration and make them into two unrelated issues. Any discussion of immigration into the US already the world's third most populous nation, is incomplete without addressing its impact on domestic population growth and sustainability. On average, over 1 million foreign born people are granted permanent residence status each year. By adding 133 million people, the US is set to add into its borders the equivalent of all the current citizens of Mexico and Canada combined by 2050. This will result in: US population sky-rocketing by over 130 million people. Demand for the ground-water, open-space and farm-land dramatically surging. Wages for lower-skilled, less-educated Americans plummeting as excess service labor swamps the market. Roads, schools, subways and grocery stores becoming even more crowded. Representative democracy weakening as each elected official serves a drastically inflated constituency. If Congress were to set immigration policy to allow for 300,000 people to be invited into the nation per year US population would be 80 million less than is it currently projected to be at mid-century.   Karen Gaia says: just as every family should be able to set its size according to its social and economic limitations, so should a nation be able to limit its size by governing its borders. Up to now the US has been a rich nation, but the strain on its resources (and that on other countries it takes from) is beginning to show. Its footprint is far larger than the country's size itself.   March 17, 2009   Bill Ryerson 023748

U.S.: Immigration Affects Environment, Too, Reports E -the Environmental Magazine; But Solutions go Deeper than Building Fences.   Immigration has become a hot issue, but often for the wrong reasons. What's missing is frank discussion of its impact on overall population growth, the environment and on how to address its fundamental causes. Largely because of immigration, the U.S. Census estimates that from 303 million today we'll grow to 400 million people as early as 2040, and 420 million by 2050. The U.S. is growing so fast it now has the third largest population in the world. America is a nation of immigrants. We absorbed 25 million people between 1860 and 1920, and most observers believe we are a stronger nation because of it. America's rapid population growth makes it nearly impossible to achieve sustainability. About 93% of U.S. increases in energy use since 1970 can be attributed to population growth. We pave over an area the size of Delaware every year, and every day we remove 3.2 billion gallons of water from aquifers that are not replenished by natural processes. The energy and climate effects are little understood. Any efficiency gains we make are being swamped by rapid population increases. With just 5% of the world's population, the U.S. is the top consumer of 11 of the world's top 20 traded commodities. The increase in greenhouse gas emissions in the U.S., which rose 13 between 1990 and 2000, mirrors the population increase. A huge percentage of climate emissions can be attributed to population growth. Many people want to come to America from the overpopulated developing world. The swelling numbers abroad create pressures leading to "increased poverty, hunger, land degradation, a lack of health services and limited social and economic mobility." How do we address these pressures without calling for the mandatory caps on U.S. immigration? The organization Population Connection wants to combine action at home (reducing teen pregnancy, ensuring contraceptive availability, defending reproductive rights) with foreign aid. If people see hope for better lives at home, they will feel less pressure to emigrate. Such views have many supporters. If we and the governments of the countries they are coming from were to devote as much to improving their standard of living at home, they might not feel the need to come to America. The obstacle is to get countries around the world to focus on eradicating hunger, infant mortality and poverty, and limiting births through universal access to family planning. A 20-year plan to address these issues has languished as donor countries, including the U.S., have fallen short of meeting their financial commitments. In addition, the reinstatement of the "Global Gag Rule" which mandates that no U.S. family planning assistance be provided to foreign organizations that use funding to make abortion available, has had a severe impact. Cultural and religious opposition have also combined to thwart efforts. Nevertheless, UNFPA, says that the process offers the best hope for reducing migration pressures. The growing poverty and demographic divide between rich and poor countries must be addressed.   May 07, 2008   NewsBlaze 022981

Can We Talk... About Population Numbers?.   Population growth ought to be easier to discuss rationally. But it is even more taboo than immigration. America counted resident #300 million in 2006 after reaching 200 million in 1967 and 100 million in 1915. You would think some journalist somewhere might ask a Presidential candidate what he or she thought about the change. Population growth is altering traditional America more than any other factor. And it's caused by government policy. Without immigration, Americans have now stabilized their population. Immigration has been discussed a little in the Presidential debates, even but much of the damage is caused just as much by the legal influx. Only 2% of Americans surveyed want more legal immigrants. Citizens want immigration to be legal, controlled and reduced. There is the financial cost for more of everything, from school buildings and teacher salaries to highways and public transit. There are now so many residents of the USA that nature is no longer sufficient to supply our needs in some basic ways. Orange County opened its $490 million toilet-to-tap water treatment plant. The county's exploding population along with availability convinced water managers to go expensively high-tech to assure supply for the area. As a state water official remarked, even above average rainfall "used to be good when you had 20 million people, but now we have more than 35 million people in the state." At what number of inhabitants will America be considered full and immigration can be ended? We long ago exceeded sustainability. Today, media outlets that discuss immigration don't make the common-sense connections between skyrocketing domestic growth and increased pressure on limited resources. One example: the drought in the Southeast. Georgia's population has doubled from 4 million in 1960 to 8 million today. Atlanta has been America's fastest-growing metropolitan area since 2000, with a gain of nearly 900,000 residents. But the Brain Trust in city hall and the state capital apparently didn't bother to map a water supply for the additional people. Governor Sonny Purdue held a prayer service to invoke a higher source for rain. Americans need to know that immigration numbers are acquiring their own momentum. If the growth rate of 1990-2000 is continued out in time, the next hundreds of millions begin to click over more and more rapidly. The 400 million mark occurs in the late 2020s. Inarguably, the quality of life is degraded for all citizens when this immigration-driven population growth takes the place of a healthy economy. America is full—by any measure. It doesn't need any more immigrants.   Kaaren Gaia says: I would prefer to say that America doesn't need any more people. We must concentrate on unwanted births as well as find ways to reduce immigration. I notice that Ms. Walker, the author, does not say "America doesn't need any more births."   February 08, 2008   VDARE.com - by Brenda Walker 022694

Sustainable Growth is Unsustainable - the Next Added 100 Million Americans - Part 14.   So-called "sustainable growth" is unsustainable. Richard Stengel, of Time Magazine, wrote, “We need to continue growing but in smarter more sustainable ways.” Stengel illustrated our past population growth and projected adding 100 million people in three decades. He neglected to state that millions of those are immigrants from overpopulated countries that can't feed their populations. Stengel neglected to understand that you can't maintain a 'healthy' and 'sustainable' growing population ad infinitum. Let's get down to brass tacks on the absurdity of unending growth and sustainability! "Sustainable growth" implies "increasing endlessly," which is an oxymoron. Enormous problems and suffering are being experienced every day throughout the underdeveloped world. Is it possible to have an increase in economic activity without having increases in the rates of consumption of nonrenewable resources. Sustainable development can only be pursued if population size and growth are in harmony with the changing productive potential of the ecosystem. The issue is not just numbers of people, but how those numbers relate to available resources. Urgent steps are needed to limit population growth. There's no way we need to or can add 100 million people to the United States by 2040. America walks on the thin ice edge of our own demise with 300 million people. We either stabilize our population, or become victims of our own numbers. We cannot sustain unlimited growth. We cannot add 40 million more people to California and think we can provide water for all to live a decent life. We must enact a 10 year moratorium on all immigration. We must develop alternative energy at breakneck speed. We are approaching desertification, rising sea level, habitat destruction, the disappearance of sea life, and wars over drinking water. Growth is adding one billion people to our planet every 12 years, 90% from the developing world. Millions are forced to migrate, straining the infrastructure and good will of richer nations.   December 28, 2006   NewsWithViews.com 019844

U.S.;: How Many People is Too Many?.   This year, the USA will hit 300 million inhabitants and 400 million in less than 40 years. When people don't have the means and information to control their fertility, the results are that you can't go a week without seeing evidence of overpopulation, choked highways, crowded classrooms. We have to maintain not having living space and forests, farms, wetlands, etc. One-third of all pregnancies in this country are unintended. Yet we're wasting millions on abstinence programs that have been shown never to work. Abstinence proponents want to punish people who act, in their view, immorally. Current attacks on birth control are as much about making political hay as making babies. They see access to contraception within marriage as a negative influence: it gives easy access to adultery and therefore has reduced faithfulness in marriage. A professor at the Southern Baptist Theological Seminary said "We've got room. Don't let the fear of overcrowding discourage you, the issue is what the Lord wants for them." Jennifer Shawne has published her book "Baby Not on Board: A Celebration of Life Without Kids" last year and says that it's not just religious conservatives who try to convince her of her duty to have children. She points out the unsupported assumption that political and cultural attitudes are inherited traits. The Oakland-based think tank Redefining Progress estimated that this nation's level of consumption and waste generation requires 269 global acres per person, almost nine times the footprint of the average in China and more than 22 times that of the average Indian or Pakistani. From the planet's point of view, the birth of a single American child has the potential impact of 10 births in those countries. What would 400 million Americans look like? Pat Buchanan argued that our nation's existence is threatened by insufficient enthusiasm for childbearing and growing immigration from Mexico. Buchanan urged a return to large, patriarchal families as a way of outstripping the immigrant population. Negative Population Growth (NPG), is a U.S. population of 150 million and advocates the two-child family and curtailment of resource consumption, but now spends most of its energy on immigration issues. Working for reproductive rights and smaller families without forceful action on immigration is doomed to fail. "If not for immigration, we already would have stabilized the U.S. population. Our problem is immigration. It's easy for one person to bring in his sisters, brothers, parents. And immigrants have more children. Pretty quickly, one immigrant can really amount to 12." Can we find ways of viewing immigration that lead to a less cruel course of action? What is really going on is capitalism operating normally. Employers gain. Native workers lose. Immigrants lose too. Both groups lose because they are not united. If it's hard to predict how many of us there will be, it's even tougher to know who we'll be. Jennifer Shawne said, "This culture, is constantly evolving. I'm more interested in seeing how it changes in the future than in preserving it as it is or was."   August 14, 2006   Alternet 018261

Immigration Vs. Environment; Lamm: Stance is a Green Thing, but Many Disagree.   Former Colorado governor Dick Lamm wants people to think about why immigration is bad for the planet. The Democrat is part of a group pushing to ban illegal immigrants from using state services. He doesn't want to be pegged a racist for joining the right on the issue. "The ecosystem doesn't need another 300 million consuming Americans," he said. Arguments against immigration are usually framed around economics. Lamm says the biggest consequence of immigration, legal or illegal, is that it creates more people who adopt the wasteful American lifestyle. Most environmentalists agree with Lamm that 20% of the world's richest people are consuming at least 80% of the resources. "I think there are much better ways to solving resource depletion and environmental problems than closing our borders," said Steve Welter a chairman of the Sierra Club and recommends an international approach to sustainability. Lamm does support increasing foreign aid to developing countries and halting the production of cars that get less than 40 miles per gallon. After "bumming around" in India, the world's second most populous country; about 30 years ago and witnessing the poverty there, Lamm said population control became his life's devotion. Al Bartlett, a retired professor, said the US population is expected to hit 300 million this year, up from 150 million in 1950 and immigration is about three-quarters of the population growth. Americans should work to make sure every child worldwide is a wanted child.      January 23, 2006   Camera 016317

U.K.: Why the USA Must Stop Its Population Growth.   If prospective immigrants are kept out of the USA, then many are likely to remain poor, but that must be accepted for the sake of, (1) giving the world a better chance of avoiding a runaway greenhouse effect; (2) having at least one place on Earth where civilization might be preserved when fossil fuels become scarce. Every Mexican coming into the USA will impose an additional burden on the planet. America consumes 25% of the world's oil, and imports 60% of that. With the oil peak approaching, that limits everyone outside America to less than half the amount, that American citizens are importing, and that will dwindle as oil supplies decline. If its population continues to double every 66 years, that will increase future US energy demands on the rest of the world. If the whole world was emitting carbon dioxide at the same rate as Americans, we would need another 12 planets to absorb the emissions. What the world needs most is negative population growth in the USA and there is no chance of achieving it without balanced migration. Preserving civilization with a population of 200 million might be possible in the USA. In the UK, with a population that is already three times the 20 million that might be sustained without fossil fuels, we have little chance, but I hope that Americans won't waste the opportunity that they have by virtue of a still fairly low population density. Sensible action to control migration and diminish per capita energy use will be good for you, good for the world, and good for the preservation of civilization. Best wishes to you, and all my friends in the USA.   Perhaps we should be asking symapthetic Americans to move to Mexico and live much simpler lives to offset such large immigration numbers - after all, immigrants to the U.S. are only sneaking across the border to improve their lives. On the other hand, can all of the people who need to improve their lives move into the U.S.? That would be a major population explosion for the U.S. The sheer numbers would indicate that the U.S. needs to put some limits on its borders - or - move and equal number of Americans out - or - immediately cut the birth rate of Americans, native born and foreign born alike - or - drastically cut American consumption.   January 06, 2006   016177

U.S.: Overpopulation Issue Overlooked by Presidential Candidates.   During the process to elect our next president, none of the candidates, or any of the media, is going to bring up what the late Gaylord Nelson, the former Wisconsin senator and governor and the father of Earth Day, felt was the most urgent issue that humanity faces: overpopulation. The candidates have talked about global warming, directly related to overpopulation, and while they've talked about the impacts of current U.S. immigration policy, none of them has mentioned that immigration is the chief reason the United States has added 100 million people since the first Earth Day in 1970. None has suggested that runaway population growth, both globally and in this country, is perhaps something we should all be concerned about. The right won't touch it because it means confronting birth control and family planning, which most conservatives and religious groups strongly oppose. The left won't touch it because if you talk about controlling the U.S. population, it means you must talk about the fact that 10.3 million immigrants have arrived since 2000, the highest seven-year period of immigration in U.S. history. Then you'll be lumped with all the racists who are anti-immigration. Gaylord Nelson, who favored tightening immigration quotas, got away with it because he was Gaylord Nelson. "No one could accuse a man like my father, who had such a distinguished record on civil rights, justice and fairness, of being a part of those who are using immigration in a racially motivated way," Tia Nelson said. Unchecked growth, as Gaylord Nelson liked to point out, creates tremendous strains on our natural resources and our infrastructure. It boosts the need for more schools, more hospitals, more police stations, more roads, more prisons. "In other words, more of everything," he would say. Some environmentalists, the few willing to address the issue, say that Americans need to understand that uncontrolled growth is harmful to our quality of life, regardless of the cause. Don Waller, a well-known UW-Madison botanist, says that population growth should receive more attention, "I can't think of a more important issue for our generation, nor one that is being more systematically ignored. Waller says, "we should celebrate our diversity and the fact that we've harbored generations of refugees and immigrants. But we shouldn't let this cloud the fact that environmental conditions generally, and wild natural conditions in particular, are disappearing from our nation and planet." More people means less space for nature, and ultimately, that impoverishes us all."   July 2005   The Capital Times 022649

What Has to Give If We Stabilize U.S. Population Without Addressing Immigration?.   This is all tongue-in-cheek, but it serves to show how big the problem is. .... In order for the U.S. population to stop growing or decline to a sustainable level, the rate of immigration must be less than the death rate. Adding high immigrant fertility also means the death rate must take that into consideration as well. Let's reduce the population of the USA to sustainable levels within 50 years. If about 50 million of the nearly 300 million current population are from immigration and and the sustainable population is about 120 million, then 250 million must go (300-50). But immigration needs to add 70 million (120-50). So 5 million natives must die each year (250/50 years) while 1.4 million immigrants arrive to replace them (70/50). If the immigrants have 2 - 3 million babies each year, the natives must increase their death rate to accommodate those births so that 7-8 million of the current population has to go every year. Yikes, if the natives won't zero their births then an additional 1-2 million natives gotta go. The U.S. can achieve a sustainable population within 50 years if about 10 million of the native population die every year?. Not quite. Current immigration is over 2 million and increasing, so another million natives need to die. This is fun but mind numbing, but much of this scenario is occurring, only the numbers are magnified. The reality is that as the health care system suffers under the weight of Boomers and massive legal and illegal immigration, the death rate is likely to measurably increase also infant mortality.      June 18, 2004   Dell Erickson 010805

Population Growth in Los Angeles Compared to the Galapagos   In the May/June Sierra, Carl Pope says members of the Sierra Club who want to restrict immigration cite environmental reasons. Pope says, "The environmental argument, at least, is highly speculative. Do people who migrate to the United States increase environmental stress? It depends on where they would end up otherwise. Los Angeles, for example, could handle 10,000 Ecuadorians more easily than the Galapagos Islands could." Pope, in talking about the environment of the U.S., picks a highly sensitive area like the Galapagos Islands and compares it to a single region in the U.S. that, in comparison, has been already environmentally trashed by human population and sprawl and industrialization and fossil-fuel vehicles. Using that reasoning, we might move the hypothetical 10,000 Ecuadorians to Mexico City or Delhi, for example, where they would have even less of an impact. In fact, I have heard that we could move the entire population of the world to Texas. That would settle the matter to the great relief of us all, except those in Texas. If the Texans complain, we could say they are just being racist.

Getting back to reality, the fact is that California, like the Galapagos, is one of the world's 25 biodiversity hotspots, which together occupy only 4% of the earth's surface but contain 40% of the world's species. The population of California is not evenly distributed across the state; they tend, like most of rest of the world, to congregate along the coast, and - in biodiversity hotspots. The average ecological footprint of an American is 24 acres, compared to 2 acres for people in India. Ecological footprints measure resource usage in land equivalents. That means someone in Los Angeles, which has a density of about 15 people per acre, uses 23.6 footprint acres elsewhere for growing lumber for his home (Canada is where California's lumber comes from), reservoirs for his water, farmland for his food, oil from Saudi Arabia, and so on. One might argue that immigrants use less resources than an American. A large number are from Mexico, a relatively well-off country compared to the rest of the developing world, who start out with a footprint somewhere in between that of the US and India, say 8 acres, and gradually approach the average U.S. average footprint as their livelihood improves. In addition, the population-driven demand for housing in places like Los Angeles causes housing prices to go up, which results in those who can find jobs elsewhere and don't mind commuting moving to Northern California (or elsewhere) to buy cheaper homes in the sprawing suburbs or the foothill regions. And there goes California's biodiversity. California grew 13% between 1990 and 2000. Its birth rate is 2.6.

David Pimental, an agricultural ecologist, says 8% of the 100 million acres in California are devoted to crops. Yet each year 1.5% of those acres are lost from production when swallowed by urban and industrial spread. Each person added to the population requires approximately 1 acre of land for urbanization and highways. To add to California's picture of unsustainability, a significant portion of California's current 8 million acres of agricultural land are lost each year to erosion. As stated in the Sierra Club California Growth Management Guidelines (amended 2002): " California's population grew by nearly 26 percent between 1980 and 1990, from 23.7 million to 29.8 million, and grew by another 4.1 million persons between 1990 and 2000. Current projections indicate that population may double from the 1990 level to 58.7 million by 2040. In the face of such intense growth, California's fragmented and competitive local land use planning structures and subsidized dependenceon drive-alone transportation have contributed to severe environmental and ecological deterioration." and "Land use measures alone do not address the dynamics of the current 34 million Californians and a potential doubling of this number by the year 2040. Even if future growth is accommodated in the most environmentally sound manner, eventually population will exceed a level sustainable by available natural systems, including air, water, and energy."

Karen Gaia Pitts Population Issues Chair, Motherlode Chapter, Committee member of the Sierra Club's Global Population and Environment Program   May 01, 2004   Karen Gaia Pitts 010422

The Earth Doesn't Need Any More Americans.   The average American has an ecological footprint of 24 acres. Mexicans and Chinese have 5 acres. Each average Mexican or Chinese converted to an American consumer increases their impact 5 fold. All remaining wildlands on Earth would have to be converted to production when America's population grows to 1 billion. Electrical consumption per capita has been steady for 20 years. For example car mpg is down 10%. The efficient production of hydrogen fuel is at least 30 years away. One avenue of preserving wilderness and reducing impacts on the Earth is to limit the number of Americans. We will pursue better technologies, the reduction of American affluence and fertility (made difficult by high fertility of immigrants), but we should aim at US sustainability by 2050. That would be facilitated by population stabilization/reduction and immigration is 2/3 of that equation.      May 2004   Bob Shambrom 010628

To Hell with Butterflies, We Need Room for More People.   A growing population mostly due to immigration (and births to immigrants) is the greatest threat to endangered species in California. Two of California's butterflies, the Hermes copper and Thorne's hairstreak are among two dozen endangered species impacted by fires in 2003 and could be the first species in the state to be driven into extinction after the wildfires. Gnatcatcher birds are expected to have a food shortage in 2004. Yellow-legged frogs were victims of fires followed by mudslides in the San Bernardino Mountains. But the real reason these species are in danger is from diminished habitat caused by development, increased migration and population. If the butterflies disappear, they will be part of worldwide extinctions from development. Much of the region's habitat has been developed and there may be no room for species to make a comeback. Southern California has the second-highest number of endangered species in the U.S. after Hawaii. San Diego County, with 75 endangered species, tops all other counties in the nation and will add 1 million people and 300,000 homes by 2030 but still not meet the housing needs. Protection is needed that would ban developers from destroying the butterflies and their habitat but the developers will win. It is a choice between being politically correct or ecologically correct. Southern California is over-populated and every new human in the region places an additional burden on the environment. How much must the natural world sacrifice to make room for human beings? When will real decisions be made that will address human population stabilization? Most of the growing population is due to immigration and births to immigrants. The Sierra Club is currently in a debate over population and immigration and must pay attention to the impact on habitats and species.      March 08, 2004   Captain Paul Watson 009996

In a First, U.S. Puts Limits on California's Thirst - Commentary.   California's, population grew by more than 4.2 million between 1990 and 2000, 60% from direct immigration. The addition of 2,405,430 immigrants between 1990 and 2000 represents 58.5% of the growth but misses illegal immigrants. The primary consumer of water in California is agriculture and industry. Much agricultural water is wasted. Farmers pay about $70 for every acre-foot of water. Higher prices encourage investments in irrigation systems and a change in crop selection. It will cost $300 per acre-foot in Utah to deliver water to farmers and will produce crops worth about $30, but cost farmers $8. Farmers use more water than they would if market forces were allowed to guide the use of water. On a national level, we are using LESS water today than we did 20 years ago. While the population of the U.S. increased more than 16% between 1980 and 1995, water consumption declined 10%. Even a slight increase in the price of water or energy results in pressure to conserve water. The primary consumers are irrigation and industry, both have curtailed their water usage. Increased consumption is evident in the public supply and livestock. Population growth across the nation needs to be brought under control. population growth in the American West is a problem -- a huge problem. Arizona's population growth rate compares to Pakistan, Tanzania, and Honduras while Colorado's is similar to that of Ghana, El Salvador, and the Philippines.      January 2003   Patrick Burns 005211

Immigration and the Economy


U.S.: Bad Economy Slows Population Growth in South, West.   The nation's migration south and west is slowing, thanks to a housing crisis. Most southern and western states aren't growing as fast as they were at the start of the decade. The development could impact the political map. Southern and western states will still take congressional seats away from those in the Northeast and Midwest. Florida could gain two House seats and Texas four. But some seats could stay put, and California could be in danger of losing a seat for the first time. People have stopped moving - you need to know that moving and getting a new mortgage is going to pay off. Utah was the fastest growing state with the population climbinmg by 2.5% from July 2007 to July 2008. It was followed by Arizona, Texas, North Carolina and Colorado. Nevada was ranked eighth, after 23 years of ranking in the top four each year. Nevada was listed as the fastest growing state a year ago when the 2007 estimates were released. But adjustments to the 2007 numbers, released Monday, show that Utah was the fastest growing state in 2007 and Nevada was ranked fourth. Michigan and Rhode Island lost population from 2007 to 2008, but growth rates fell in many states. Foreign immigration has slowed since the start of the decade and fewer people are moving around within the nation's borders. Florida has attracted more people from other states than any other state. However, from 2007 to 2008, more people left Florida for other states than moved in, a loss of nearly 9,300 people. The state gained population from births and foreign immigration, but growth was slower. From 2007 to 2008, California had the biggest net loss of people moving to other states, more than 144,000 people. It was followed by New York, Michigan, New Jersey and Illinois. The states that attracted the most people from other states were Texas, North Carolina, Arizona, Georgia and South Carolina. The population shifts will be felt following the 2010 census, when the nation apportions the 435 seats in the House of Representatives. Texas stands to be the biggest winner, picking up four seats, while Ohio could be the loser, giving up two seats. Other states projected to lose single seats are Illinois, Iowa, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania. Arizona to add two seats, while Georgia, Nevada, South Carolina and Utah could add one each. Florida could add one or two seats. As many as 13 states could gain or lose seats, depending on population trends.   December 22, 2007   Associated Press 023440

The NPG Journal July 11, 2007.   The American people are against illegal immigration. The polls show that the vast number of Americans still believe that ours is a nation of laws and expect everyon,e especially the newcomers to live by them. One of the biggest consequences of the failure to resolve the immigration issue is that it is starting to be addressed by the states and local government. Many governing bodies are moving forward with measures aimed at making it more uncomfortable for them. We are seeing many states pass measures that restrict access to state services to only those who are citizens. Governors are telling ICE that, state and local law-enforcement agencies are going to start to enforce civil immigration laws. County leaders are finding ways to limit access to education. In some towns, laws restricting the number of people who can live in a residence or the renting or selling of property to illegals is already on the books. We will soon hold employers more accountable for knowingly hiring illegal workers. The logic is that illegals will go elsewhere if there are no government subsidies and no "welcome" mat. The actions to restrict drivers' licenses or grant in-state tuition to state colleges and universities for illegals created volatile arguments. Those pushing such measures were accused of acting anti-American. If our Senators and Congressmen would summon political courage and get beyond all of the special interest lobbyists in Washington, D.C., they will find that dealing with the illegal immigration issue is not as complex as they want to make it. Our task is to stand and fight. Conflicts many communities face in making sure immigrants understand the importance of getting children immunized, getting pre-natal care, and are overall healthy. Along the nation's southern border we are looking at Third-World type problems. In Arizona, the legislature are cracking down on employers who hire illegals. The State has passed a new law with a two-strike penalty: A business knowingly employing an illegal immigrant gets its business license suspended temporarily and a second offense means permanent revocation. Arizona is forcing companies to use a federal ID-verification system that was put in place by the Immigration Reform and Control Act of 1986 but which has been ignored. Not all is perfect with the new law which lacks protection for critical infrastructure. It is time to act now to get population under control before it creates a nightmarish future for us all. We face a bleak transportation future if today's legislators continue to balk at making the decisions today that will accommodate the additional 70 to 80 million people and their attendant problems. Over the coming decades we expect New York City will add nearly a million more people. This should bring benefits to our economy, it could also overwhelm the infrastructure and transportation systems that support our city. Our streets are too congested and our aging mass transit system is in need of significant upgrades. These problems will only get worse as our population swells. It's a frightening fact that private interests can control the actions of the Congress and whether the laws of our land are carried out or ignored. If we allow this tragic farce to go on, can we honestly continue to call our country a democracy? Congress and President Reagan granted amnesty to three million illegal aliens in 1986; the current President Bush wants to legalize another 12 million now, which sends a signal to other immigrants who want to slip into America that 20 years from now whoever is president will perhaps grant amnesty to 48 million illegal immigrants.   Karen Gaia says: I believe the place to start is to enforce current laws which penalize employers of illegal immigrants - or - penalize employers who pay less than minimum wage. I do not agree with denying either health care or education to illegal immigrants. If they are here, we do not need a 2nd class citizenry. And, women who can't get health care or education have higher birth rates. If we discourage illegal employment, illegals will stop coming. If the price of goods rise because of this, then Americans will be more likely to realize the true cost of living their high life style.   July 11, 2007   NPG 021552

Bulgarians Wonder Whether EU Will Halt Population Exodus.   Many Bulgarians wonder whether membership of the EU will revitalize the economy. It is a question that worries other European nations, who have put restrictions on Bulgarian and Romanian workers. It will be a problem to bring home the young people. Many went to Western Europe on three-month tourist visas and stayed on to work clandestinely. Most of the migrants are doing the low-qualified jobs that wealthy Europeans do not want. The Bulgarian Academy of Science estimates that more than one million people have sought work abroad since 1989. Between 1990 and 2004 the population slumped by 1.2 million to 7.76 million people and if the trend persists, Bulgaria's population could fall to 5.5 million in 2050. Bulgaria has 1.2 children per mother, child mortality rate is 12.3 per thousand. The country's impoverished gypsy population has the highest natality and mortality rates in Bulgaria. Parliament approved this year a plan to encourage births. But unemployment has been halved to 11% by restructuring the textile, brewing and quarrying industries and the arrival of tourism. Some 400-500 young people are leaving the region every year to seek better jobs. Germany became the latest EU nation to restrict the number of Bulgarian and Romanian workers. Sweden and Finland are the only members of the pre-2004 EU who will not restrict Bulgarian laborers.   Karen Gaia says: it is becoming abundantly clear that the wide disparity of wealth is one of the several factors leading to an unsustainable planet. When rich people become richer on the backs of immigrants, and then spend their wealth on overconsumption, it is a recipe for disaster.   December 21, 2006   Age 019784

Flow of Immigrants' Money to Latin America Surges.   Immigrants from Latin America arrive in the US and quickly find work. As soon as they have payed off the smuggler who brought them across the border, they start sending money home. Even in states that had no Latin American immigrants a few years ago, a growing trickle of money is making its way to places like Tlalchapa, Mexico, or Panajachel, in the Guatemalan highlands. Remittances to Latin America this year will total more than $45 billion, 51% higher than two years ago. Three-quarters of Latino immigrants send money home regularly, up from 60% in 2004. This may reflect growth in illegal immigrants, who tend to send money home more often than others. Sending money back to relatives at home has developed into a moral obligation. Estimates on remittances are in line with population figures from the Census Bureau, which found that Latin American immigrants made up 6.6% of the nation's household population. About 1.2% of the population of Pennsylvania was born in Latin America, 0.7% in Ohio and 2% in Indiana. These states had virtually no Latino immigrants five years ago. Money transfers from Indiana should approach $400 million this year, with above $500 million from Pennsylvania and $214 million from Ohio. The survey suffers from very small samples in some with the most recent immigrant populations. The data are consistent with pattern in which Latino migrants move from immigrant-heavy states to new frontiers like Pennsylvania in search of jobs. The reconstruction of New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina provides an example of how immigrant populations coalesce around jobs. Latino immigrants have flocked to New Orleans, where they accounted for half the reconstruction force, with 54% in the US illegally. Remittances to Latin America from Louisiana should top $200 million this year, a 240% increase since 2004.   October 19, 2006   New York Times* 019075

US California;: Organic Farmers Hit by Worker Shortage .   Increased patrolling along the border with Mexico, and easier, higher-paying jobs in the city have made farmworkers scarce. Farms are feeling the pinch, but organic farms that grow labor-intensive, hand-picked crops are especially suffering. More than half the 1.8 million farmworkers are here illegally, though in California the percentage is probably much higher. One farmer has been forced to tear out nearly 30 acres of vegetables, and estimated his loss so far to be about $200,000. Growers check documents of prospective workers, knowing that fakes are easy to find and the industry couldn't make it without the labor of undocumented workers. This has turned farmers into strong advocates of immigration reform. They're pushing hard for a program for guest worker. One farmer hired 320 workers for the harvest at his raspberry and blackberry farm. He could have used an extra 30 to 50 workers, but made do by paying workers to put in 12- or 14-hour days and postponing trellising, weeding and covering the plants. The labor shortage is a serious problem, and getting worse as the government adds more law enforcement to the border. Some growers are moving parts of their operations to Mexico; others, are having to tough it out, he said. "We need the workers; they need the work," one farmer said. "We just need to figure out some way to make this happen".   Karen Gaia says: Hiring illegal aliens to keep food prices down is a false economy. The growing population of the U.S. puts a strain upon its resources, including water and soil; and a strain on the world's environment and resources, including oil and global warming. The whole world pays for this false economy. If we want to help poor foreigners, it is better to send our money to poor countries to improve health and education there and stop spending money on cars and big houses and airplane trips.   August 14, 2006   Seattle Post-Intelligencer 018267

U.S.: Just Breathe: Facts and Figures on Latino Health and Air Quality.   92% of the U.S. Latino population lived in urban areas in 2002, 80% lived in counties that violate federal air-pollution standards. 57% of non-Latino whites live in counties that violate air-pollution standards. 50% of Latinos live in areas that violate the air-pollution standard for ozone. 39% of Latinos live within 30 miles of a power plant. 78 million pounds of toxins are released in 1994. 41% of U.S. mercury emissions came from power plants in 1994. 44% of states have fish-consumption warning about eating mercury-contaminated fish. The Bush administration's plan would cut mercury emissions from coal-fired power plants by 50% by 2020. 90% of mercury emissions from coal-fired power plants could be cut before the end of the decade if utilities were required to install top-notch technology. 11 years have passed since President Clinton issued an executive order requiring all federal agencies to include the achievement of environmental justice in their missions. The EPA have not developed criteria for defining which populations should be served by the executive order. 52% of Latinos under the age of 65 are without health insurance in 2003. 30% of Latino children live in poverty.      June 21, 2005   Grist 014103

U.S.: Immigrant Job Gains and Native Job Losses 2000 to 2004.   Steven A. Camarota of the Center for Immigration Studies testified for the House Judiciary Committee Subcommittee on Immigration, Border Security and Claims. Prior to the slowdown in 2000, Camarota assumed that the impact of immigration would have been to reduce wages and benefits for native-born workers but not overall employment. A study in 2003 showed that immigration reduces wages by 4% for all workers and 7% for those without a high school education. Another study shows that between March 2000 and March 2004 the number of unemployed adult natives increased by 2.3 million, but the number of employed immigrants increased by 2.3 million. About half the growth was from illegal immigration and overall the level of immigration, legal and illegal, does not seem to have slowed since 2000. Immigration has reduced job opportunities for natives and immigrants already here. The study shows little evidence that immigrants only take jobs Americans don’t want. While immigrant job gains have been throughout the labor market, its biggest impact has been in relatively low paying jobs, jobs which employ millions of native-born workers. In construction labor, building maintenance, and food preparation, immigration added 1.1 million adult workers in the last 4 years, but there were 2 million unemployed adult natives in these occupations in 2004. About two-thirds of the new immigrant workers in these occupations are illegal aliens. Those arguing for high levels of immigration are ignoring the %10 native unemployment rate in these categories in 2004. Native unemployment is highest in occupations which saw the largest immigrant influx, and the employment picture for natives looks worst in those parts of the country that saw the largest increase in immigrants. Businesses will continue to say that, "immigrants only take jobs Americans don’t want." But what they mean is that given what they pay, and the way they treat their workers, they cannot find enough Americans. Employers want the government to increase the supply of labor by non-enforcement of immigration laws. One of the best things we can do for less-educated natives, and legal immigrants, is strictly enforce our immigration laws and reduce the number of illegal aliens. We should also consider reducing unskilled legal immigration. This would enhance worker bargaining power and result in lower unemployment rates and increased wages and better working conditions for American workers, immigrant and native alike.      May 04, 2005   Center for Immigration Studies 013711

Mega-Farms in Ohio Offer Stench but Little Else to Communities.   Eight giant hog farms have been built in Paulding County, Ohio since 1994 and five mega-dairies since 2000. A number of local families have fled from their homes, unable to live with the stench from open manure pits and hydrogen sulfide that their doctors say caused brain damage. Three of the dairies have violated the Clean Water Act, according to the EPA. The farms buy only 1% of their feed from local grain farmers and provide few jobs. They pay about $7.50 an hour and are largely filled by Mexican migrants. The Ohio Department of Agriculture says the farms are welcome.      November 27, 2004   The Plain Dealer 012232

Jobs and People on the Move.   Economists argue that migration and offshoring benefit economies, as efficiency is increased. Manufacturing industries in the rich countries have for decades been whittled away by low-cost foreign competition. More recently the offshoring of work has raised the possibility that new swathes of the economy will become internationally tradeable. This seems likely to supplant migration, taking work to the workers. There are jobs that cannot be done overseas, and many foreign-born workers in cities with large amounts of immigration, work in services where proximity to the customer is required. The information technology and business services sector have functions that can be performed miles away. Offshoring and migration soared during the technology boom and the US trebled its visa programme for skilled workers, while countries that lagged behind in attracting foreign IT workers, scrambled to catch up. Immigrants tend to be younger and have higher birth rates: the faster growth of the US population, which is a significant cause of its higher economic growth, is caused by higher immigration. For continental Europe, struggling with state pension and benefit systems, the attraction of youth into the workforce paying taxes is hard to overestimate. But expecting immigration to solve the pension systems problems is wishful thinking. In the US, migration would have to increase by 30% a year to stabilise the ratio of working-age to general population. In Japan, immigration would have to increase by 700% a year. The political backlash against large-scale immigration suggests that the trend of confining immigration to skilled workers will continue, supplanted by illegal immigrants for low-paid service jobs. The advantage of offshoring is that wages abroad can be lower and the division between offshoring and migration will depend on the technology of the jobs and the political constraints on governments. The US has seen a stronger backlash against offshoring than immigration, while European nations experienced the opposite. Restrictions on study and work visas since the attacks of September 11 have constricted skilled immigration in the US which may shift the balance. The onward march of integrated global economy and the shrinking cost of transport and communications will probably ensure that migration and offshoring continue apace. In the meantime, disgruntled workers and nativists complain that "foreigners are taking our jobs", facing competition from those who are prepared to accept lower wages and worse working conditions.   Again, growing the economy is only a solution until limited resources run out. Creating more goods for more consumers is like a giant Ponzi scheme. In addition, many of the workers who are being displaced are the very Baby Boomers who will demand a pension when they retire.   September 27, 2004   Economist 011656

Population, Migration, and Globalization.   Few have noticed that the economic consequences of the free flow of goods and capital are equivalent to a free flow of labor. Globalization is the effective erasure of national boundaries opening to free mobility of capital and goods and also, uncontrolled migration of labor from regions of rapid population growth. Here in the US we have seen a basic social agreement between labor and capital over how to divide the value that they jointly add to raw materials. It was not reached by economic theory, but through debate, elections, strikes, lockouts, court decisions, and violent conflicts. That agreement is being repudiated in the interests of global integration. If globalization entails the overt encouragement of free migration it would lead to a massive relocation of people, creating a tragedy of the open access commons. Indeed, it would be cheaper to encourage emigration of the poor, sick, or criminals, rather than run welfare programs. The world community should be viewed as a federation of national communities. Immigration is a policy, not a person, and one can be pro immigration limits without being anti-immigrant. A moral guide is the recognition that one's obligation to non-citizens is to do them no harm, while one's obligation to fellow citizens is to do no harm and then try to do positive good. Free trade and global integration mean that nations are no longer free not to trade. Global economic integration far from halting population growth, will bring the consequences of overpopulation to the globe as a whole. The consequences in both costs of overpopulation and benefits of population control, are externalized to all nations but under globalization are distributed by class more than by nation. Unfortunately the recent tendency of the environmental movement is to court "political correctness" by soft-pedaling issues of population, migration, and globalization.      September 2004   World Watch 011601

Coming Soon: The Vanishing Work Force.   Half the workers who maintain the grid at Duquesne electric utility will be eligible to retire by the end of the decade. Half the 6,500 nurses at the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center will hit 55 in the next seven years. At Westinghouse, which maintains nuclear power generators, the average age of engineers is the late 40's. A declining and aging population places at risk the stability of the work force and opportunities for economic progress. Older workers may have to stay on longer than planned. Pittsburgh has surplus workers, with an unemployment rate that jumped to 5.7% from 4.2% three years ago. Their power industry has shed 40% of jobs in the last 10 years. Yet more than 16% of Pittsburgh's population is over 65. By 2012, Pennsylvania could face a shortage of 125,000 workers. This is an example of a drama unfolding across the nation. Those from 16 to 54 will have grown by six million from 2002 to 2012 but the 55-and-over will have expanded by 18 million. By 2030, 55 and older will be 37% of the adult population, 15% today. 13% more people will retire from 2003 to 2008 than in the previous five years. Some companies are scrambling to secure tomorrow's work force. Duquesne Light set up a program to train new line workers. The University of Pittsburgh is trying to recruit new nurses and retain veterans. The restaurant industry is lobbying for easier immigration. Many companies are outsourcing jobs. To deal with the aging of America's labor force, workers will probably have to work longer. Alan Greenspan suggested that Social Security and Medicare benefits be curtailed to keep workers on the job longer. The aging of the work force has more to do with a decline in the production of young people. The fertility rate dropped from 3.5 children per woman in the mid-1950's to about 2 in the 1970's. Aging is not just an American issue. By the time America's median age reaches 40, half of all Italians will be over 52. The US has drawn new immigrants who accounted for 47% of the increase in the labor force from 1990 to 2000. Yet the poor countries are getting older, too - by 2050, Mexico's median age will rise to 42. The expansion of the labor force will be 0.6% a year over the first half of the 21st century, from 1.6% in the second half of the 20th. In 2000, there were five people aged 20 to 64 for each person 65 or older. By 2030, the ratio will be less than 3 to 1. An economist at the University of Pennsylvania contends that unemployment leaves a big pool of workers and the abundance of baby-boomer labor wasn't so great for workers. Hourly earnings in fell by more than 15% from the early 1970's to the mid-1990's. If labor markets tighten, wages will rise and productivity accelerate, sustaining economic growth. Higher wages may draw older people into the job market. A 1998 study found that the rise in the dependency ratio could shrink US living standards by 10% by 2050. Our older people are staying on longer because they can't afford to retire. Over the past 50 years, corporate and federal policies have encouraged workers to retire as early as possible. Pension plans had favored early retirement. In 1950, 87% of men 55 to 64 and 46% over 65 were working. By 2000, this had dropped, to 67% and 17%. Employers could make it easier for older workers to stay, through flexible schedules and phased retirement. The government should offer Medicare as primary insurance to the elderly employed and readjust rules to allow employers to offer older workers sliding scales of benefits for part-time or occasional work. Rising medical premiums are rough on employers, but make it harder for people to leave before Medicare kicks in at 65. According to the 2004 Retirement Confidence Survey, barely 36% of workers are confident that they will have enough money to take care of basic expenses during retirement and those who expect to retire before 65 has dropped to 37% from 495 a decade ago. We are living longer but people haven't saved enough to afford the lifestyle we want, so are staying longer in the work force.   Unfortunately, there is a price to be paid for baby-booms, unless they are managed correctly. Adding more people to take care of the boomers will only create the same problems later, only worse because resources can only be stretched so far.   August 29, 2004   Urban Institute 011386

Costs of Illegal Immigration.   Illegal aliens use $2,700 a year more in services than they pay in taxes, creating a fiscal burden of nearly $10.4 billion on the federal budget in 2002. Among the largest costs: Medicaid ($2.5 billion); treatment for the uninsured ($2.2 billion); food assistance ($1.9 billion); the prison and court systems ($1.6 billion); aid to schools ($1.4 billion). The primary reason they create a deficit is their low education levels and low incomes and tax payments. Amnesty increases costs because illegals would still be unskilled, and tax payments modest, but they would access more government services. Many legal immigrants are highly skilled and many of the costs are due to their U.S.-born children, who have U.S. citizenship at birth so barring illegals from federal programs will not reduce costs. The average illegal household pays over $4,200 a year in taxes, for a total of $16 billion. However, they impose annual costs of more than $26.3 billion, or $6,950 per illegal household. About 43%, or $7 billion, of the taxes illegals pay go to Social Security and Medicare. Employers do not see the costs of less-educated immigrants because the costs are spread out among all taxpayers. Amnesty will not change the low education levels or the fact that the American economy offers such workers limited opportunities, regardless of legal status. The majority of illegal aliens will have very low incomes, and make modest tax payments but legal status would allow them to use more programs. Cost would rise because legal immigrants with the same levels of education make extensive use of public services. Thus, even though tax payments would rise by 77% costs would rise 117%. The Earned Income Tax Credit pays cash to low-income workers. Illegals account for only 1.5% of the costs, but if they were legalized their use would grow tenfold because they would no longer need stolen or bogus SS numbers to get the credit. This rise in cost is not due to laziness by the immigrants it reflects the low education of illegals and their resulting low incomes. Policy makers have tried to reduce the costs while allowing illegals to remain but this has not been effective because the average illegal receives less than half as much from the government as other households and many costs are due to U.S.-born children. Other programs are too politically sensitive to cut, and others are unavoidable, such as incarcerating illegals convicted of crimes. Enforcing immigration laws is popular with voters and administratively feasible. There are two options: either enforce the law, reducing the number of illegals, or accept the costs from a large pool of unskilled workers. An analysis of illegal alien tax returns by the Inspector Generals Office in 2004, found that half had no federal income tax liability.   So the question is: are members of the public willing to make the sacrifice to help low income immigrants or is it really a sacrifice? Have they become accustomed to the benefits of illegal (i.e. substandard wages) labor?   August 25, 2004   Center for Immigration Studies 011346

Immigration: New Jobs Going to Non-Citizens   1.3 million new jobs were created between the first quarter of 2003 and the first quarter of 2004; 26% of those jobs that have gone to noncitizens, who are ineligible to vote.   June 24, 2004   Time magazine 010906

Money Sent Home to Mexico.   One of Mexico's largest revenue streams consists of money sent home by legal and illegal immigrants working in the U.S and this will help Mexico reduce its $17.8 billion deficit and bolster the peso. $10 billion dollars are sent back to Mexico annually, up $800 million from the previous year. That equals what Mexico earns from tourism. This is a massive transfer of wealth so, when illegals come to the U.S. the economic difference is at least $10 billion. The difference of earned minus savings includes discretionary income used for consumer goods that could not be obtained in their home country.      March 2004   Fred Elbel of Colorado Alliance for Immigration Reform 010040

US Maryland: One in Five Area Workers Born Abroad.   One in five workers in the Baltimore-Washington area was born outside the US and accounted for most of the recent growth in jobholders. In 2000, immigrants accounted for 15% of workers, by 2003, 20%. The numbers underline the growing role of immigrants, but raise questions about the impact on native-born workers. The immigration surge is noticeable in Maryland and Virginia, where the economy is stronger. Immigration hit record levels during the 1990s but now seems linked to family networks, war, poverty and lack of opportunity elsewhere. Immigration, legal and illegal, has not slowed despite listless U.S. job growth and tightened border enforcement. Recently arrived foreign-born workers have made up most of the growth in the workforce since 2000. The nation has 9.3 million illegal immigrants, with 100,000 to 200,000 in the Washington area. Tougher border policing has discouraged people without legal papers from leaving because of fear they won't be able to get back. A community organization that offers a programs for immigrants saw a drop in attendance at its meetings after the Sept. 11, attacks, but enrollment is back to usual. There is an increase in people from Colombia due to the political and economic situation, also from Africa. Immigrants have reshaped the workforce in construction and hotel housekeeping that once were heavily African American. The foreign-born population in the region is more diverse than it is nationally, and better educated. Latin Americans account for less than 40%. The area has a fast-growing population from Africa and Asia. Most of the foreign-born workers have some college education. Their impact is greater at the less-skilled end, where they account for one in four workers with a high school degree or less. Some immigrants could be displacing U.S.-born workers. In the Washington area, groups that want to limit immigration agree there is little worker opposition. Some union leaders agree that employers prefer to hire immigrants, believing they are more willing to work overtime or come to work on short notice and if a person's immigrant status is unclear, they won't complain if they get into an accident, that would drive an American to worker's compensation or unemployment insurance. Does the availability of cheap labor allow an employer to avoid investing in more-efficient equipment or technology? Would some jobs even exist if it were not for foreign-born workers willing to take them?      February 02, 2004   Washington Post 009906

Immigration in a Time of Recession.   The economic downturn has had no impact on immigration. It slowed slightly in 2001, but new legal and illegal immigration remain at record-setting levels. Since 2000, 2.3 million immigrant workers (legal and illegal) have arrived in the US, the same as during the three years prior to 2000. Immigration levels have matched or exceeded the late 1990s in Texas, New Jersey, Virginia, Maryland, Illinois, Arizona, Washington, North Carolina, Georgia, and New York. Nationally, 1.2 million in each three-year period are illegal aliens. The number of foreign-born adults holding a job has grown 1.7 million since 2000, while among natives the number working fell by 800,000. The number of employed foreign-born adults increased since 2000, the number unemployed also increased, by 600,000, unemployment rising from 4.9 to 7.4%. The total foreign-born population has grown by 3.5 million since 2000. Immigration is driven by factors which have little to do with the job market in the US. America's higher standard of living drives most immigration, and the disparity in living standards does not disappear during downturns. Immigrants feel that being unemployed in this country is better than life back home.      November 06, 2003   Center for Immigration Studies 009134

India Set for Flood of Jobs From the West.   Business outsourcing to India is expected to earn $62 billion (=A339 billion) by 2010 and is expected to grow by 60% to $2.4 billion this year. The shift is blamed on spiralling wages in the developed world, and a slowdown in the economy. It is estimated that $356 billion for financial services will move offshore, much to India. With a high level of education, and many speaking English, the country has an edge over China. A UK bank has been transferring its office to Madras during the past 18 months and has shifted 23 units from 35 countries. Almost the entire workforce are graduates under 32 and earn between $150 and $250 a year, an annual salary of A31,000. In the UK, workers start on salaries ten times that amount. In the future a big proportion of medical claims processing could be carried out in India. Little will stop the shift of jobs from Western economies to India and China. In America, certain states have said that some jobs will not be done offshore and there are certain to be more regulations as the industry gathers momentum. American regulators have raised concerns over security issues by giving customer details to companies outside the US. BT was forced to deny its decision to recruit workers in India was a threat to UK jobs. It will take 15 years for wages in India to catch up with wages in the UK.   Perhaps the salary figures are incorrect and should be 1,500 and 2,500 a year.   April 12, 2003   timesonline 006529

Sour Economy Can't Stop Tide of Immigrants.   Economic slowdown and anti-terrorism measures have not slowed the flow of immigrants into California. Even if it's harder to get into the United States, life is better here. Immigrants and their children account for most of the 872,000-person increase in California's population since the 2000 census. They are likely to be poor and need social services. Nearly half live in poverty, nearly 4 in 10 lack a high school education. 30% of immigrants and their children in California lack health insurance. However a number of immigrants leave this country and return back home. Congress will take up in January a fresh round of immigration measures which could include a proposal for an agricultural guest-worker program, as well curtailing legal immigration. California's 9 million-plus immigrants dominate its population in many ways, for example 57% of the state's uninsured are immigrants or their U.S.-born children. California has among the highest uninsured rate counts in the nation.      November 27, 2002   The Sacramento Bee 004862

U.S.: Sustaining Hope for the World's People.   "From a purely economic perspective, the growth in the US population is a fortunate development for that country because it means the workforce is assured. But the growth bodes ill for the environment generally. Today, 4% of the world's population lives in the US, which is responsible for a quarter of global greenhouse-gas emissions. But with US President GeorgeW.Bush determined to ditch the Kyoto protocol, a booming US population is likely to mean a further blowout in the level of gases responsible for global warming. This, in turn, will mean a world in which the climate is more extreme, less predictable and more prone to catastrophic droughts, floods and storms. It will also mean a rise in the number of refugees - because developing nations are the least able to cope with the effects of natural disasters and are, therefore, more vulnerable to their effects."   April 08, 2001   Sunday Age editorial 004720

Congress Backs More Tech Visas.   Congress approved legislation to increase the number of visas for highly skilled foreign workers. The Senate voted 96 to 1 for the bill; the House passed it on a voice vote, and President Clinton is expected to sign it. Up to195,000 "H-1B visas" will be issued in each of the next three years, mainly to satisfy the voracious appetite of the burgeoning high-tech industry. In addition, initiatives are being sponsored by the Democrats to grant amnesty to illegal aliens who have been in the United States since 1986 and to ease restrictions for many immigrants. [Why is this important? Because the environment of the U.S. is impacted by population growth, currently at 1% a year, which would result in the doubling of the population in 70 years. In some areas the doubling will occur much faster. California, for example, will experience a doubling in 40-50 years if the current growth rate of 1.6% continues. Immigration contributes significantly to the U.S. population growth, perhaps as much as 60%, and may amount to 90% in the future if children of immigrants are included. In addition, Americans, including immigrants, tend to consume far out of proportion to the rest of the world. If Americans are going to accept immigration in large numbers, they should at least be prepared to tighten their belts considerably so that they don't impact the rest of the world with their overconsumption and contribution to global warming. The growing of the economy this way is a false economy that exploits the world's resources in order to continue, leading to eventual collapse when resources run out.] October 14, 2000   The Washington Post 004785

Opinion: Mass Migration and the Economic Incentive.   By removing the financial incentive for American employers to exploit millions of immigrant workers, we can expand justice in our world. Do we really think that when the most industrious people of a foreign nation leave for America that there is any improvement in the life of that nation? Of course not! When talented people leave, life becomes worse. By permitting mass immigration to occur, we're only intensifying the root causes that provoke people to leave home in the first place. Mass immigration is simply the other side of the unjust globalization coin. The IMF, World Bank, and WTO help corporations to exploit people outside the United States. Our nation's mass immigration policies help the same corporations to exploit people inside the United States.   Gregory Bungo 012680

Bioregionalism, Labor and Goods


Opinion, Polls


U.S.: Immigration, Population and Politics.   California had about 27 million residents when Californians for Population Stabilization (CAPS) was formed in 1986 to raise alarms about the impacts of continued population growth. California now has about 38 million residents. If California continues to grow, it faces environmental degradation. Many of the problems facing California today have one root cause: too many people. As California's population grows by a half-million or more each year, virtually all of that growth stems from immigration, legal and illegal. Population growth, creates the demand for more housing, more water, more schools, more highways – more of everything and that puts pressure on the environment. Overpopulation driven by unsustainable levels of immigration is bringing on more traffic congestion, escalating energy prices, overcrowding of our beaches, parks and recreational areas, and increasing demands on our limited water supply. That said, while the low- or no-growth policies might lessen the environmental issues, they would also create new and difficult economic and social problems. Shortages of trained workers are looming in California. Low-growth countries such as Japan are already feeling that pinch. Without ever-expanding, tax-generating construction, employment and retail sales, state and local governments would be compelled to raise taxes on an aging population with fixed incomes. Changes of political policy often produce unintended consequences.   Karen Gaia says: add more workers to solve the aging population problem and you will have those workers becoming aged themselves one day. Who will take care of them? It is an insane pyramid scheme to keep growing the population to take care of the aged. Regarding immigration contributing to growth, most of California's growth is due to births, many of which are unintended and can be prevented - regardless of whether or not the parents are native born. There are many legislative measures that affect California's fertility. Let us work on them!!!   June 29, 2008   Sacramento Bee 023130

Report: Population Pressure.   Much has been written about the growth in the worlds population and the growth in resource usage and global pollution. They also speak of the potential for growth in world poverty through the inequality of global wealth, hunger and lack of basic health care. With an increasing population, increasing use of resources, increasing demand for lower prices / high profits, the inability of some regions to reach sustainability there will be large sections of populations at threat. The inability of present governments to control the above trends and learn lessons speaks of significant future issues unable to be tackled by the same government mechanisms. The population growth trend is a vast number of people. These people need governments that are able to tackle the opportunities and threats. The numbers speak of the urgency to climb out of poverty and provide for their families, to ensure education and health care and to avoid the diseases and wars that will ravage the crowded populations. By 2050 there will be a third more population in the world than today. The developed world will reach for an even higher standard of living. This will mean a tremendous pressure on resources and on the resulting pollution. Pollution from China and India will surpass those the developed world where recycling and an increasing reliance on technology will gain ground. As the worlds population increases, so will the demand for energy and disposable goods also the raw resources to produce the goods. There will be a greater national control of resources throughout the developing world. This will fuel the economies of these areas and help increase the sustainability of their economic growth, adding to increases in population. The population of the developing world will increase at a faster rate than in the developed world. We are experiencing today the beginnings of what will be by 2020 a massive shift in the worlds population. The lure of the developed world to the population of the underdeveloped world is increasing. This WILL be a massive shift and will be fuelled by the unequal rise in the standard of living. It will cause instability in those areas in receipt of a massive influx of new people. Some areas of the developing world will continue to observe a loss of trained doctors and teachers and engineers, among others, lured to the developed world by more money and an increase in the standard of living. People cannot be blamed for wanting to survive. People cannot be blamed for wanting to feed their children. Encouraged by lax national border controls, there will be a massive global cross border shift of population. With so many newcomers entering into a range of countries, the problems within these recipient countries can be exaggerated to breaking point. Measures by security forces to counter extremism and organized crime will increase in intensity. Arguments against unchecked immigration will breed racism. This will polarize some societies with all the risks this entails. The more the host countries seek to accommodate the new wave of migrants, the greater the resentment and backlash from the resident population. This will involve deepening political divisions based on lessening resources, increasing crime, increasing extremism, increasing surveillance. The argument will be sensationalized to revolve around racism. What it will be about is a balanced fairness. What it will be about is preserving societies from being drained of resources, or from being swamped, by undesirables fleeing justice in their own home lands. All economies will be fragile in the face of global trends or terrorist attacks. The pressure on resources will become increasingly difficult to manage. The inequalities of global wealth will be evident. This will happen because of the level of influx. This will mean either an increasing reliance on charity or an increasing tax burden to pay for the influx of migrants. Over the ages, many people have come to the developed world to build a better life, to be a part of something they perceived to be good and worthwhile. They wanted to add to society and help to create a better society in which their families could flourish. The developed world has been built on integration and fairness and opportunity for all. For the developed world there will be positives from immigration. It will carry essential skills and labour to fuel the growth in economies. Yet there will be an uncontrolled human flood across borders bringing a mass of people, some of whom will have no thought to integrate, Against this governments, crippled by political correctness and the inability to act decisively will fail to grapple the issue. The inability to manage sustainably will cause chaos. Population pressure and economic mismanagement will cause the migration to continue and to gain strength. Due to increasing population the tension will increase resulting in states within states with different loyalties and aspirations within free societies with free speech, education and opportunity. In the midst of this freedom will be voices of condemnation and hate. In a number of countries, due to a lack of strategic understanding, they will fail to protect and preserve the societies. A number of these governments from less "free" societies will blame others for their own mismanagement. In some countries the governments will gain stability and sustainable growth through a strategic understanding of the global trends and a harnessing of the technical and energy production. A small minority will be criminals seeking refuge in a new country which may be easy pickings for them. This will be the case because successive governments hampered by political correctness will talk tough on the issue of cross border information exchange and controls but will do little of practical importance. This small minority will include people who hate western society and whose loyalties lay elsewhere. This will be aided by the growth of internet based communities encouraging destruction, oppression and the politics of fear for the sake of individuals clutching on to power. This minority will be one of the greatest internal dangers of the developed world. Opportunity within the developing world should not be perceived as a threat to the commercial interests of the developed world. Helping the developing world achieve a greater level of opportunity will be breaking a number of unspoken commercial rules. As the global population increases, this will result in a major shift in population as the population rise outstrips the rise in opportunity within the developing world. Migration will increase beyond previously levels and result in a resource drain from the developing world and too great a population pressure within the developed world Many countries attempt to control illegal immigration but too few resources and willingness to make difficult decisions leaves systems open to abuse.   Karen Gaia says: I see much less threat from immigration than I do from global warming, worldwide resource depletion, especially oil and water, conflicts over resources (i.e. war in Iraq), deforestation/ soil erosion (affecting the ability to feed the world's people, including those in the U.S.), and the attitude of the American public concerning consumption (single occupant households, energy consuming appliances, eating a lot of meat, driving 50 miles to work, for example).   September 09, 2007   Alt3.co.uk 021899

Editorial: The Failure of Environmental Organizations.   By Mark PowellThe organized environmental movement has been almost totally ineffective at protecting the environment since the mid 1980s. This is demonstrated by the failure to energize the public to deal with global warming. But this is the tip of the iceberg. Other environmental crises include loss of species diversity, loss of natural resources. The list goes on. With the exception of efforts to protect the stratospheric ozone layer, the threatening global trends continue. Organizations are treating the symptoms not the root cause - POPULATION GROWTH. The worst problem may be the sprawl and suburbanization, which affects nearly every town in Vermont. Many factors have contributed to our environmental problems including the myth that we must have continued growth, a media that has not paid much attention to the environment, and our personal consumption patterns. Yet, environmental organizations hold a good deal of the responsibility. The environmental movement has gone from a citizen-based activist movement to an organizational movement run on paid staff. It has resulted in less passion, less citizen involvement, less creativity, and less risk taking. The movement relies on paid lobbyists and the members are limited to signing petitions after receiving an email alert. With their paid staffs and large budgets, environmental organizations have become businesses, with their business interests taking precedence over their mission. Each environmental organization works with its own limited agenda. The organized environmental movement lacks leaders who are willing to be outspoken and radical. We need to call attention to issues, so that the rest of the movement does not seem so extreme. Most importantly, environmental organizations have not mentioned population growth on their websites or in their literature as a major cause of our environmental problems. When the environmental movement began in the 1960s and 1970s concern for the environment and population growth were very closely interconnected. Many of the nation's largest environmental groups, considered "population control" as the major plank of their platform. In 1966 when one said, "We feel you don't have a conservation policy unless you have a population policy." The first big Earth Day in 1970 had population growth as a central theme. A large coalition of environmental groups in 1970 endorsed a resolution stating that, "population growth is directly involved in the pollution and degradation of our environment. The well-being of individuals, the stability of society and our very survival are threatened." Environmental organizations have focused almost entirely on technology, be it driving more fuel efficient cars or encouraging "smart growth." National environmental organizations acknowledge put almost no resources into addressing this concern. In Vermont, only two of 25 environmental organizations have publicly acknowledged that population growth is a contributor to our environmental problems. Several authors have written that population size and growth is of major concern including Al Gore in An Inconvenient Truth, James Kuntstler in The Long Emergency, Sandra Postel in Saving the Planet, Lester Brown in Plan B Rescuing a Planet Under Stress and a Civilization in Trouble, James Speth in Red Sky at Morning, America and the Crisis of the Global Environment, and Garret Hardin in Our Population Myopia. Why is it that well-respected environmentalists can make movies, and write and sing about population growth but our environmental organizations seem tongue-tied when it comes to discussing it? Why have environmental organizations abandoned dealing with population growth? Fertility rates dropped in the 1970s to 1.75, which is below replacement level, and it appeared to some that population growth would take care of itself. Abortion, contraception, and women's issues entered into politics, and these became very divisive and a focus of attention. It also became clear, that immigration was the driving force of our population growth with some 70% to 90% of our population growth since 1970 due to historically high immigration levels and the descendents of these immigrants. Environmental leaders do not want, to be seen as racist, although wanting to protect the environment has nothing to do with racism. Funding became an issue, with some donors and foundations threatening loss of funds if an environmental organization talked about population and/or immigration. Environmental organizations promote "sustainability" but a population of 300 million growing by approximately four million a year is not sustainable. A truly long-term sustainable population without cheap oil is probably 150 to 200 million. The larger the U.S. population grows the more difficult it is going to be to achieve a sustainable population. The original founders of the modern environmental movement had it right. Population growth is a major cause of our environmental degradation. It is long past the time when action on population growth should be reestablished as a high priority by environmental organizations if they really want to protect our environment. Population is a sensitive issue but it really is time that environmental leaders stopped worrying about causing 'offence' to people or about a backlash from public opinion, took their courage in their hands and began alerting everyone to the need to rein back human numbers, humanely and democratically, for the sake of the planet.   Ralph says: HURRAH!!!! This is probably the most important article I have worked on since I began summarizing articles. For this reason it is much longer than I would wish but almost every word is vitally important. It should be headlines on all the TV news stations and in every newspaper. ... Karen Gaia says: while the author has it wrong that environmentalists do not work on population, he is still right that we should not ignore immigration. Just as US women limited their family size to what is economical, we as a country should limit our size to what is sustainable. On the other hand, if environmental organizations do not feel it is worth it to tackle a very difficult subject like immigration (sometimes it poisons international family planning efforts), then we should not be faulting those organizations. But let's not call it population control anymore. There is no control to voluntary family planning.   April 20, 2007   Guardian (London) 021187

A World of Hurt Will Follow Population Explosion.   Demographers figure the American population will soon reach 300 million. But it is common analysis among immigration experts that if Congress passes even a guest-worker program, 100-200 million more people will be here by 2050. If immigration is not controlled, it's not far to the 1 billion mark and that means deadly competition for water and land between farmers and cities. The cost of congestion caused by our 226 million cars has paved 4 million miles of roads. Traffic congestion in 2003 caused 3.7 billion hours of travel delay, and wasted 2.3 billion gallons of fuel. The total bill was $63 billion. Why is so little being said about the 300 million step toward 500 million and beyond? The issue seems to break down into two warring groups. The one that dominates is the "man-as-consumer" group which likes to point to America's growth as beneficial, compared with Europe's declining populations. But we need a population with a sustainable base. The other group's thinking sees man as a citizen whose personality and soul must be nurtured by sustainable growth and respect and love for his fellow citizen and the environment. But it's the opposite. Look at the war between the desert and the rainforest, a conflict between the herders and farmers. If you look around the world where population is burgeoning, these are all places where the water tables are falling. Wars where people are fighting for resources and space. The countries that have controlled population (Singapore, Taiwan, Tunisia, to mention only a few) have blossomed. Professionals in the field are saying we should have a "population policy," that would lay down desired markers for the future or promote a civil national discussion on population.   October 13, 2006   Chicago Tribune 019023

U.S.;: Opinion: The Next Added 100 Million Americans.   The U.S. Senate in May 2006 doubled immigration levels from 1.0 to 2.0 million annually. It increased work visas by tens of thousands. The senate bill did nothing to stop illegal immigration. It did not stop the 50,000 annual diversity visas that allow that many people to come to America from the poorest countries in the world. The bill did not take into account that people arriving from Third World countries do not change their large family propensities of six to eight and more children per couple. What does that mean to American citizens? Can anyone name a single advantage to adding 100 million people to America in 34 years? What has a 2.4 billion person population done to India or China? In 1900, the world population reached 1.6 billion; today, it exceeds 6.4 billion; by mid century it's expected to grow to as high as 9.8 billion. Name one advantage to adding 3,000,000,000 more people to the globe? Already, eight million people starve to death annually. Over 35% of humanity does not have clean drinking water. What do we hope to accomplish by adding another 3.0 billion people to the planet. In 1964, America housed 194 million people, 95% of kids arrived at school from a two parent home. In 1965, U.S. Senator Kennedy passed the Immigration Reform Act that changed a steady influx of immigrants from 175,000 annually to a gargantuan 1.1 million people per year. Along with illegal immigration, the United States grew by 106 million people in 41 years. Here are a few things you can expect in your state as population rises all over this country. In the next 50 years, you can expect 1,000,000 to 3,000,000 more people added to your state. Yet today, Colorado, New Mexico, Arizona and California don't possess enough water for their residents. Water shortages and rationing will become the norm. States like Colorado lost 1.65 million acres of prime farm land to development in the past 10 years and added 1.3 million people. Colorado will lose 3.1 million more acres by 2022. By 2050 an additional 2.0 million more acres will be placed under concrete and asphalt. While we exceed the land's carrying capacity, we pack ourselves in like sardines. Growth adds cars, trucks, homes, power plants, malls and smoke stacks. Can you imagine what it will be with an added 100 million people in 34 years? Your food costs will triple. Goods and services will explode beyond predictions. We're driving this population train into a dead end tunnel. When will local and national leaders, newspapers, TV and radio talk shows deal with overpopulation? Immigration on the scale America has had for the last three decades is a recipe for cultural suicide and the squandering of a rich national heritage. (WOA!! disagrees - see below)   Karen Gaia says: WOA!! agrees that immigration adds an unsustainable number of people to the U.S. However, 6 to 8 children per couple sounds like a huge exaggeration. It is not the poorest people who migrate. And most immigrant families do reduce their birth rate within one generation. Also, WOA!! definitely does not agree there will be a cultural suicide or the squandering of a rich cultural heritage. 1. The U.S. is already a product of a large melting pot of peoples. 2. Other cultures have a lot to offer and we may benefit from them.   September 28, 2006   Frosty Wooldridge 018856

Poll: Most Americans Don't Want Continuing Large U.S. Population Growth.   A survey of 1,000 voters nationally, conducted Sep. 18-24 by The Polling Company/Woman Trend, reveals great discomfort about the rapid U.S. population growth being caused by federal immigration policies. The poll raises questions about the calculations of most Senators and President Bush who have been trying to increase the rate of immigration. About 66% of voters believe the population growth being caused by immigration will "negatively impact the quality of life in America." The Census Bureau projects that, if current immigration rates are allowed the country will add well over 100 million residents by mid-century, with most of the growth caused by immigration. The majority of American voters overwhelmingly say it would worsen their quality of life. * Hispanics: By a 6-1 ratio, they say quality of life where they live would be made worse by such population growth. * Blacks: By a 9-1 ratio, they fear worse over better. * Democrats expect population growth will make things worse over better by 7-1, 10-1 for Independents, and 14-1 for Republicans. Regardless of the population density, voters prefer their current level of population. Voters in the Mid-Atlantic states say one-third more growth would make the quality of life worse by a 13-1 ratio. Voters in the northern Great Plains say worse by a 10-1 ratio. The majority of Senators voted to more than double current immigration rates. This would have forced a level of population growth that almost no Americans prefer. * Fewer than 12% think current population growth rates would improve their quality of life. This is also true regardless of the voter's age, income or marital status. Two-thirds of Americans would prefer that Congress reduce annual immigration numbers. Only 3% say they support increasing the number of immigrants. Only 2% of likely Democratic voters and 2% of likely Republican voters want higher immigration. Only 5% of likely Hispanic voters prefer an increase in immigration. Black Americans prefer immigration reductions over immigration increases by an astounding 72-1 ratio. Most polls find little support for immigration increases, and when voters think about the population consequences of immigration, support for higher immigration almost disappears.   September 03, 2006   NumbersUSA 019363

Sierra Club Sellout on Immigration?.   The Sierra Club in the 1980s called the US the most overpopulated nation, but that was before a contributor handed them over $100 million. It seems the Sierra Club puts its own interests ahead of environment. In the mid-1980s we recognized that the US is one of the planet's fastest growing nations. Our concerns were based on a 1970s warning that the US population by 2050 could be 400 million. The 1970s Rockefeller Commission, warned that at 300 million, the government might be unable to adequately educate citizens, provide health care, protect the environment. Such concerns were discussed within the Sierra Club, but in the 1990s, the Sierra Club began to condemn as racist, efforts to get the club to take a stand to reduce immigration. The club hierarchy made similar accusations against candidates running for the board of directors on immigration-reduction or population-stabilization platforms. Some candidates charged that the club's stand was due to pressure from a secret donor. An Oct. 27, 2004, the LA Times revealed that David Gelbaum, had contributed $101 million to the Sierra Club. Gelbaum admitted that he had earlier told the club that "if they ever came out anti-immigration, they would never get a dollar from me." That the 1970s population policy did not happen is because a premier environmental organization has repeatedly implied that sustainability is possible without population stabilization. That ignores the threat to the environment and global-climate change of a billion resource-consuming Americans. ...by Kathleene Parker, former member of the Sierra Club population committee   Karen Gaia says: Since I too have been on the Sierra Club's population committee, I can say that the Club and the Club hierarchy did not call immigration reductionists racist. However, certain groups with which the Club partnered on environmental issues, and a few individuals, did call many immigration reductionists racist. In fact a few went so far as to call John Muir, the father of the Sierra Club, a racist. Combine this with the fact that the Club has often been called 'lily white', and the Club caved to these name -callers. However, the Club has always been a proponent of reducing U.S. population, and has participated in programs to do so, especially in the area of U.S. fertility, including fertility of immigrants, which, combined, contribute roughly half of the increase in U.S. population. As far as looking at immigration, the Club has made a little progress in looking at the push-pull factors of immigration and may be opening up its mind a little bit to socially acceptable ways of reducing immigration.   August 15, 2006   Human Events 018357

U.S.;: A Nation of 300 Million; USA Nears Milestone as Immigration, Births and Longevity Swell the Number of Americans.   Sometime in mid-October, the USA will become a nation of 300 million Americans. Immigration, longevity, a relatively high birthrate and economic stability have propelled the growth, to become the world's third-most-populous country. It's growing faster than any other industrialized nation. About 53% of the 100 million extra Americans are recent immigrants or their descendants, according to Jeffrey Passel, demographer at the Pew Hispanic Center. Without them, the USA would have about 250 million people today. They have transformed an overwhelmingly white population into a multicultural society. Half of Americans say their communities have grown in the past five years, but more than three-fourths say growth is a minor problem. Yet more than half say it will be a major problem for the country. Hispanics accounted for almost half the population gains in the past four years. The populations in Japan and Russia are expected to shrink almost one-fourth by 2050. Germany, Italy and most European nations are not making enough babies to keep their populations from sliding. Women have to give birth to an average 2.1 babies to offset deaths and keep the population even. The birthrate in Western Europe is 1.6. The USA would hardly grow in the next 50 years except for Hispanic immigrants. White women, who give birth to 56% of the children born here, have an average 1.85 babies. Blacks average about two, Asians 1.9 and Hispanics 2.8. The overall birthrate is slightly above two. When the U.S. population was at 200 million in 1967, women had an average of three children, and the government expected the population to hit 300 million as early as 1990. By the 1980s, the birthrate had tumbled, and government estimates projected that the country wouldn't get there until the 2020s. The flow of immigrants turned those projections on their heads. In 1965, President Lyndon Johnson signed the Immigration and Naturalization Act which opened U.S. shores to the Third World. For industrialized nations, numbers mean economic and cultural power. To remain globally competitive, countries need workers. The nation is getting older as the oldest boomers turn 60 and people also are living longer. Since 1970, life expectancy at birth jumped to 77.9 years. The share of the population age 65 or older grew from 9.9% to 12.4%. The median age is up from 28.1 to 36.2 years. Some argue that more people cause more problems saying that the challenges for nations facing little growth or declines aren't as difficult as those confronting the USA. Figuring out a pension system has to be easier than dealing with the health crisis of polluted air. Is there going to be enough open space, parkland, housing, jobs? What does it mean for our quality of life?" Immigration is really foreign policy, and the goal, should be to keep people in their native lands. The Immigration and Naturalization Act of 1965 opened U.S. to the Third World. By 1970, the Mexican economy had nosedived and more Mexicans came to stay -- many illegally. Without the influx, diversity would never have reached current levels: 15% Hispanic and 5% Asian compared with 5% Hispanic and 1% Asian in 1970. Our growth, were it not for that, would be barely enough to keep population constant. Research shows that prosperity puts more pressure on natural resources than sheer population growth. The USA is getting more crowded, 83 persons per square mile in 2004 vs. 70.3 in 1990, but it's less dense than other nations. France (287), China (361), Germany (609) and Japan (835). Arizona is getting denser: 50.5 in 2004 vs. 32.3 in 1990.   Karen Gaia says: It is a common mistake to equate population density with overpopulation. More meaningful would be to use the ecological footprint of Americans compared to Europeans.   July 05, 2006   USA Today 017985

U.S.: Open-Borders World Remains Topsy-Turvy.   According to open borders advocates, mass immigration is survival; enforcement of the law is profiling and discrimination; entitlements for illegal aliens are human rights, and securing borders is racism. Once you've learned the spin, it's easy to understand why Human Rights are now railing against the proposed ICE office in Greeley. One might think we had no right to be here, to see the Kafka-esque hypocrisy mixing with Orwellian egalitarianism: Illegal aliens "more equal" than citizens! They tell us to embrace multiculturalism, while millions of Latinos espouse separatism; they decry corporate greed but demand it be fed with cheap labor; they argue that illegal aliens take jobs Americans "don't want," when without illegal aliens we'd have fair-wage jobs Americans need. They think they care about the environment but ignore mass immigration as a cause of degradation. They advocate sustainability, even as we careen into a population growth fueled that is unsustainable. They want social benefits for illegal aliens but confer on them no responsibility. They accuse whites of racism, while Hispanic reconquistadors want the southwestern United States "returned" to Mexico. But numbers tell the truths. About 11 to 15 million illegal aliens now reside in the US, 500,000 each year settle here and 4,000 cross the southern border daily and 86% of U.S. population growth is driven by immigration. They cost $90 billion per year to American taxpayers in education, health care, law enforcement and social services.   Karen Gaia says: nine percent of Mexicans now live in the U.S. We must think twice about how many more people our environment and sustainability can afford.   January 31, 2006   The Coloradoan 016320

U.S.: Nativism and the Immigration Issue.   Two opposing viewpoints: 1) Difficult and dangerous jobs that used to pay a livable wage now go to lower-wage immigrants and perpetuate a myth that the necessity of maintaining mass immigration justifies harming our own citizens. There is a vacuum in DC of political leaders honest enough to recognise the true cost of rampant immigration, soaring unemployment, and the fiscal crises of so many states around the U.S. Think Population http://www.thinkpopulation.org/pages/o_immigration.htm 2) The results of the special election in California's 48th Congressional District are a wakeup call to conservatives who believe in the free movement of goods, capital and labor. Immigration restrictionist Jim Gilchrist received a sizable 14.4% of the vote on an immigrant bashing platform. Colorado Congressman Tom Tancredo, who endorsed Gilchrist, is trying to raise immigrant-bashing to a top-tier issue in the 2008 elections. Unless true free-market conservatives tame these emotional arguments, much of the economic progress of the past century could be reversed. Some Americans are uncomfortable with demographic change. Anti-immigrant groups have capitalized on this discomfort and falsely attempted to blame immigrants for everything. Immigration is a moral imperative and an economic necessity. Each immigrant who comes to the US expands national output more than he or she consumes, which benefits everyone. An Academy of Sciences report found that immigrants contribute more than $10 billion annually to the economy. Immigrants have revitalized urban economies throughout the US and improved small business, import/export, finance, construction and manufacturing. Immigrants have founded many of the largest and most successful technology companies. With unemployment rates low and legal immigration quotas too low to meet the demand for labor, it is clear that reforms are needed. Bush has proposed a compromise approach that would create a legal guest worker program and included would be a route to earned legalization. There is a danger of political pandering triumphing over economic policy. The ascendancy of the anti-immigration right is an ominous development that must be countered forcefully and publicly by Republican Party leadership.   Karen Gaia says: 1. Unemployment rates are not low. 2. The idea that bringing outsiders in improves the economy for the people who already live there has been proven false. 3. Those who call others immigrant bashers or anti-immigrant fail to recognized the impacts of a large growing population on a country's sustainability and environment. In the case of the U.S. this growth impacts the whole rest of the world in the form of global warming, waging war to obtain oil, and mining the rest of the planet to take care of American's hunger for consumer goods.   October 17, 2005   015687

Supersize America - Does it Make Sense for Environmentalists to Want to Limit Immigration? .   An opinion by Bill McKibben: Does the size of America's population matter? The U.S. Census Bureau estimates that we'll grow from almost 300 million people to nearly half a billion later this century. Immigration accounts for most of that increase, because immigrants tend to have larger families. Imagine twice as many of us squeezing into the same towns, parks, schools, hospitals, roads. If you're worried about the global environment, the prospect of twice as many Americans has got to worry you. The immigration-limiters running for the Sierra Club board have a reasonable point. If as many American families raised one child as raised two, then America could continue to have historically high levels of immigration and still stabilize its population. In some sense it's our moral duty to let lots of people in, since we've so rigged the rules of world trade to keep most of the rest of the planet poor. Morris Dees, cofounder of the Southern Poverty Law Center, entered the race for a board seat because, he says, the immigration-limiters "are interested in keeping this country white." It's not true and his fellow board member Paul Watson, "doesn't dislike minorities; he just dislikes people." Virtually no one wants unlimited immigration - we all understand the nation would be overwhelmed. And few want to stop immigration altogether. Doubtless the Sierra Club will survive, but it will do a real service if it manages to make population one issue among several that the movement considers seriously in the years ahead. America added 30 million people last decade. It doesn't take long for numbers like that to add up.   This op-ed is dated, and some details are not accurate, but it does make a good argument on why environmentalists should care about population.   March 2005   013558

A Guide to Population Issues.   All 6.4 billion on Earth could fit within the city limits of Jacksonville, Florida. Of course, they’d be packed shoulder to shoulder, about 4 square feet each; someone would want to go to the bathroom, and then you’d hear complaints about contaminated drinking water. The more people you put in a place, the more we inevitably must make rules and concessions to limit our impacts on the environment. On Maryland’s Eastern Shore the fields and forests are all marked "Posted, Keep Out," since 1950. But as every politician will tell you, we’ve accomplished miracles in keeping pollution from getting worse as another few million people moved here. Environmental groups focus on bringing human behavior into sustainable balance with nature but any thought that it matters how many of us there are seems taboo. The number of us growing without limit, will erode and eventually reverse much of that progress. It’s time for us who write about the outdoors to step up to the plate because, frankly, no one else is doing it. In 1972, Richard Nixon’s Commission on Population Growth concluded, "No substantial benefits will result from further growth of the nation’s population". When the report came out, the U.S. fertility rate and foreign immigration had fallen to where population wasn’t a big issue. But immigration has quadrupled and with a rising fertility rate, the Census Bureau projects we’ll hit 570 million Americans by century’s end. Population experts say that by limiting immigration, or by education and anti-poverty programs designed to reduce the birth rate or a combination of both, we could stabilize U.S. numbers around 400 million by late in the century. The biggest roadblock is the myth of "grow or die", the assumption that economic prosperity requires unceasing population growth. That is refuted by studies that distinguish between economic development and increases in people. Another myth is that technology will bail us out. But how does that solve congestion and the need for more roads, eviscerating more countryside? When totaling up the benefits of new malls, economics doesn’t subtract losses of wetlands or the pollution-absorbing ability of the forests we replaced with asphalt. But it is a ruse to beat the drums for public support while pretending endless population growth won’t ultimately erode any gains. Freedom to grow without limit ultimately limits other freedoms.      2005   Izaak Walton League of America 014991

Opinion: Do We Need More Americans?   The three most glaring facts that support immigration reduction are these: 1)The average American has an ecological footprint of 24 acres. Mexicans and Chinese have footprints on the order of 5 acres. Each average Mexican or Chinese converted to an average American consumer increases their impact about 5 fold. Another way to look at it is that all remaining wildlands on Earth would have to be converted to production of some sort when America's population grows to 1 billion, even if world population were to remain at about 6.3 billion. 2) Americans are not reducing consumption. Electrical consumption per capita has been steady for 20 years. Car mpg is down 10% despite a 30% increase in efficiency in the last 20 years. 3) There are no tech panaceas on the horizon. The efficient production of hydrogen fuel is estimated to be at least 30 years away.

These facts lead to the inexorable conclusion that one critical avenue of preserving wilderness and reducing impacts on the Earth is to limit the number of Americans. Unfortunately, this conclusion based on statistical facts and sociological trends is ideologically offensive to a large number of SC members in much the same way Galileo's "theories" were offensive to theologians of the 16th century. Sure, we should (and certainly will) continue to vigorously pursue better technologies, and reduction of American affluence (good luck) and reduced fertility (made difficult by high fertility of immigrants), but we should restore to that agenda a goal of US sustainability by, say, 2050. That would be greatly facilitated by population stabilization/reduction and immigration is about 2/3 of that equatio   May 21, 2004   Bob Shambrom 010591

Capping Immigration at 550,000   I want total immigration (including refugees) capped at 550,000. Immigration is currently anywhere from 1.25 million to 1.7 million people per year, depending on the estimates. Here's a quote from the Bureau of Citizenship and Immigration Services about fiscal year 2002: http://uscis.gov/graphics/publicaffairs/newsrels/legalimmfig.htm "A total of 1,063,732 persons legally immigrated to the United States. Of that total, 384,427 obtained their immigrant visas abroad from the Department of State and 679,305 were granted adjustment of status, i.e., permanent residence by the INS." Please note that if adjustment of status is not granted, a visitor will be required to leave the country upon visa expiration. For illegal immigration: http://uscis.gov/graphics/shared/aboutus/statistics/Illegals.htm Scroll down to 2002 Yearbook of Immigration Statistics and download the file. It is just Chapter 9 of the entire report. On the fourth page of the five-page file, the INS calculates that during the 1990s, 5.5 million new illegal immigrants entered and remained in the country illegally (i.e., this is a net figure). Thus there were 0.55 million per year net new illegal immigrants during the decade of the 1990s. Or you can directly download the PDF file: http://uscis.gov/graphics/shared/aboutus/statistics/Illegal2002.pdf   April 06, 2004   Gregory Bungo 010242

Groups Push for Immigration Reform; Environmentalists Cite Strain on Natural Resources.   In a statement put out by Alison Green, spokeswoman for the Federation for American Immigration Reform, "Florida is the seventh-fastest growing state in the country and one-third of that growth is from immigration. Immigrants are not the problem, but they put a strain on natural resources." Of 21 environmental groups, 14 acknowledged population growth as a world-wide problem. Eight as a problem in the United States. Three were in favor of immigration reduction. Most of the groups distanced themselves from immigration issues because they want to avoid being labeled as anti-immigration. One Florida group holds that unrestrained population growth is the chief factor in the development sprawl that is eating up wetlands, forests and agricultural acreage. There are too many people using too much water and too much development.In the past 10 years, Florida's population grew by three million people, including one million immigrants. The Sierra Club acknowledges population growth as a problem but blaming immigration ignores global overpopulation that is aggravated by the failure to provide family planning worldwide. All newcomers strain Florida's environment. A bill by Rep. Tom Tancredo of Colorado would cut legal immigration from 1 million a year to 300,000 for five years. The environmental groups listed in the informal survey were: Californians for Population Stabilization, Negative Population Growth, Northwest Environment Watch, Defenders of Wildlife, Audubon Society, and Sierra Club.   Note: some of the organizations listed, although they may be composed of environmentalists, could hardly be called 'environmental groups'.   May 30, 2003   Florida Today 006768

Nation's Leaders Should Deal Forcefully with Immigration.   By Yeh Ling-Ling and Donna Locke .. Legal immigration averages 1 million a year but illegal immigration is about 800,000. To provide jobs we should reduce legal immigration to no more than 200,000 and deport illegal immigrants. We could better protect our security and stop infiltration of terrorists or weapons. With illegal-immigrant children removed school districts could ease their budget deficits and concentrate on quality education for legal immigrant and U.S.-born children. Adult welfare recipients and unemployed low-skilled workers could take the positions held by illegal immigrants. Many states spend millions of dollars incarcerating criminal aliens. More than 25% of federal prison inmates are foreign born. Deporting them would save money for crime prevention and training prisoners who can become productive workers. Deporting illegal immigrants would reduce social services, which cost billions of dollars. Immigrant families have contributed more than half of the growth of the uninsured population. With new immigration policies the savings would allow the US to provide a health care system for all legal residents. Hispanics have overtaken African-Americans as our largest minority and tensions increased as African-Americans have been losing out politically and economically. Mexican-American continued immigration will lead to further instability in the US. Henry Cisneros, former secretary of Housing and Urban Development, told a Hispanic audience in 1995: "As goes the Latino population will go the State of California. And as goes California will go the United States of America. My friends, the stakes are big. This is a fight worth making."   Note: While we at WOA!! feel that some form of reducing immigration is desirable, opinions expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect WOA!!s position. The summarizer of this article is an immigrant - formerly a legal alien who is now a citizen   February 25, 2003   Diversity Alliance 009360

Don't Get Mad at the Traffic. Get Mad at Congress.  
Driving these days can make anyone angry. But don't get angry with your fellow drivers. Get angry at the cause of the problem; the U.S. Congress. You see, overpopulation has been found to be the number one factor in sprawl. We're growing at a rate of about 25 million people every 10 years! And the primary cause of overpopulation, according to the U.S. Census Bureau, is Congress. A Congress that has quadrupled immigration through amnesties, chain migration and lotteries. So, more immigration, more people, more problems with sprawl and congestion. It's that simple. But don't blame immigrants for our problems. They're simply taking advantage of policies that keep raising the numbers. Blame Congress. We must demand that Congress reduce immigration to previous sustainable levels that have contributed so much to the rich fabric of our country. Contact us to find out how you can redirect your anger to make a difference. 703-816-8820 www.NumbersUSA.com   2000   004722

Aspen Passes Population/Immigration Resolution.     The population of the United States reached about 274 million in 1999 and is growing by approximately three million each year, over 57,000 weekly, the highest population growth rate of the developed countries of the world. 50% of our original wetlands have been drained to accommodate growth. (Environmental Protection Agency) 95% of all U.S. old growth forests have been destroyed. (Save American Forests) It is estimated that we have consumed approximately 3/4 of all our recoverable petroleum, aquifers are being drawn down 23% more than their natural rates of recharge. For each person added to the U.S. population, about one acre of open land is lost. If present population trends continue, the U.S. will cease to be a food exporter by about 2030. 1.2 million legal immigrants and 300,000 to 400,000 illegal immigrants plus their U.S.- born offspring, come to the U.S. annually. The city of Aspen petitions Congress and the President for a return to traditional replacement levels of legal immigration , approximately 175,000, all-inclusive, annually; and a mandated enforcement of immigration laws against illegal immigration. December 14, 1999   004762

The Wilderness Society Has a Goal of Reaching Population Stability.   in the US because of impacts on the environment. "One-half to two-thirds of U.S. population growth results from domestic births and longer life spans. One-third to one-half is due to immigration." ... "To bring population levels to ecologically sustainable levels, both birth rates and immigration rates need to be reduced."   1999   004741

Sierra Club Policy.   calls for "development by the federal government of a population policy for the United States" and for the U.S. "to end (its) population growth as soon as feasible." ... "America's numbers and growth have a disproportionate impact on the environment, on natural resources, on global warming, on air and water pollution. " ... "Immigration to the U.S. should be no greater than that which will permit achievement of population stabilization in the U.S."
Dr. Judy Kunofsky, Chair of the Sierra Club Population Committee, 1989   004746

Objections to Immigration Reduction


Population Control.   I disagree with this article on several points, but it is presented here to show the thinking of many population-concerned. See my comments below ... Karen Gaia. It seems inevitable that the human race will overpopulate this planet. Sex is the only joy in the lives of too many people, and children still represent social security to the majority of the poor. The major religions are against birth control. It is to their advantage in the short run to create as many potential Catholics as possible. Many governments reward poor women with increased welfare for having more children. All this is a recipe for overpopulation. This planet is a finite system, therefore unless we can stabilize our population, life on Earth will eventually descend into a constant competition for resources. To avoid this, we must make education a priority. Stabilizing population by unnecessary war is an increasingly dangerous option. Birth control makes the most sense. Abortion is still a necessary evil. We should concentrate on protecting the living, so when does life begin? I would suggest that a human embryo developed to where it can breathe on its own should not be aborted. Every young woman who is old enough to get pregnant, and every young man old enough to impregnate, should be given a complete education regarding sex and birth control. Giving young people the knowledge and tools to avoid unwanted pregnancies cannot be considered immoral. - Epictetus Sex should be reserved for the most transcendent moments. Its primary purpose has always been to insure the survival of the species, and at present, the human race is in no danger of going extinct. Promiscuous sex too often leads to unwanted pregnancies. In an overcrowded world. It is tragic to continue to add more souls who will never experience a proper, loving environment. The more people who are brought into this world without planning, the worse the situation becomes. Adults in committed relationships are free to have as much sex with each other as they desire. They should, however, make every attempt to avoid having any more children than they honestly need. Through a worldwide program of sex education in schools, at home, and even at church. We now live in a time when unprotected sex can kill us. It is ironic how many of our current problems are a direct result of overpopulation and how little attention we pay to the subject. Their master plan seems to be keeping most of us dumbed down and in the dark so that we will continue to be easily manipulated. Everyone will need to get involved at the grass roots level. We should make sure all of our children understand the problems caused by overpopulation. Family planning, should be a prerequisite for obtaining a marriage license. Family planning through education and birth control, along with supporting a woman's right to choose, is the enlightened path to a sustainable world population. We should flood the Third World with birth control then we may be able to stabilize world populations. They are now skyrocketing out of control in a geometric progression. There will be a difficult period in the near future while the abnormally large "baby boom" generation ages. During this period we should develop a rational immigration policy that will supply the young workers that we will undoubtedly need. All of this should be coupled with intensive negotiations with Third World countries to promote family planning to reduce their populations. If nothing changes, as it has for so very long now, the future will be a difficult struggle for everyone. Our careless civilization spews pollution into the air and water. We have no escape.   Karen Gaia says: The title 'Population Control' bothers me, because it is voluntary family planning that has been so successful. Here in the U.S., with the introduction of modern contraception, the fertility rate has dropped from 4 children per woman to about 1.8 (for native born). Women (I was one of them) did this for the quality of life of their family and for their own self esteem (having education and careers). Asking people to restrict sex simply does not work, but contraception does. Asking countries to surrender their young people robs those countries of their work force - it is simply wrong. We should be encouraging people to stay in their home countries where they would rather be. Aging populations are a result of population booms caused by either baby booms and immigration booms. Anything that grows population to server older people is a giant ponzi scheme. The whole point of this website is to demonstrate that there are limited natural resources - both in the world and in most regions of the world. Each region must protect its natural resources - no one will do it for them, and soon oil depletion will make it difficult to ship these resources to other regions.   December 01, 2008   Swans Commentary website 023408

U.S.;: Policy View: Immigration, Population Policy, and the Sierra Club.   by Frederick A.B. Meyerson  This commentary is intended to further conversation, in the wake of the recent infighting at the Sierra Club over immigration. There is broad agreement that human population have significant effects on the environment. On the political side, few people favor completely closed or open borders. This is an issue much larger than the Sierra Club. Immigration (including births to immigrants ... kgp) is the only significant long-term driver of American population growth. Immigration has increased for decades. American population is projected to rise by an additional 120 million by 2050, in large part as a result of immigration. The environmental impact of this is one of the most significant forces on the planet. Two other demographic phenomena are rising life expectancy and baby boom which eventually leaves immigration as the only lever for hanging the rate of United States population growth. Without the capacity to discuss American immigration it is impossible to discuss American population growth. U.S. population policy is a debate we cannot afford to avoid indefinitely. Immigration levels varied from less than zero in the 1930s to 13 million in the 1990s. The last five decades have seen a continuous rise, from about 200,000 per year in the 1950s to an estimated 1.3 million per year in the 1990s and first years of the 21st century. This increase is the product of the effects of a series of immigration laws passed since 1965 and a large increase in illegal immigration. Legal immigration has quadrupled since the 1960s, mostly as a result of family reunification which now account for more than half of the legal flow. Illegal immigration has risen to approximately 500,000 per year. Most people favor some immigration restrictions. Almost no one is in favor of an open borders policy. The most recent (2004) installment of the Sierra Club battle has been characterized by both the Club leadership and the media as an effort by a few insurgents to take over the organization and use it for non-environmental purposes, particularly racially motivated ones. The Sierra Club is run more democratically than many other U.S. environmental organizations. The board is elected directly by its 750,000 members. Beginning in the 1950s, the membership began to discuss the frame of the Club's focus. Nearly every discussion of population, consumption, and the environment revolves around scale and boundaries. In 1978, the Club stated that "all regions of the world must reach a balance between their populations and resources. The Sierra Club urged Congress to conduct a thorough examination of U.S. immigration laws. Immigration was recognized to be the primary driver of American population growth, which in turn threatened many protected areas, ecosystems, and various conservation goals of the Sierra Club. In 1991, the chair of the Sierra Club's national population committee proposed "The U.S. should sustain replacement level fertility, the U.S. should enact legislation establishing an all-inclusive legal immigration ceiling set at replacement level. The resolution but touched off an acrimonious debate. As a result, in 1996, the Sierra Club board voted to take a "neutral" stand on immigration. The board of directors adopted a resolution to "take no position on U.S. immigration levels and policies." The election in 2004 was characterized as a showdown - with the election of an additional three directors, the group allegedly favoring immigration limitations could potentially control the board. A group of Sierra Club supporters funded mail and web campaign to dissuade members from voting for suspect candidates. The board voted to alter the ballot and add a strong warning against the dangers of outside interference by a list of organizations. These scorched-earth tactics proved effective. In the April 2004 election, the five board-endorsed candidates won overwhelmingly, all receiving between twice and three and half times the votes of their closest competitors. Swept away were other candidates, who ran on platforms unrelated to population or immigration. The Sierra Club board agreed to place the immigration issue on the membership ballot in the spring of 2005. In the long run, the population policy of the US are of critical importance to the population and environment research, but also to many economic, social, and environmental challenges facing the world. We have to learn how to discuss immigration without descending into name-calling.   January 02, 2007   RientroDolce.org 019908

Migration Does Not Have Impact on Local Jobs: UN Report.   An UNFPA report said complaints that immigrants take locals' jobs, depress wage levels and are a burden on the social welfare system were ill-founded. The overall impact of migration on the employment and wages of the local population is modest, whether migrants are documented or undocumented, because migrants tend to fill jobs that residents do not want. The US and some European countries witnessed a heated debate over Indians and Chinese taking up most jobs in the developed nations and putting a strain on the social welfare funds. A 2005 study found that, although immigrants account for 10.4% of the US population, they consume only 7.9% of the country's total health- care expenditure and eight per cent of government health-care funds.   Karen Gaia says: are illegal immigrants paying taxes that cover government health care or education for their children?   September 10, 2006   Press Trust of India 018615

Bioregionalism and Local Population Concerns.   In answer to the claim that: Population has to do with numbers of people, and immigration has to do only with where they live. - - Population as well as immigration - especially with regard to their environmental impact - has to do with numbers of people and where they live. For example, you could return 80% of the world to natural conditions by moving all 6.3 billion people from their respective countries to Brazil. That would be great for the ecosystems of all continents except South America and of course the country of Brazil. With respect to environmental impact, one must always consider local and regional impacts of numbers of a species.   March 18, 2004   Fred Elbel 010092

SierraBiz LTE.   Re: "Bitter Division For Sierra Club On Immigration" (front page, New York Times, March 16) - Sierra Club internal affairs make the news because it is the only major environmental organization that elects its leaders, and members place candidates and issues on the ballot. The U.S. population growth, fueled mainly by immigration, is debated because overpopulation is at the root of nearly every environmental problem. The U.S. is full as shown by water shortages across the country. The world can't afford more of us who cause 25% of global warming and climate change! Back in 1970, when it was a Baby Boom, the Administration, Congress, the business community and the environmental movement called for "zero population growth". Now that it's an Immigration Boom, and growth is at the highest numbers in U.S. history, no one should be pilloried for wanting it to end.      March 17, 2004   Alan Kuper 010116

Bitter Division for Sierra Club on Immigration.   The leadership of the Sierra Club is struggling over whether to advocate immigration restrictions as a way to control environmental damage by winning seats on the board of directors. The dissident group is led by Richard D. Lamm, who has argued for 20 years that national policies lead to unsustainable immigration. At stake is the leadership of 750,000 members with a 112-year history of pushing conservation and pollution issues. The executive director Carl Pope said that Mr. Lamm's supporters were in bed with racists. An internal group contends that Mr. Lamm and his fellow candidates are part of a network that wants to take control of the organization. Those who support immigration controls argue that the club's leadership must confront the roots of future environmental crises. Mr. Lamm said charges of connections to racist groups are false, but he wanted to push the immigration issue. The old guard says the election of directors from outside the club leadership could put power in the hands of the challengers and alter the group's positions on everything from immigration to regional and local development. About 39% of the US population gain is a result of immigration***, with 288,000, or 20% in California. Twice in eight years, the club has become embroiled in debates over the issues. Mr. Lamm wants to put immigration on the agenda, where it was until 1996 when the club's board decided to take a neutral stance that two years later, the membership voted 3-to-2 to maintain. The club's directors serve for three years; five are elected each year. The election began this month; ballots are counted April 21. Mr. Pope, executive director, said there were two reasons for the dispute. One is the outside candidates' lack of active involvement in the club, the second their choice of a centerpiece issue. During a similar debate some years ago, he decided the issue is so charged with xenophobia and racism, that you can't have a clean debate.   ***These numbers do not include births to immigrants, which adds again as many to the number.   March 16, 2004   New York Times* 010060

Opinion: Regarding the Sierra Club's Election Battle and Lamm's speech.   When a boat is sinking, I am not choosy about who helps me bail. I've agreed with part of Pat Buchanan's positions, but disagree with most of it. Who is 100% internally consistent? If one fails to protect her progeny, one's genes may be deselected from the ongoing genepool. In other words, adaptive fitness includes a degree os selfishness, like it or not. One must use triage ethics in times of stress such as we are in today, or be increasingly eligible for a Darwin award. As a white male, I am in one of the smallest racial/gender categories of the present mix on earth. So don't accuse me of being anti-minority. My group will likely breed itself out of existence as our TFR is lowest on earth. Meanwhile, I care not a bit about that, as cultures survive or fail based on perceived value, not color or race. And it is not about WHO is inmigratiing; it is pure math - the numbers- which affect the health of our habitat and our progeny.   March 14, 2004   010042

U.S.: Sierra Club Could Add Immigration to Green Agenda.   The Sierra Club is being targeted by activists who say the nation's population is going to skyrocket and the only way to curb sprawl and pollution is by limiting immigration and lowering the birth rate. The Sierra Club's members began voting for the board of directors the makeup of which will determine whether the club adds immigration to its agenda. Some members say that will cause many volunteers and staff members will leave and the club's effectiveness destroyed. The challengers want to make the organization less timid and bureaucratic. Some say the Sierra Club will lose clout if limiting immigration becomes a part of its platform. The board also decides how to spend an annual budget of $100 million and some have expressed the fear that the more they focus on immigration the less they'll focus on the environment. Supporters of the immigration platform need three seats to gain a majority on the 15-member board and there are 17 people running for five seats. Three have worked for groups that want to limit immigration. Six have been endorsed by members that favor immigrations cuts. It's not clear whether the immigration activists will succeed. "I don't want to turn the Sierra Club into an immigration organization," says board candidate Richard Lamm, former Colorado governor and adviser to the Federation for American Immigration Reform (FAIR). Lamm says he wants to "correct the agenda" of the club by adding the immigration issue to its platform. In 1998, 60% of club members said the Club should take no position on immigration; 40% voted to support cutting immigrants into the USA below the current level of 1 million a year.      March 08, 2004   USA Today 009987

QUE SIERRA, SIERRA Immigration Quarrel Tangles Up Sierra Club Board Election.   The Sierra Club, the oldest, largest, and perhaps the most widely respected environmental organization in the country, has a potential of 75,000 voters in its next Board of Directors election. Because of the immigration question and the involvement of a few white-supremacist groups, the politics of this upcoming April election is loaded with bitter controversy, nasty accusations, and emotional appeals to democracy and fairness. The Sierra Club began with founder John Muir in 1892. This year 5 seats on the national board are up for election. Lawrence Downing, a former Sierra Club board president and a spokesperson for the recently organized election-watchdog group Groundswell Sierra http://www.groundswellsierra.org claims "We stand to lose the Sierra Club as we know it." In 1969 the Sierra Club board had called for stabilization of the population of the United States as part of a broader policy on global population growth. In 1978, the board also urged Congress to study the effects of immigration on domestic population growth and environmental quality. However, in a turnaround, in the spring of 1998, the Sierra Club membership voted to take "no position" on U.S. immigration policy. 60% of the members who voted favored a "comprehensive approach" to population growth and mass migration that would promote reproductive health, women's rights, and economic security throughout the world. Sierra Club Executive Director Carl Pope says that the Club works on international trade reform, human rights, and sustainable development, thus tackling the root causes of human migration. "Limiting immigration is just a way of dealing with the symptoms," he says. Some members, loosely organized under the name SUSPS (http://www.susps.org/), have pushed for more concerted action and say we simply cannot afford to ignore immigration and its impact on U.S. population. U.S. residents consume far more resources per person than people living in the rest of the world and immigration restrictions would limit the number of such resource hogs. In 2002, Ben Zuckerman, a SUSPS cofounder and professor of physics and astronomy at the University of California-Los Angeles was elected to the 15-member national board, and last year two more immigration reduction advocates, Wisconsin Secretary of State Doug LaFollette (D) and Paul Watson, founder and president of the Sea Shepherd Conservation Society were elected to the Board. This year there are more like-minded candidates on the ballot: Richard Lamm, former Democratic governor of Colorado; David Pimentel, a Cornell University ecologist; and Frank Morris, former executive director of the Congressional Black Caucus Foundation. The three have little or no experience as Sierra Club members or activists. Lamm and Morris are both on the board of the California-based Diversity Alliance for a Sustainable America , which backs lower immigration numbers; Pimentel formerly served on the DASA advisory board. These three candidates say they are running independently of one another. Then several anti-immigrant and white-supremacist groups got word of the upcoming elections and urged their supporters to join the Sierra Club in time to vote for the three candidates. In addition, last October the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) http://www.splcenter.org/, which monitors hate groups, claimed in a detailed letter that anti-immigration activist John Tanton was associated with several organizations that the law center defines as hate groups. SPLC staffer Mark Potok wrote, "Without a doubt, the Sierra Club is the subject of a hostile takeover attempt by forces allied with Tanton and a variety of right-wing extremists." Sierra Club board member Zuckerman has questioned the accuracy of the law center's research and the three board candidates have vociferously denied any ties to hate groups. "I'm being accused of being a racist, which is about the worst thing you can say in this society," says Lamm. "I'm deeply resentful about that." Then 13 former presidents claimed that the Club was threatened by a hostile takeover by outside organizations, pointing to a recent statement by Sierra Club board member Watson, who told an audience of animal-rights activists that they were only "three directors away from controlling that [Sierra Club] board." Though Watson was referring to an anti-hunting and anti-trapping agenda, not population and immigration, his comments disturbed many Sierra Club members. A Sierra Club volunteer active in environmental issues along the U.S.-Mexico border said "It's a very dangerous precedent, and it's going to send the message to the Latino community that we are not an inclusive organization." Former board president Downing said "This will immediately divide the membership -- we'll be perceived as a fringe group." Because of these concerns, the board approved an "Urgent Election Notice" to be attached to the 2004 ballot which says that "it appears that non-environmental groups are trying to take advantage of the Club's open and democratic nature to influence the composition of our board of directors and our policies ... Please cast your vote in this year's election as a means of demonstrating to outside groups that they cannot influence our organization." In February candidates Lamm, Pimentel, and Morris filed a lawsuit charging that the Sierra Club, Executive Director Pope, and Board President Fahn were violating state law by using organization funds to influence the outcome of the election. They also called for the withdrawal of three other candidates who plan to use their ballot statements simply to call for the defeat of the immigration reduction candidates. SPLC cofounder Morris Dees, for example, is a dummy candidate urges club members to "vote against the 'greening of hate' and against those candidates backed by SUSPS." The suit was withdrawn the following week. There is little real discussion of the central issue: Do U.S. immigration limits have a valid role to play in environmentalists' efforts to rein in population growth? This issue is bound to come up again and again; in fact the current board has already agreed to another membership vote on U.S. immigration policy in 2005. Carl Pope said, "This controversy is clearly an enormous distraction from the biggest challenge the Sierra Club has ever faced, and that's stopping the environmental assault of the Bush administration." Lamm said the 2004 presidential election would be one of his priorities as a board member, and agrees with Pope: "I didn't mean it that way when I started down this road, and I don't take all the blame for it, but I agree, It's a damn shame."   March 01, 2004   Grist Magazine 009984

The Politics of Population.   The issue of population has almost disappeared from the agenda of many environmental groups. The reason is that even though native born fertility rates here are low enough to stabilize the population, the population will double over the next century largely due to immigrants and their children. Anyone sugesting reducing the level of immigration or stabilizing U.S. population is accused of racism and elitism.      May 26, 2003   NPR 006748

U.S.: Alienating Minorities.  
Now that the country's demographics are rapidly shifting, a failure to embrace ethnic groups who feel disenfranchised could have profound repercussions for environmental causes. To neglect that reality -- or, worse, to alienate minorities through actions viewed as hostile or indifferent -- could result in the movement losing its effectiveness. Many environmental groups that have attacked because their representatives made offensive statements are now at the forefront of embracing racial diversity and minorities' agendas. Two years ago, when the Sierra Club considered advocating the restriction of immigration on environmental grounds, race entered into a discussion. Though the initiative was soundly rejected, the tenor of the debate led a number of civil-rights groups to say initiative proponents came across as racists. November 23, 1999   Nando Times 004761

  The US has 9,700 square meters of arable land per person, while the world average is 3,200, and China's is 1,000. The US produces 1,450 kilograms per capita grain production per person while the world average is 310, and India's is 223. The US has 12,500 square meters of forest area per person while the world average is 9,000, and India has 661. India adds more people to the world every day than any other country, contributing 21% of the global population growth.   1999   004731

Where does Population Connection (formerly ZPG) stand on U.S. immigration policy?.   Because of its increasing importance and impact on annual population growth, immigration plays a significant role in ZPG's goal of stabilizing U.S. population. Immigration goals must be set within a larger framework of a U.S. population policy which aims at stopping U.S. and world population growth and promoting a balance between U.S. population and the environment through increased energy efficiency, conservation of natural resources, and sustainable environmental practices. It is ZPG's view that immigration pressures on the U.S. population are best relieved by addressing factors which compel people to leave their homes and families and emigrate to the United States. Foremost among these are population growth, economic stagnation, environmental degradation, poverty and political repression. ZPG believes unless these problems are successfully addressed in the developing nations of the world, no forcible exclusion policy will successfully prevent people from seeking to relocate to the United States. ZPG, therefore, calls on the United States to focus its foreign aid on population, environmental, social, education, and sustainable development programs, and look for ways to address the root causes of international migration. In order to preserve our country's ability to absorb reasonable numbers of refugees and legal immigrants, the United States needs to maintain control over illegal immigration in ways that are consistent with basic human and civil rights. Assuming these conditions, ZPG believes that the U.S. should adopt an overall goal for immigration as part of its national population policy. The goal should be set in the context of a federal commitment to plan for demographic change and stop population growth.   1999   004769

Sierra Club and Immigration.   In April 1998, Sierra Club members voted (60% / 40%) to retain current policy of NOT advocating limitations on immigration.   April 1998   004736

  Imagine North America 300 years ago (remember your history lessons - that's when the Mayflower landed). There were huge forests. The Indians were the caretakers of the land. Wildlife was abundant. Then immigration started. Ever since then, (for most of us US citizens), your parents, your grand parents, your great grandparents, some ancestors of yours immigrated to North America, chopped down trees, cleared the land for their (your) homes, for farming, and for cities, displaced the Indians and wildlife, paved over large areas, polluted the air and the water, even cut down trees over 1500 years old, flooded areas almost as beautiful as Yosemite, build noisy busy roadways through scenic wonderland, built their homes on land suitable for farming, chased out the mountain lion, the wolf, and the bear, and killed most of the buffalo. The original inhabitants, the Indians, those of them that were not killed or did not die of disease, were banned to reservations. The earlier immigrants despised the newly arrived immigrants, even though the new immigrants contributed enormously to American culture, technology, and economy....Please click here for the complete essay.   1998   004734

It seems selfish to say 'it's mine - you can't have it,' and shut the doors. How can the rest of the world respect our efforts to limit their population with this hypocrisy? .     004730

  We contributed largely to our own deterioration to the environment. Let's take care of our own overconsumption and sprawl and lack of planning and other excessiveness first before we go blaming immigrants.
Each immigrant improves his or her lifestyle, expanding the footprint on the land.   004732

Letter to India   Dear Arun,

The US immigration issue is very politically sensitive.

I have watched, in my lifetime, the beautiful natural treasures of California and the US being degraded by excess people and cars. Places like Yosemite, just a wonderous, beautiful natural place, now has masses of people and bumper-to-bumper cars. Other not-so-well-know places that are natural and scenic are also being visited by far too many people. Many of the visitors are native-born US citizens, but many are tourists from other countries like Japan and Germany (but we do like to share these places with others because we also like to go to other countries and see those wonders also).

Not only are natural places being degraded by too much recreational use, but plant and animal habitats are being taken for urbanization and agriculture. So, many in the US should be concerned about the population growth in their own country, but not as many are as you would think.

In the last decade, there has been an increase in the numbers of immigrants who have been allowed to live in the US, as well as many illegal immigrants. The growth of the population of the US is (by varying estimates) 1/3 to 2/3 due to immigration. The total growth rate of the US is about 1% per year - which would double in 70 years, if continued at the current rate. I think it would be very bad if our population doubled.

My parents migrated to California from elsewhere in the US (Kansas - middle of the US) after World War II, as did many people at that time and for 4 decades to come. Before that, my great-grandparents or great-great grandparents migrated to the US from other countries (England, Germany, Ireland, ect). Except for the comparatively small number of native Americans (they are also called 'Indians' because Columbus thought he had reached India when he found the New World), my family's migration is typical. That is why many say we are a nation of immigrants. Between 7% and 15% of our population, at any one time, was not born in the U.S.

Most people feel that the US has been enriched by having immigrants. We have drawn some of the brightest, more productive people from other countries, unfortunately to the detriment of those countries.

But some Americans resent having the competition for jobs and land that immigrants present; a few Americans are just plain racist. What these negativists overlook is that they are also competing with each other and the growing numbers of native-borns, as well as being victims of the attitude know as 'Keeping up with the Jones', which means trying to stay as well-off as one's neighbors, and consequently over-consuming and feeling economically disadvantaged at the same time.

California, where I live, is impacted by immigration, particularly in Los Angeles, where many Mexicans come. Children in the public schools there have very low reading ability because they have to compete for the teacher's attention with children whose native language is not English.

Americans have the 'pioneer' spirit - they like to move to big wide-open places. Their love of technology developed along with this movement. Today many Americans are unrealistic - they think there are still places to move to. We now have the phenomonem called 'urban sprawl' because middle class and richer Americans want to live in the wide open spaces, gobbling up lands needed for plant and animal habitat. In addition, Americans consume so much meat and dairy products that 1/4 of the total land in the US is devoted to the raising of livestock (compare to 11% for urbanization, roads and industry). Americans have become used to plentiful resources and are in for a rude shock when the world starts running out. Oil may be the first important resource to go.

So we have many factions in the population acitvist movement. There are those who do not even believe that population is a problem (usually the religious conservatives). There are some that want to 'think globally and act locally', meaning that they want to work on the US population growth issue first, usually focusing on stopping immigration rather than US birth rates. There are those that believe that the US should reduce it's consumption first, and focus on fighting 'urban sprawl' and too much use of gas-powered vehicles. Many environmentalists will worry about the serious degradation of the environment in the US without even thinking about population growth. Some call all the anti-immigrationists racist, and refuse to have anything more to due with population stabilizaton, even so far as to ignore reducing the birth rate in the US, and some even so far as to ignore population problems in the world (saying that we are 'targeting dark-skinned people').

Karen 1998   004799

Legal Immigration


INS Annual Report: Legal Immigration, Fiscal Year 2001.   The number of persons granted lawful permanent residence in the U.S. increased to 1,064,318 in fiscal year 2001 from 849,807 in fiscal year 2000. This increase was due mostly to adjustments of status and application backlog (970,000 at end of FY 2001) at INS. 64% of all legal immigrants in 2001 were family sponsored, 17% were admitted under employment preferences, 10% as refugees or asylees, and 3% under the Nicaraguan Adjustment and Central American Relief Act (NACARA) of 1997. The classes of admission with the greatest increases in legal immigration between 2000 and 2001 were spouses of U.S. citizens, employment preferences, and refugees. Mexico (206,426) was the leading country of origin for legal immigrants was Mexico. India (70,290) was 2nd, then China (56,426), the Philippines (53,154) and Vietnam (35,531), totaling 40% of all immigrants for these 5 countries in 2001. Legal immigrants headed for California (282,957), New York (114,116), Florida (104,715), Texas (86,315), New Jersey (59,920), and Illinois (48,296). These six states accounted for 65% of all legal immigrants in 2001.   October 01, 2002   INS 004712

U.S.: Gekas Seeks Curbs to Legal Immigrants.   A key House Republican introduced legislation to cut immigration by about 20% as part of a reform of immigration laws. It authorizes more border guards and inspectors to go after illegal immigrants and eliminates methods used to avoid deportation. It would eliminate the lottery for 55,000 slots a year, remove adult siblings, children of U.S. citizens and unmarried children of legal permanent residents from those eligible for green cards. Groups that support stricter immigration were pleased but realistic about the chances. The bill would require those on non-immigrant visas to post a bond. If they violate their visas, a bondsman would bring them in. Schools that allow student visas must participate in the student-tracking system, or lose the right to host foreign students. The INS would have to meet its target for deployment or shut down the student-visa program. It would require standards for documents like Social Security cards and require voter lists to be checked against Social Security databases and INS records to assure voters are citizens. It would accept refugees, but require congressional approval if the United States is seen to take in more refugees than the rest of the world combined the previous year.      June 27, 2002   The Washington Times 005221

Chaining


CAPS Offers Nine Things to Talk About on Earth Day.   Since Earth Day 2008, an estimated 80 million people have been added to the planet. That's approximately 150 people a minute, or about 6.6 million people every month. Think of it as adding a city roughly the size of Chicago, Hong Kong or Hyderabad, India - every single month. World population now is 6.8 billion. This growth in human population, coupled with unprecedented human activity (use of natural resources and rapid economic growth), is unsustainable. That's the bad news. The good news is that fertility has been declining in most countries recently. However, Africa continues to experience very high fertility, with some African countries averaging more than seven children per woman. Other countries with off-the-charts TFR (total fertility rate) are Afghanistan (7.07), Yemen (6.32), Paraguay (3.75) and Pakistan (3.60), as well as ultra-Orthodox communities within Israel where the TFR may be as high as 8. But the bad news on top of bad news is that the high birth rates persist in countries with high poverty and illiteracy, poor health care and female inequality. And even though some countries are experiencing fertility rates lower than in the past, the planet nonetheless is still on an unsustainable trajectory. More must be done to decrease high fertility rates in the less developed world. "In the United States, we're importing unsustainable population by failing to enforce our immigration laws; on top of that, we're proposing amnesty for illegal aliens which will impact our growth for years to come because of "chain' migration," said Diana Hull, Ph.D., president of Californians for Population Stabilization. "Under present policy, immigrants can sponsor -- in addition to minor children, spouses and parents -- their sisters and brothers, who with their spouses, can then bring in their extended families and all adult children. "We want to bring needed focus on Earth Day to the problem of overpopulation - here in California, as well as in the U.S. and the world. Clearly it is at the root of most of our environmental problems," added Hull. "From wildlife habitat loss and water shortages to congested roads and suburban sprawl, overpopulation is a major negative for quality of life." To encourage more discussion on the impacts of overpopulation, CAPS offers these suggestions on Earth Day: 1. Educate yourself about the impacts of overpopulation in your community, your country and the world. Consider how the news behind the headlines (a new housing development, an amnesty for illegal aliens, water shortages) can be traced directly to population growth. 2. Write a letter to the editor of your local newspaper, favorite online news site or blog about the impacts of overpopulation on the environment - educate others about how big a problem this is and why it must be addressed. 3. Volunteer or contribute to nonprofit organizations that work on overpopulation issues at the state, national or global levels. 4. Contact your legislators and let them know that you want immigration laws enforced and do not support an amnesty that will add millions of people to an already overpopulated United States. Amnesty will increase population by encouraging even more immigration. Consider that at least 98 percent of California's present growth is from direct immigration and births to immigrants. 5. Initiate a discussion with friends, family and colleagues about overpopulation. You might begin by asking what they think will happen to America if the population continues to double every two or three generations. 6. Keep your population facts at hand for discussion. For instance, the population increased four times between AD 1 and 1830 from an estimated 230 million to 1 billion. A six-fold rise to 6.8 billion has occurred in just the 180 years since. 7. Ask environmental organizations to be sure to include information in their literature on how overpopulation impacts the issues they're concerned about. 8. Support policy changes that will have a positive impact on a sustainable country, including ending birthright citizenship and decreasing government incentives for having more than two children. 9. Advocate for improving education and governance in developing countries.   Karen Gaia says: While CAPS recognizes the problems with world population growth, it seems to ignore the solutions that have worked so well, bringing fertility rates down from 6-7 children to around 2.5. In 1994 at the International Conference on Population and Development in Cairo, the world recognized "the basic right of all couples and individuals to decide freely and responsibly the number, spacing and timing of their children and to have the information and means to do so." This and education of girls, gender equalty, and reproductive health, have worked to bring fertility rates down to current levels. Because funding has been lacking with the last administration, there has been a slow down in reduction of fertility rates. CAPS seems to pay little attention to reducing the many unwanted pregnancies in the U.S., instead focusing on those who try to come into this country and 'population control', an idea that has been out-dated by Cairo. While I agree that every country should be able to control its boundaries, to ignore the strains on this planet from 78 million new humans every year is like burying one's head in the sand.   April 2009   Californians for Population Stabilization (CAPS) Press Release 023795

Anchor Babies   There are currently between 287,000 and 363,000 children born to illegal aliens each year. This figure is based on the crude birth rate of the total foreign-born population (33 births per 1000) and the size of the illegal alien population (between 8.7 and 11 million). In 1994, California paid$215.2 million(an average of $2,842 per delivery for deliveries to illegal alient women.   May 2004   010592

Illegal Immigration and Amnesties


U.S.: Illegal Immigration: Attrition Through Enforcement - Government's Own Data Show Point to a Cost-effective Strategy.   Proponents of legalization of illegal aliens often suggest this is the only alternative as removing illegal aliens by force is unworkable. One study suggested that the cost of such a strategy would be $206 billion over the next five years. But mass forced removal is not the only alternative. A third way is to seek attrition of the illegal population through law enforcement, encouraging illegal aliens to give up and leave of their own accord. A new analysis demonstrates that such a strategy combined with a stronger border security, can significantly reduce the size of the illegal alien population at a reasonable cost. The report finds that according an attrition strategy could cut the illegal population by nearly half in five years, with an investment of less than $2 billion, an increase of less than 1% of the President's 2007 budget request for the Department of Homeland Security ($42.7 billion). Elements of an attrition strategy would include: mandatory workplace verification of immigration status; measures to curb misuse of Social Security and IRS identification numbers; partnerships with state and local law enforcement; expanded entry-exit recording; increased non-criminal removals; and local laws to discourage illegal settlement. * An attrition strategy could reduce the illegal population by 1.5 million each year. * Persuading illegals to leave works faster than a borders-only approach. Under the NSEERS program, DHS removed roughly 1,500 illegally-resident Pakistanis; over the same time period, in response to the registration requirements, about 15,000 left the country on their own. * Requiring employers to verify the status of workers could affect one-third of the illegal population. It is estimated to cost just over $400 million over five years. * The IRS knows the place of employment of millions of illegal aliens, and issues hundreds of millions of dollars in tax refunds and tax credits to illegal aliens. Information-sharing would help boost immigration law enforcement at minimal cost. * US-VISIT border registration program is a critical tool. Screening must include Mexicans and Canadians, and DHS must deploy an exit-recording system. These steps should be a prerequisite to adding or expanding any visa program. * Less than 10% of the resources of the ICE are devoted to fraud, workplace violations, and overstayers. DHS could double non-criminal removals at a cost of roughly $120 million per year, balancing a "broken windows" approach with its current approach to enforcement. * Laws enacted by Florida and New York to prevent illegal immigrants from obtaining driver's licenses have induced more illegal aliens to leave than have federal enforcement efforts and have come at virtually no cost to the federal government.   Encouraging illegal immigration is wrong on several counts: 1) it sanctions breaking the law by looking the other way, leading to corruption of the legal system, 2) it exceeds the limits (caps) on immigration that legislators have set - limits that might have had some success in maintaining sustainability in this country, 3) it creates a slave labor class in this country, driving down low end wages and making life difficult for the poor in this country, 4) it enables middle class and rich Americans to spend less on some items and allows them to spend more on cars, toys, and bigger houses - adding to the burden on the planet, 5) it is unfair to those would-be immigrants who have been waiting their turn for legal entry into this country.   April 2006   Center for Immigration Studies 017206

Immigrant Human Katrina Flooding Into the United States.   Obama, Hillary and McCain promise to give amnesty to 20-30 million illegal aliens, continue chain migration, double U.S. immigration from 1.0 to 2.0 million annually and accept millions of anchor babies. This means 70 million immigrants and their children will flood into America by 2040. The following interview with Dr. Albert Bartlett of Colorado University will give you plenty of reasons for taking action to prevent this. Lake Mead which provides water for millions of people in the West, will dry up by 2023. The cause comes from drought, global warming and population growth. Lake Lanier, Georgia has already dried up in 2007 while Georgia expects to add six million more people in four decades. We cannot change drought. At the same time, population growth devours water faster than it can be recharged. Everyone thinks population growth remains inevitable. False! Nature stops populations from growing when they cannot obtain enough water or food. In America, corporations, political leaders, realtors and home builders salivate at the word growth. They pour concrete onto 6,000 acres daily and 2.19 million acres annually. It's time to try again to correct the innumerate experts who say that growth is inevitable. They fail to recognize that after maturity, continued growth is either obesity or cancer. The authors of growth would like us to believe that the battle against growth is lost, so our only role is to be the best losers. We should remember that Smart Growth and Dumb Growth both destroy the environment, but Smart Growthť destroys the environment with good taste. Our leaders yank our leash into unending, unacceptable and relentless growth? Such growth yields chronic and painful ramifications for everyone in America regarding quality of life and standard of living? What does growth really bring to you and me? It creates a few rich people. It brings more homeless and unemployed, more people living in poverty, more traffic congestion, higher parking fees, more school crowding, more unhappy neighborhoods, more expensive government, more and higher taxes, more fiscal problems for the state, more air and water pollution, higher utility costs, diminished democracy, crowded highways, growing costs of infrastructure maintenance, higher food costs and more destruction of the environment. You will encounter overloaded campgrounds, beaches, ski resorts, more litter, higher gas costs, greater housing costs, water shortages and loss of choices and personal freedom. It's not clear why the government would think that people would want these known consequences of growth. Crude oil increased from $20 a barrel in 2002 to $100 a barrel in 2008. We could look at $500 a barrel in another six years. Culprit? Immigration causes 80% of our growth! By their continued promotion of growth, the innumerates are speeding the arrival of painful but predictable shortages and consequent rationing of gasoline, natural gas and water across America. Bartlett concluded: The arithmetic of population, resources and growth is inexorable. The consequences cannot be avoided by believing that wishing will make it so.   February 18, 2008   NewsWithViews.com - Frosty Wooldridge 022751

U.S.: Numbers Count in the Immigration Debate.   Immigrants, like native-born Americans, are good people, hard-working and patriotic. Individual immigrants are not problematic; mass immigration, both legal and illegal, is. Mass immigration is ruining the quality of life for the children and grandchildren of immigrants already in the United States. It is chewing up what little open space remains, driving up air-and water-pollution, amplifying suburban sprawl and placing a larger burden on publicly financed institutions. Most public debate ignores that immigration, both legal and illegal, has ballooned to record levels since the early 1990s. The number of foreign-born people in the US has reached 37 million. The most recent mass immigration, takes place when US population levels belabor and deplete the nation's natural resources. At least half of the 10.3 million immigrants who have arrived since 2000 are illegal. About 47% of all immigrants and their young children are on Medicaid or are uninsured. Nearly 33% of immigrant-headed households use at least one welfare program compared with 19% for natives. It is food assistance and Medicaid that explain the numbers. On the plus side, 82% of immigrant households have at least one worker in the household, compared with just 73% of native households. In fact, 78% of immigrant households using the major welfare programs have at least one worker. The public debate over immigration ignores the huge bubble of immigration the United States is now experiencing. It also ignores, the environmental impact of mass immigration. The CIS describes its mission seeks fewer immigrants but a warmer welcome for those admitted. If we want the US to become one nonstop mass of urban sprawl, we should continue to allow record levels of legal and illegal immigration. If we care about the quality of our environment and the quality of life here, we should take note of the numbers.   Karen Gaia: My issue with this article is that it does not seem concerned with the future sustainability of the U.S. It mentions Medicaid, food assistance, and immigrants, but if the author were truly interested in sustainability due to population, it would advocate: 1) fewer children to native born and immigrant alike (we have a large number of unwanted pregnancies), 2) a big cut in consumption by native born and immigrant alike, and 3) public policies and planning that help (not coerce) people to achieve numbers 1 and 2.   November 30, 2007   SignOnSanDiego.com 022479

Import-Export Business - How Globalization is Smothering U.S. Fruit and Vegetable Farms.   President Bush roiled U.S. vegetable farmers by announcing a crackdown on undocumented workers. Last week, Smithfield Foods inked a deal to export 60 million pounds of U.S.-grown pork to China. These events, illustrate that the globalized food system continues to gain traction. Bush's move puts a squeeze on U.S. vegetable growers, and will likely result in more food from nations with weaker environmental regulations. More industrially produced food result in more pressure on soil and water resources, more greenhouse-gas emissions, and more fertile land made vulnerable to suburban sprawl. As U.S. fruit and vegetable farms have scaled up to meet the demands of buyers like Wal-Mart, they've come to rely on low-wage and highly flexible workers. These mega-farms specialize in one or two crops, and rely on poisons to keep pests and weeds away. Most estimates say 70% of U.S. farmworkers are undocumented. For several seasons now, farmers have had to scramble to find enough workers to harvest their crops. One factor has been an increasingly militarized border, another has been the building boom. In New York's Hudson Valley, where workers come from Mexico and Central America, apple growers fear a bumper crop could largely wither on the branches. It's a very labor-intensive industry, and there is no local labor supply. In Arizona farmers are hiring inmate labor. But an Arizona prison official acknowledged that inmates can offset only a fraction of the state's farm-labor shortage. Fruit and vegetable farming, like manufacturing over the past generation, has entered a relentless hunt for cheap labor markets and lax regulatory regimes. The U.S. is already outsourcing an increasing share of its fruit and veg production. But with marketing relationships and trade infrastructure in place, nothing stops distributors from buying cheaper Mexico-grown lettuce over California product, or New Zealand apples over those grown in New York or Washington. When farmers can no longer work their land profitably they generally sell it to developers, and succumb to low-density sprawl. That's already happening in California. Production of the fruits and vegetables we consume shifts to nations with weaker regulatory regimes than ours, meaning more agricultural chemicals released into the biosphere. And increasing distances mean burning more fossil fuel to haul from farm to table. While U.S. vegetable farming gets squeezed between labor shortages and global competition, other forms of U.S. agriculture, industrial grain and meat production, thrive in the global marketplace.   August 30, 2007   Grist Magazine 021857

US District of Columbia;: Anxiety on Costs of Illegal Residents.   The Prince William Board of County Supervisors has called for a study to determine how much money illegal immigration is costing the county. The board's request for a staff study is unusual. The supervisors' demand signals that illegal immigration will be an urgent topic. Supervisors say a wave of immigrants is driving up costs for schools, social services, health care and law enforcement. Putting a number on the cost is an opportunity to push back on the federal government who are supposed to secure the borders. Prince William, where about 20 percent of residents are foreign-born, joins a number of local governments grappling with a wave of new residents, many of them illegal immigrants. In Prince William, the development boom has attracted undocumented workers whose children have enrolled in county schools, and the families have used county social services and health-care facilities. Constituents are very angry about this issue, and are going to be demanding more and more that the appropriate measures are being taken The study will include the impact on the police department and jail and court system, the county's hospitals and health clinics. The federal government is not doing anything to work on illegal immigration. It is only getting worse. Residents have said they are concerned that their taxes are paying for the education and health care of illegal workers who pay no taxes. The comptroller of Texas reported that illegal immigrants had a positive financial impact on the state treasury but that they were costing counties hundreds of millions of dollars each year. The tax money was going to the state and the counties were not getting any of those tax revenues, so the counties end up footing the cost.   December 18, 2006   Washington Post 019980

Flow of Immigrants' Money to Latin America Surges.   Immigrants from Latin America arrive in the US and quickly find work. As soon as they have payed off the smuggler who brought them across the border, they start sending money home. Even in states that had no Latin American immigrants a few years ago, a growing trickle of money is making its way to places like Tlalchapa, Mexico, or Panajachel, in the Guatemalan highlands. Remittances to Latin America this year will total more than $45 billion, 51% higher than two years ago. Three-quarters of Latino immigrants send money home regularly, up from 60% in 2004. This may reflect growth in illegal immigrants, who tend to send money home more often than others. Sending money back to relatives at home has developed into a moral obligation. Estimates on remittances are in line with population figures from the Census Bureau, which found that Latin American immigrants made up 6.6% of the nation's household population. About 1.2% of the population of Pennsylvania was born in Latin America, 0.7% in Ohio and 2% in Indiana. These states had virtually no Latino immigrants five years ago. Money transfers from Indiana should approach $400 million this year, with above $500 million from Pennsylvania and $214 million from Ohio. The survey suffers from very small samples in some with the most recent immigrant populations. The data are consistent with pattern in which Latino migrants move from immigrant-heavy states to new frontiers like Pennsylvania in search of jobs. The reconstruction of New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina provides an example of how immigrant populations coalesce around jobs. Latino immigrants have flocked to New Orleans, where they accounted for half the reconstruction force, with 54% in the US illegally. Remittances to Latin America from Louisiana should top $200 million this year, a 240% increase since 2004.   October 19, 2006   New York Times* 019075

Walking the Line.   One figure in the immigration debate that people treat with respect is the mostly invisible procession of immigrants trying to enter the United States under established rules. Also the orderliness that lawmakers are trying to impose upon the illegal population already here. This country is struggling to control an unruly situation. The answer is to fix the line and any effort at immigration reform demands it. An estimated three million people are waiting for visas outside this country. The backlog goes back decades. The 11 to 12 million who broke the law to get here have thus given themselves a leg up and granting them a place in line is not just. The Senate's immigration bill offers illegal immigrants a route to legality, that will take many years. During that time, the country would adjust its formulas for immigrant visas to eliminate the backlogs. By the time the line-jumpers become legal, the people who were legitimately ahead of them will have been taken care of. The visa backlog is not structural: the problem is an overwhelming gap between demand and supply. The Senate bill would increase the number of employment-based visas each year to 450,000, from 140,000, through 2016. After that, the cap would shrink to 290,000. Spouses and children would no longer be counted against the employment-based visa cap. Some people in the Philippines are in their second decade of waiting to be reunited with loved ones in the US. The goal of immigration reform is to be humane and practical without insulting people's innate sense of fairness. If reform removes the incentives that make it more rational to enter the US through the Sonoran Desert than through a line at a consular office, so much the better.   It is surely not fair to those who are trying to immigrate legally, but raising the limit to meet the demand means certain unsustainability - it makes having any limits at all meaningless. We must re-examing the reasons for the limits.   May 07, 2006   New York Times* 017368

the Painful Path to Human Trafficking.   A social programme in Quang Ninh province, is trying to help trafficked victims re-integrate. Quang Ninh province has benefited from an increase in economic development, but has suffered from an increasing number of trafficking incidents. Traffickers tricks have become more complex nowadays, they are relatives, or neighbours or friends of the victims, who are mostly poor and uneducated. 16 Vietnamese girls were returned to Vietnam by Chinese police in February alone. They were all sex workers, but official statistics are lower than the numbers that are occurring. When returning to Vietnam, victims experience hard lives economically and mentally. Abandoned by their families, only a few have access to housing, jobs and other basic rights. They cannot rebuild their lives without community support, and a social programme is being put in place by the International Organisation for Migration (IOM) in an effort to help victims. It is an innovative programme to help trafficked victims re-integrate into their community in Vietnam. The first training course was held last year. Trainers were recruited from teachers from Hanoi-based Hoa Sua school specialising in helping disadvantaged youth. They give the trainees lessons on life skills, discipline and how to cook meals. IOM’s in-house psychologist is helping the women deal with mental anguish. In the evening, the trainees gathered to listen to the director of the four-star hotel Halong Pearl, and the holder of two Master’s and a doctoral certificate on economic management and law. He talked about recruitment, and the working rules of his hotel, as well as people he knew who had emerged from difficulties. He wanted to raise self-confidence and empower the unfortunate women. The lecturer is one among the many invited to talk in the class. From the first course 20 of its 25 trainees have found jobs in Halong restaurants and hotels. Quang Ninh authorities have given the model their support. The trafficked victims have their own situations and destinies, but they have been given an opportunity to have a job, to heal their mental pains and to leave behind uncounted memories of their horrible past.   April 22, 2006   VietnamNet Bridge 017221

U.S.: Illegal Immigration: Attrition Through Enforcement - Government's Own Data Show Point to a Cost-effective Strategy.   Proponents of legalization of illegal aliens often suggest this is the only alternative as removing illegal aliens by force is unworkable. One study suggested that the cost of such a strategy would be $206 billion over the next five years. But mass forced removal is not the only alternative. A third way is to seek attrition of the illegal population through law enforcement, encouraging illegal aliens to give up and leave of their own accord. A new analysis demonstrates that such a strategy combined with a stronger border security, can significantly reduce the size of the illegal alien population at a reasonable cost. The report finds that according an attrition strategy could cut the illegal population by nearly half in five years, with an investment of less than $2 billion, an increase of less than 1% of the President's 2007 budget request for the Department of Homeland Security ($42.7 billion). Elements of an attrition strategy would include: mandatory workplace verification of immigration status; measures to curb misuse of Social Security and IRS identification numbers; partnerships with state and local law enforcement; expanded entry-exit recording; increased non-criminal removals; and local laws to discourage illegal settlement. * An attrition strategy could reduce the illegal population by 1.5 million each year. * Persuading illegals to leave works faster than a borders-only approach. Under the NSEERS program, DHS removed roughly 1,500 illegally-resident Pakistanis; over the same time period, in response to the registration requirements, about 15,000 left the country on their own. * Requiring employers to verify the status of workers could affect one-third of the illegal population. It is estimated to cost just over $400 million over five years. * The IRS knows the place of employment of millions of illegal aliens, and issues hundreds of millions of dollars in tax refunds and tax credits to illegal aliens. Information-sharing would help boost immigration law enforcement at minimal cost. * US-VISIT border registration program is a critical tool. Screening must include Mexicans and Canadians, and DHS must deploy an exit-recording system. These steps should be a prerequisite to adding or expanding any visa program. * Less than 10% of the resources of the ICE are devoted to fraud, workplace violations, and overstayers. DHS could double non-criminal removals at a cost of roughly $120 million per year, balancing a "broken windows" approach with its current approach to enforcement. * Laws enacted by Florida and New York to prevent illegal immigrants from obtaining driver's licenses have induced more illegal aliens to leave than have federal enforcement efforts and have come at virtually no cost to the federal government.   Encouraging illegal immigration is wrong on several counts: 1) it sanctions breaking the law by looking the other way, leading to corruption of the legal system, 2) it exceeds the limits (caps) on immigration that legislators have set - limits that might have had some success in maintaining sustainability in this country, 3) it creates a slave labor class in this country, driving down low end wages and making life difficult for the poor in this country, 4) it enables middle class and rich Americans to spend less on some items and allows them to spend more on cars, toys, and bigger houses - adding to the burden on the planet, 5) it is unfair to those would-be immigrants who have been waiting their turn for legal entry into this country.   April 2006   Center for Immigration Studies 017206

U.S.: Divide is Too Deep for Immigration Reform.   It is doubtful if Congress will agree on an immigration bill. There is too great a divide between the views of "elites" and the "public" over the economic and social merit of a massive inflow of foreigners. Business leaders would like an amnesty and welcome cheap immigrant labor. Polls show the public is opposed to letting undocumented immigrants obtain citizenship. Fear of terrorism has led to calls for reform as 4% of the people in the country have sneaked across the borders. Some 850,000 illegal immigrants have entered the country annually for each of the past six years. On Dec. 16, the House passed a tough border-security bill. If enforced, the bill could stem the flow of new illegal immigrants. Proposals include a guest-worker program that would include amnesty in disguise for illegals living here now. In rich nations, no such program has ever led to such workers going home after their time was up. In Germany, most Turkish "guest" workers have remained. If a tough law is passed to limit illegals, any plan to send them home would not be enforced, Making matters more difficult, illegals bear some 380,000 children a year that become US citizens automatically. Harvard University Borjas reckons that the inflow of so many immigrants has depressed the wages of similar American citizens by 7%. Large-scale immigration has increased the foreign-born share of the US population from 4.7% in 1970 to 12.7% in 2003. A number of factors could make assimilation more difficult. Manufacturing has become a shrinking labor force. There is less diversity among new arrivals. A rising ideology of tolerance reduces the pressures for assimilation and acculturation.      March 21, 2006   Christian Science Monitor 016775

U.S.: We Don't Need 'Guest Workers'.   In 1964 Congress killed the seasonal Mexican laborers program despite warnings that its abolition would doom the tomato industry. Then scientists developed oblong tomatoes that could be harvested by machine and California's tomato output has risen fivefold. Now we're being warned again that we need unskilled laborers from Mexico and Central America to relieve U.S. "labor shortages." Guest workers would mainly legalize today's vast inflows of illegal immigrants, with the same consequence: We'd be importing poverty. They generally don't go home, assimilation is slow and the ranks of the poor are constantly replenished. Since 1980 the number of Hispanics with incomes below the government's poverty line has risen 162%, while the number of non-Hispanic whites in poverty rose 3% and blacks, 9.5%. What we have now is a policy of creating poverty in the US while relieving it in Mexico. It stresses local schools, hospitals and housing and feeds social tensions (witness the Minutemen). Some Americans get cheap landscaping services but if more mowed their own lawns it wouldn't be a tragedy. Among immigrant Mexican and Central American workers in 2004, only 7% had a college degree and nearly 60% lacked a high school diploma. Among native-born U.S. workers, 32% had a college degree and 6% did not have a high school diploma. The illegal immigrants represent only about 4.9% of the labor force. In no major occupation are they a majority. They're drawn here by wage differences, not labor "shortages." Most new illegal immigrants can get work by accepting wages below prevailing levels. Hardly anyone thinks that illegal immigrants will leave, but what would happen if illegal immigration stopped and wasn't replaced by guest workers? Some employers would raise wages to attract U.S. workers; others would find ways to minimize those costs. The number of native high school dropouts with jobs declined by 1.3 million from 2000 to 2005. Some lost jobs to immigrants and unemployment remains high for some groups. Business organizations support guest worker programs - they like cheap labor and ignore the consequences. Why do liberals support a program that worsens poverty and inequality? Poor immigrant workers hurt the wages of unskilled Americans. We've never tried a policy of real barriers and strict enforcement against companies that hire illegal immigrants. Until that's shown to be ineffective, we shouldn't adopt guest worker programs that add to serious social problems.      March 21, 2006   Midwest Coalition to Reduce Immigration 016968

U.S.: Swamped with Illegal Immigrants at Home, Governors Pushing for Action in Washington.   A growing number of governors are complaining about the flood of immigrants pouring into their states and pushing for action. Republicans and Democrats said they planned to bring the concerns to President Bush and his Cabinet. There are an estimated 11 million illegal immigrants draining resources. Governors also hope to get attention on the National Guard, where they fear cuts, and on Medicaid and welfare. Governors said immigrants are costing states dollars and spurring state legislation. All agree the answer lies in Washington. It's important to come with a single voice to give some direction. Western governors have put together a plan that asks for tougher border enforcement that makes better use of technology, improvements in the visa system, adoption of a guest worker program and working with Latin America countries to tackle the root economic causes that send millions north looking for work. In Texas, there was an armed standoff last month between state authorities and apparent drug smugglers wearing Mexican military-style uniforms. Illegal immigration spurred Napolitano and Bill Richardson of New Mexico to declare states of emergency in border counties in each state. Governors warn that harsh measures alone would cause severe damage to many states. Two years ago, Bush laid out guidelines for a temporary worker program. The House passed an immigration enforcement bill last year that called for building fences on the U.S.-Mexican border, allowing local law officials to enforce immigration laws, and requiring employers to verify the legal status of their employees. Governors also spoke as one on their worries about a Pentagon plan to restructure the Army National Guard that many warn will leave the states with ability to respond to homegrown disaster and emergencies. All 50 governors signed a letter earlier this month to Bush opposing the plan. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld scheduled a private lunch with the governors on to discuss their concerns.   Karen Gaia says: while there may be a difference of opinion on whether or not immigrants benefit the economy, the fact remains that growing populations have big impacts on sustainability and the environment. And it does not speak well of the U.S. to promote illegal immigration for the purposes of providing workers who will work at sub-standard wages.   February 26, 2006   Associated Press 016633

U.S.: Immigration: Attrition Through Enforcement.   The McCain/Kennedy amnesty plan is based on a false assumption: since the federal government can't deport 10 million illegal aliens, the only alternative is amnesty. There is another way that can actually work: shrink the illegal population through enforcement of the immigration law. Reduce the settlement of new illegals, increase deportations to the extent possible, and, increase the number of illegals who give up and deport themselves. Such a strategy has never been formally articulated.      May 2005   Center for Immigration Studies 013731

U.S. Agency Poised for Big Border Security Operation.   The Customs and Border Protection unit of the Department of Homeland Security will increase the number of agents in the Tucson sector by 40% to thwart both illegal immigration as well as the potential for terrorist infiltration. The goal is to "establish and maintain operational control" and redeploy Black Hawk helicopters and resources from around the country. The Border Patrol will see an increase in agents to about 2,300. The Arizona Border Control Initiative (ABCI), a $23 million operation in 2004, was considered a success, with nearly a half-million apprehensions. The U.S.-Mexico border crossings are vulnerable to a variety of smuggling operations including terrorists and weapons of terrorism and human and contraband smuggling that operate in the Tucson area. The flow of illegal migration seems to have had little effect on the numbers. From interviews with more than 600 Mexican immigrants who recently returned to their home communities, it was found that tougher border enforcement has had no deterrent effect. Migrants and people-smugglers are avoiding the fortified areas and the probability of being apprehended is low enough to justify the risks.      March 30, 2005   MSNBC.com 013327

LAPD Enlisted in Fight on Human Smuggling; U.S. to Fund the Training of Officers to Better Identify Exploitation of Immigrants, Including 'hidden Crimes' of Forced Prostitution and Slavery..   Federal authorities announced the disbursement of $450,000 to the Los Angeles Police to train officers to better identify immigrant exploitation. This is an acknowledgment that prostitution and slavery are byproducts of L.A. human smuggling trade, but remain undetected by authorities overwhelmed by other tasks. Victims include immigrants lured to the U.S. and forced into the sex trade. Others become victims after being forced to pay off fees by working as servants. Federal prosecutors in L.A. secured only two convictions last year for human trafficking. U.S. prosecutors filed 12 trafficking cases in 2003 and 10 each in 2002 and 2001. Even though these are heinous crimes, they are often hidden and difficult to corroborate. Exploited immigrants rarely report crimes or testify in court. The grant will pay for training a Police Academy class and announcements about human trafficking. The county Board of Supervisors is scheduled to vote on whether it will train jail guards to screen prisoners for illegal immigration status. The Sheriff's Department estimates that a quarter of its inmates are undocumented immigrants and should be turned over for possible deportation. Two bills would make human trafficking a state crime, increasing penalties and providing restitution for victims. Lawmakers claim the bills would prod local authorities to investigate such crimes more thoroughly. Government estimates claim that as many as 20,000 immigrants annually are forced into prostitution or indentured servitude in the U.S. Internationally, the estimate is 800,000. The shift with this kind of training is that the people who were arrested as perpetrators are now being treated as victims. Victims' advocates say that many decline to put themselves or their families at risk by testifying. Some victims, if they agree to testify in court, are eligible for three-year visas that allows them to bring families into the United States.      January 25, 2005   Los Angeles Times 012702

U.S.: Don't Be Fooled By Fake Immigration Reform.   Senators intend to introduce a bill that will likely incorporate most of the President's guest worker proposals. As you hear immigration issues discussed - keep in mind, it is not immigration reform if it doesn't cut the numbers and the bill will include guest workers. We all know the familiar refrain, they've been here six years; they have American-born kids, etc. But the bill allows upwards of 11 million illegal aliens to remain in the country. Both guest workers and illegal aliens are a major cause of declining wages and working conditions. Any guest worker program will place middle class jobs on the auction block. The bill will authorize enhanced enforcement but if, funded, verifiable enforcement is not a prerequisite then it is not immigration reform! True immigration reform lays out the basics of legitimate immigration, as the majority of Americans understand it to be and have been demanding for a long time.      January 20, 2005   Federation for American Immigration Reform 014145

Mexico's Migrant Guide Sparks Controversy.   The Mexican government is distributing a guide that warns would-be migrants about the perils of crossing illegally into the United States enraging advocates of stricter immigration policies. About 1.5 million copies were distributed as a free supplement throughout the country. The book's introduction shows three men huddling by bushes and the statement, "This guide is intended to give you some practical advice that could be of use if you already have made the difficult decision to seek new job opportunities outside your country." The booklet explains the safest way to enter the United States is with a U.S. visa and a Mexican passport. But it offers tips on avoiding injury or death to those who have decided to cross illegally. Critics argue the tips serve as instructions on how to cross illegally and is a manual on how to circumvent U.S. immigration law. The U.S. State Department issued a statement said it had not contacted the Mexican government and praised cooperation between the countries to improve safety along the border. There's no Mexican law stopping migrants from gathering near the northern border and every year, hundreds die in the desert or drown while attempting to cross the Rio Grande.      January 05, 2005   Associated Press 012567

Costs of Illegal Immigration.   Illegal aliens use $2,700 a year more in services than they pay in taxes, creating a fiscal burden of nearly $10.4 billion on the federal budget in 2002. Among the largest costs: Medicaid ($2.5 billion); treatment for the uninsured ($2.2 billion); food assistance ($1.9 billion); the prison and court systems ($1.6 billion); aid to schools ($1.4 billion). The primary reason they create a deficit is their low education levels and low incomes and tax payments. Amnesty increases costs because illegals would still be unskilled, and tax payments modest, but they would access more government services. Many legal immigrants are highly skilled and many of the costs are due to their U.S.-born children, who have U.S. citizenship at birth so barring illegals from federal programs will not reduce costs. The average illegal household pays over $4,200 a year in taxes, for a total of $16 billion. However, they impose annual costs of more than $26.3 billion, or $6,950 per illegal household. About 43%, or $7 billion, of the taxes illegals pay go to Social Security and Medicare. Employers do not see the costs of less-educated immigrants because the costs are spread out among all taxpayers. Amnesty will not change the low education levels or the fact that the American economy offers such workers limited opportunities, regardless of legal status. The majority of illegal aliens will have very low incomes, and make modest tax payments but legal status would allow them to use more programs. Cost would rise because legal immigrants with the same levels of education make extensive use of public services. Thus, even though tax payments would rise by 77% costs would rise 117%. The Earned Income Tax Credit pays cash to low-income workers. Illegals account for only 1.5% of the costs, but if they were legalized their use would grow tenfold because they would no longer need stolen or bogus SS numbers to get the credit. This rise in cost is not due to laziness by the immigrants it reflects the low education of illegals and their resulting low incomes. Policy makers have tried to reduce the costs while allowing illegals to remain but this has not been effective because the average illegal receives less than half as much from the government as other households and many costs are due to U.S.-born children. Other programs are too politically sensitive to cut, and others are unavoidable, such as incarcerating illegals convicted of crimes. Enforcing immigration laws is popular with voters and administratively feasible. There are two options: either enforce the law, reducing the number of illegals, or accept the costs from a large pool of unskilled workers. An analysis of illegal alien tax returns by the Inspector Generals Office in 2004, found that half had no federal income tax liability.   So the question is: are members of the public willing to make the sacrifice to help low income immigrants or is it really a sacrifice? Have they become accustomed to the benefits of illegal (i.e. substandard wages) labor?   August 25, 2004   Center for Immigration Studies 011346

Nations Are Urged to Fight Illegal Migration; Unfair International Economic Order is to Blame, Says Foreign Ministry Official .   Developed countries should combat people-smuggling and human-trafficking. A senior Chinese official said the unfair international economic and irrational migration policies were the causes of illegal migration that has a negative impact on development and undermines order and security. The involvement of transnational criminal organisations and the using of fake passports were features of illegal migration. Channels for legal migration should be widened to eliminate the root causes of illegal migration, and a new world order was needed to narrow the gap between the rich and the poor. Countries should not let political factors and the abuse of asylum policies hinder international co-operation. The mainland government was firmly opposed to illegal migration. Last year, police found nearly 7,000 smugglers and arrested 230 organisers of people-smuggling. China has developed co-operation with more than 40 countries. China is playing an increasingly significant role on the international migration issue.      August 02, 2004   South China Morning Post 011121

Illegal Entry From Mexico to U.S. Rises.   Illegal immigration from Mexico is spiking as migrants cross the border hoping to get work visas. The U.S. border patrol said that detentions jumped 25% to 535,000 in the six months ending March 31. Near Sasabe, bordering the Arizona desert that's the busiest illegal border crossing area, an average 2,000 people arrive daily. Many migrants are betting on the approval of Bush's migration proposal. About 75% of those arrested are Mexican, the rest are from Central America and other places. Bush proposed a plan that would give legal status to undocumented migrants already working in the United States and to those outside the country who can prove they have been offered a job. Many are heading north now, hoping to get settled before a program is in place. Mexicans living in the United States say they wouldn't apply, fearing it could be a trap to deport them. In Mexico the program has given migrants hope and that convinces some to cross now. The executive director for the Center for Immigration Studies said the rise in illegal migration shot up in 1986 when an amnesty was announced. Illegal migration had been declining along the border since 2000. Detentions dropped from 1.6 million in 2000 to 905,000 in the year ending Sept. 30, 2003. 535,000 illegal migrants were arrested along the U.S.-Mexico border from Oct. 1 to March 31 and in the same period, the border patrol's Tucson sector detained 70,000 more people, an increase of 49%. The increase in apprehensions is because the border patrol is more effective. A Mexican government-sponsored group that tries to discourage migrants said 56,000 went through Sasabe in March compared to 41,000 in March 2003. In Altar, a town that has become the gathering point for those heading to Arizona, street vendors sell backpacks, water jugs and salt pills by the thousands. Homes around the plaza, crowded with triple-decker beds, serve as makeshift motels and they're almost always at capacity. 300 more U.S. border agents will be deployed by June 1 along the border and the number of border agents assigned to the Tucson sector will increase from 1,800 to 2,500. The heightened security is driving more migrants to treacherous desert routes in western Arizona. Mexico's Grupo Beta plans to assign rescuers to Sonoyta in May where hundreds of migrants die in the desert.      April 27, 2004   Mark Krikorian 010449

Major Provisions of the Three Main Amnesty Proposals in the 108th Congress.   Should amnesty be granted to illegal immigrants? Or should immigration laws be allowed to slip, ignoring the problems of favoring closer migrants over others; the payment of substandard wages, which undercuts other workers at the same time as generating a slave class in the U.S.; the brain drain from the poorer countries and the poverty left behind; and straining in the U.S. of both the infrastructure and environment with unplanned population growth? Both immigration reductionists and those opposed should examine the issues fully. Those who support illegal immigration should be prepared to personally mitgate the problems that illegal immigration brings.   October 15, 2003   008320

US California: Schwarzenegger to Repeal Law Giving Illegals Driver's Licenses.   California Governor elect Schwarzenegger plans to repeal the law allowing illegal aliens to obtain driver's licenses but will help undocumented immigrants with temporary work permits. Those who arrived before August 2003 will have the chance to apply for visas if they don't have a criminal background, but have a job. He plans to rescind the car tax as soon as possible and calls for an outside audit of the state's financial state, and open the books for the public.      October 08, 2003   CNSNews.com 008253

Money for Border Security Said Lacking.   Homeland security officials told Senate subcommittees they don't have the resources to hunt foreigners who stay beyond the 90 days allowed those without a visa. They have no numbers as to how many stay beyond 90 days. After the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, it was difficult to uncover visa violators with only 2,000 investigators. Some lawmakers called for an end to a mutual visa waiver program with 28 countries, but supporters said this would chill relations with some of the nation's best allies in the war on terrorism and would burden U.S. consulates with more visa applications and cost millions of dollars. Congress voted last year to purchase technology for tracking students and visitors and for documenting immigrants in the country. Parts of an automated system are to be in place at all ports by 2005. This became the homeland security responsibility when immigration functions shifted to the new agency.   WOA!! is interested in illegal immigration because it adds to the fast growing population of the U.S. - to the detriment of the U.S. environment and its plant and animal species, and adding more super consumers to the world. While immigration should be allowed to some extent, there is a limit to how many people the country's environment can sustain.   March 12, 2003   Associated Press 005832

U.S. Immigration Ineffective at Deporting Illegals.   The Immigration and Naturalization Service is ineffective at deporting illegal aliens and fails to expel foreigners who may include terrorists. Only 13% of illegal aliens who have been ordered out of the country have actually left. The INS has removed almost 94% of illegal aliens who are being held in the agency's custody. As of June 2002, 355,000 illegal aliens not in INS custody but who had been ordered out of the country had failed to leave. The INS was ineffective at expelling high-risk groups of illegal aliens. Only 6% of illegal foreigners from countries identified as "sponsors of terrorism" who were not under arrest ever left. The INS expelled 3% of the illegal aliens whose applications for asylum had been denied. Several individuals convicted of terrorist acts in the United States requested asylum as a part of their efforts to stay in the country. The agency dedicates insufficient resources to removing illegal aliens, most of its effort is to remove criminal aliens.   Note: the inability of the INS to sort out terrorists from other immigrants sours the idea of immigration for most Americans and makes legal immigration extremely difficult.   February 27, 2003   Reuters 005721

Why You Need 'la Perra Flaca'.   A subdivision called Winchester Heights in Cochise County Arizona, is also know as La Perra Flaca, or Skinny Dog, because of its squalor - crowding of trailers and ramshackle houses on garbage-strewn lots with illegal cesspools. Many who live there are illegal immigrants, gathered up everyday in vans and cars to work in the fields, orchards and nurseries of southeastern Arizona. Perra Flaca is paying off for Cochise County farmers who have seen irrigated cropland fall to a third of what it was three decades ago and who have come to depend on the cheap labor force. 10 years ago Cochise County started to clean up Perra Flaca, notifying owners of violations and working out a schedule for voluntary compliance. Many of the 65,000 to 100,000 migrant workers in the state work and live in places like this. Unauthorized workers comprise an estimated 60% of the nation's farm workers. Farm work provides the lowest pay and least protection and desperate people will work as quickly as they can to escape. Most work fewer than 120 days a year and earn $5,000 to $7,000 annually. The low cost of food in the United States is subsidized primarily through the work of undocumented workers. There is no incentive to change the system; we have an immigration policy aimed at keeping these people out and an economic structure that encourages them to come in. Part of the solution is to create a special status for these workers that offers protection. One plan, known as H2A, is criticized for placing too much control with employers and failing to protect 20,000 agricultural workers allowed to spend up to a year working in the US. Hiring illegal immigrants holds down the wages of legal immigrants and suppresses innovation that could bring prices down. The farmer would have to pay people more, but he would compensate by bringing in machines. In southeastern Chiapas Mexico, there is good, productive lands, compared to Arizona, but no buyers for the corn and beans they grow. Wells, tractors and highways are needed to develop the region and that's why people leave. Arizona's southeast corner moves through cycles of boom and bust in agriculture. Heavy rainfall brought a boom in 1900s, then another boom from rural electrification, irrigation and World War II. Rising energy costs and a falling water table drove many farmers out over the next decade. Survivors switched to sprinkler and drip irrigation and high-yielding orchards of pecans, apples and grapes. Today only 60,000 acres are in production. Pesticides and herbicides that are controlled in the US get little scrutiny in other countries and farming practices are safer and more expensive here. The pressure to keep down the labor costs comes in part from foreign competition. Chile producers in India, Pakistan, South Africa and China pay as little as 25 cents an hour, compared with the $5.15 minimum wage in the U.S. The chile-growing region in New Mexico is the nation's largest at 19,000 acres and $200 million in annual sales. But wage disparities fall within international trade treaties, so the chile task force has focused on improving efficiency. The Border Patrol coverage has more than 500 agents based in Douglas. Federal policy emphasizes border enforcement, but the INS has only 1,950 agents assigned to interior enforcement nationwide. The Phoenix office has only eight agents so an investigation of illegal migrants in rural Arizona would be difficult. The Border Patrol for northern Cochise County hasn't mounted an action aimed at migrant workers since December 1999; today they are being diverted to anti-terrorism efforts. Court restrictions driven by civil-liberties concerns have eliminated work-site enforcement. Employers receive three days' notice of a visit by INS agents. Enforcement has been hindered by fraudulent identification after the federal amnesty of 1986 expanded the documents to establish residency. Counterfeit documents, such as Social Security cards, driver licenses and resident-alien green cards, began to spin out of control. The risk of getting caught has never been high for workers in the fields but they have made it harder for people to get here. Enforcement at the border near Douglas has created short-term labor shortages and this could be critical when 500 people a day are needed to work the chile farms.      July 14, 2002   Arizona Daily Star 008493

Ex-INS Officials Call for Amnesty.   Three former Immigration and Naturalization Service district directors felt there was a need for an amnesty program, claiming that the country's economy was booming and there were unfilled jobs in many sectors. [If the economy is booming, why do we need more jobs?] The amnesty program would legalize 5 - 8 million newcomers to the country. About 3 million undocumented immigrants benefited from the 1986 amnesty. Lobbying efforts will take place next week in Washington, with a march on Capitol Hill on July 20. "Surely the INS directors are aware of what a disaster the last amnesty was," said a spokesman for Rep. Lamar Smith (R-Texas), chairman of the House immigration subcommittee. "Experts called it the biggest immigration fraud in the United States ... Amnesty is a clear motivator for illegal aliens. If we want more illegal aliens, grant amnesty." [Note: the population growth rate of the U.S. is about 1%, which will lead to a doubling of the population in 70 years. A large part of the population growth is due to legal and illegal immigration.]   July 12, 2000   Newsweek 004803

U.S. Undocumented Population Heads Toward 11 Million.   Undocumented immigrants surged to 10.3 million last year, largely by Mexicans in the US. Undocumented residents increased by about 23% from 8.4 million in the four-year period ending last March, an increase of 485,000 per year between 2000 and 2004. Better job opportunities than in their native countries remains a lure for many immigrants. The population is growing at a similar pace as in the late 1990s although the U.S. economy today isn't as robust today. If the flow of undocumented immigrants hasn't abated since March 2004, the population will approach 11 million. Mexicans remain the largest undocumented group at 5.9 million, or about 57%. 2.5 million others, or 2% are from other Latin American countries. The U.S. foreign-born population was 35.7 million last year. Those of Mexican descent the largest group - more than 11 million, or 32% percent. The number of U.S. residents with Mexican backgrounds has increased by nearly 600,000 annually since 2000, with more than 80% percent of the new arrivals without proper documentation. Government officials have raised concerns about border security amid intelligence that terrorists have considered using the Southwest border to infiltrate the US. Bush has promoted a guest-worker program that would allow migrants to work for a limited time as long as they have a job. Critics argue that such workers drive down wages. The best approach is better enforcement of the borders and work sites said the Center for Immigration Studies. In 1990, 8% of the undocumented population lived in California, New York, Texas, Illinois, Florida and New Jersey. By 2004, those states accounted for 61% of the undocumented population. The top state is California, where nearly 25% of the undocumented reside, followed by Texas 14%, Florida 9%, New York 7%, Arizona 5%, Illinois 4%, New Jersey 4% and North Carolina 3%. Arizona and North Carolina have metropolitan areas booming with new construction, restaurants and service-oriented businesses that often hire undocumented workers.      2000   Associated Press 013195

Sympathy for our Poor Southern Neighbors .   Of the 6.4 billion earthlings, about 4.8 billion exist BELOW the Mexican standard of living. ... At least one million illegal immigrants settle in the United States annually. They are needy people, but their level of need is shared with at least 4.8 billion others around the globe. In other words, for every illegal immigrant entering the U.S this year, about 4,799 needy people are left behind.   John Rohe - Cagle Syndication Service 017976

Births to Immigrants


U.S.: Girls' Film on Teen Pregnancy Gets National Exposure.   With six classmates pregnant, including the valedictorian with her second child, it was clear girls at Mission High School needed more information on safe sex. So four students at this school - where the teen pregnancy rate is among the highest - decided they could send the message by making their own movie. Their 16-minute film promoting condom use, named "Toothpaste" after a teen word for condoms, has been ordered by schools and shown at film festivals and the Showtime cable channe. The script won an award by an organization that educates teens about pregnancy and sexually transmitted diseases. It features two teen girls' decisions on whether to have sex. Jennifer and her boyfriend, decide to wait. Cristina decides to have unprotected sex with her boyfriend after he says he loves her. With its soundtrack of Spanish hip-hop and background of South Texas, the film is a discussion about sexuality from a region where 37 of 1,000 girls get pregnant by 17. Experts attribute this to lack of knowledge about contraception and acceptance of young parents in a region that's 90% Hispanic. Sex-education in Texas focuses on abstinence and the state advises against discussing contraception. Most school districts do not. The girls said they would like to see information on contraceptives added to its sex education. It's information they need to know and want to know. The geographic isolation of South Texas has kept many Mexican family traditions intact, including taboos about talking to teens about sex. The girls began work on the script when they were juniors. The contest by Scenarios USA challenged teens in areas with high rates of teen pregnancy and sexually transmitted diseases to film their lives. The girls were shocked to learn that students in other states learned about contraception in the schools.      May 19, 2005   Associated Press 013726

  "Americans would also, of course, have to recognize that for every immigrant that arrives in the United States who is not balanced by an emigrant, a birth must be forgone. We can never have a sane immigration policy until we have a sane population policy. What the mix of births and immigrants should be is difficult question which must be solved by public debate. Our own view is that immigration adds important variety to our population and permits America to give refuge to people who really need it. So our preference would be to maintain a reasonable level of immigration and compensate for it with fewer births. But many others would consider the small family sizes that required too high a price to pay, or they simply do not like 'foreigners' (or are outright racists) and would prefer much stricter limits on immigration."   1999   NPG Forum Series TheMost Overpopulated Nation by Paul R.Ehrlich and Anne H.Ehrlich 004739

US North Carolina: Pre-natal Care in Spanish Serves Growing Population.   While pregnant with her first child, Trinidad Cupil Hernandez, a 20-year-old Mexican immigrant didn't speak English and couldn't understand her doctor. She was uninsured. And she didn't drive. She's pregnant again, and sought prenatal care. She's receiving prenatal care at Duplin County Health Services where translators help her through the process. Most new Hispanic immigrants in North Carolina receive prenatal care during the first trimester, but their numbers lag behind their white or black counterparts. For Hispanics, lack of transportation, health insurance and English-speaking abilities contribute to this trend. New Hanover County welcomed 80 Hispanic babies in 2000 and 210 four years later; Brunswick County also saw an increase, from 37 in 2000 to 93 born last year. In Duplin, Pender and Columbus counties, Latino births have increased over the past four years. In New Hanover, a nonprofit resource center offers the area's only prenatal class in Spanish. Until recently, women began to attend late in their pregnancies. She hopes the prenatal class will spur women to seek care early. They depend on other people to bring them. Their husbands work and can't bring them or take the time to bring them. Many may not seek care because it costs money and they have no health insurance. Women in Mexico are used to not seeing a nurse or doctor, they even deliver alone. Topics covered at the classes include myths about being pregnant, what to eat, information about breast-feeding, types of birth control to consider after giving birth, the effect of hormones, how she'll feel after giving birth and how she can tell when she's about to give birth, in Spanish. Duplin County Health Services brings pregnant Hispanic women together, women with similar due dates meet regularly for a two-hour session. There, they weigh themselves and check their blood pressure.   Women who have prenatal and antenatal care usually have more access to birth control.   August 13, 2005   Associated Press 014887

Pregnant Immigrants Feeling the Pinch; Cuts in Maryland Aid Programs Put Newer Arrivals at Risk of Losing Health Benefits.   Gov. Robert L. Ehrlich Jr. signed a bill to eliminate $7 million for the coverage of about 4,000 pregnant women and children who have been classified as permanent legal residents for less than five years. The state has a $1 billion surplus. Without proper prenatal care, mothers and newborns could suffer lasting consequences. Ehrlich administration officials say the Medicaid cuts are essential to containing the cost of the insurance program, which accounts for about one-fifth of the state's general fund. The move should not be seen as anti-immigrant, said state Health Secretary S. Anthony McCann. "It's consistent with federal law," he said. Immigrants, he added, have options other low-income residents don't. "The fact is, they have sponsors," McCann said. The nation's 1996 Welfare Reform Act, which made most legal immigrants ineligible for federal programs and cash assistance during their first five years here. More than 20 states restored heath care coverage to at least some of those immigrants.   As in developing countries, poor people in developed countries will have higher birth rates if they can't get good access to reproductive health care. That is where birth control options are suggested.   July 27, 2005   Washington Post 014760

U.S.: Births to Immigrants at All-Time High.   In 2002, 23% of all births in the US were to legal or illegal immigrant mothers, compared to 15% in 1990, 9% in 1980 and 6% in 1970. Current immigration continues at record levels, thus births to immigrants will continue to increase. 383,000, or 42% of births to immigrants are to illegal alien mothers. Births to illegals now account for nearly 1 out of every 10 births in the US. The longer illegal immigration is allowed to persist the harder it is to solve, because these children can stay permanently, their citizenship can prevent a parent's deportation, and once adults, they can sponsor their parents for permanent residence. A "temporary" worker program would result in the addition of hundreds of thousands of people to the U.S. population each year. The growth in births has been accompanied by a decline in diversity. The top country for immigrant births, Mexico, increased from 24% in 1970 to 45% in 2002. In 2002, births to Hispanic immigrants accounted for 59% of all births to immigrant mothers who are much less educated than native mothers. In 2002, 39% lacked a high school degree, compared to 17% of native-born mothers. Immigrants now account for 41% of all births to mothers without a high school degree. The states with the increase in births to immigrants are Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, Nebraska, Arkansas, Arizona, Tennessee, Minnesota, Colorado, Delaware, Virginia, and Maryland. Immigrants have higher fertility and are more likely to be in their reproductive years than natives. Nevertheless, this will not affect the nation's overall age structure. Immigrants plus their U.S.-born children, have only reduced the average age in the United States from 37 to 36. With or without post-1980 immigrants and their children, 66% of the population is of working age. Each year new immigration (legal and illegal), plus births to immigrants, adds 2.4 million people to America's population, making for a more densely settled country.      July 07, 2005   Center for Immigration Studies 014488

Hispanic Growth Surge Fueled by Births in U.S.   Hispanics accounted for about half the growth in the U.S. population since 2000. Births have overtaken immigration as the largest source of Hispanic growth. Half of Hispanics are under 27, half of non-Hispanic whites are over 40. In the 1990s, they accounted for 40% of the population increase and from 2000 to 2004, grew to 49%. Washington is an area of Hispanic "hyper-growth" and the District has a higher share of prosperous Hispanics. Over the past two decades, the Hispanic population has swelled because of immigration, but new immigrants are now outnumbered by babies born in the US. One in five children under 18 is Hispanic. The future of those young people has become the topic of a debate, with some noting that Hispanics have lower average education levels than other Americans and that their children could face a future at the bottom. Others contend that Hispanics will move up the ladder just as previous generations of immigrants have. Experts have predicted the rise of the Hispanic voting bloc for years, but it has not happened. The Census Bureau reported that 47% of Hispanic citizens voted in last year's presidential election, compared with 60% of blacks and 67% of non-Hispanic whites. Hispanic voting power is lessened because millions of them are illegal immigrants. Hispanics who vote are going to be interested in children's issues and anything that involves the promise of a middle-class life to the next generation. Hispanic population growth has fed local tensions near sites where day laborers gather and debates over whether government benefits should be available to illegal immigrants. But it has also spurred a cultural change in which young people grow up in a more diverse world than their parents.      June 09, 2005   Washington Post 013978

National Latina Institute for Reproductive Health   The mission of NLIRH is to ensure the fundamental human right to reproductive health for Latinas, their families and their communities through education, advocacy and coalition building.   April 09, 2004   010272

US Census Bureau Profile/Teenage Pregnancies in Sacramento California.   In 1990 there were 121,550 Hispanics compared to 1,041,000 total population. (Hispanic numbers are used as a basis for comparison since they are the largest group of immigrants in the last several years) In 1996, Sacramento had the 2nd highest teenage birth rate of the 50 largest cities in the US - 123 births per 1,000 teenage females. This is higher than the nationwide average Hispanic teenage birth rate of 102 per 1,000. In comparison, the non-Hispanic white teenage birth rate was 38, black was 91, and Asian was 95. Several cities with high teen birth rates -- for example, Miami, Fresno, and Sacramento -- have relatively large Hispanic populations.   1999   004797

High Birth Rates.   In 1994, the foreign-born were about 10% of the population, but had over 18% of the births.   1998   004783

Higher fertility
  has been a major source of minority-population growth. Hispanics have the highest fertility rate of any U.S. minority group, with an average of 3 children per woman. The black fertility rate is 2.2 lifetime births per woman. Non-Hispanic whites have the lowest fertility rate of 1.8 --about 14 percent below the "replacement rate" of 2.1 needed to maintain stable population size. Chiefly because of higher fertility rates, minorities are a larger share of U.S. youth, while non-Hispanic whites constitute the bulk of the nation's elderly. About 35 percent of U.S. children under 18 are minorities, while 84 percent of those over 65 are non-Hispanic whites. By 2025, nearly 47% of American children will be black, Hispanic or Asian.   October 7, 1999   The Washington Times 004778

More from Mexico than any Other Country


Profligate Water Use in the U.S. Is Fueling the Flight of Mexicans Across the Border.   On October 21, 2008, the Secretary of the Interior inaugurated the new Imperial Valley water reservoir near the U.S.-Mexico border. The 500-acre reservoir will store surplus Colorado River water for use by coastal Southern California, southern Nevada, and central Arizona; previously this water had been used by Mexican cities and farmers. This reservoir and a project to line a 23-mile stretch of the All-American Canal with concrete to prevent water seepage to an underground aquifer, means dire consequences for Mexico. An estimated 67,000 acre-feet of water seeps from the canal annually. This captured seepage water will be sent to San Diego for municipal use. The triumphant U.S. water and irrigation districts are gloating over their victory. The losers are Mexican peasants and subsistence farmers which will fuel illegal migration to the US. US water negotiators see water as a commodity in this war over natural resources. There are other nails in the coffin of Mexico's water future: a mega-drought; lack of funding for water infrastructure throughout the country; rapid development and population growth; increasing pollution; water privatization and inequality in water allocation. Government corruption, incompetence, infighting, and mismanagement of water. Mexico's government considers deforestation and the lack of clean water two national security issues. Vicente Fox repeatedly said that water is a national security issue. Mexico's poor have had to contend with skyrocketing food prices, general inflation which also raised the price of water, a calamitous drought, rising unemployment, and increasing hunger and malnourishment. The poor have staged street protests to protest against a 50% price hike of corn tortillas. Now the subsistence farmers have even less water to irrigate their crops. But the livelihood of those living on subsistence farming will be affected as well by drought and water scarcity. Thus, water scarcity is triggering food insecurity in Mexico, which has implications for its national security. Northern Mexico also has been afflicted by a drought since 1992. Climate scientists have predicted that the entire region from southwestern United States to north-central Mexico will be hit especially hard by global climate change and extreme droughts. Mexico's largest freshwater lake, has been steadily shrinking since the 1970s and lost approximately 80% of its water due to development in central Mexico. Drought and water scarcity have exacerbated Mexico's food crisis for the urban poor and for medium-size and small subsistence farmers. Many of our illegal aliens may be, water or environmental refugees. With intensifying global climate disruptions, there will be more of this category of people in Mexico.   Karen Gaia says: what more evidence do we need that the U.S. is overpopulated and it is impacting the lives of people in other countries?   November 11, 2008   AlterNet 023332

Smaller Families in Mexico May Stir U.S. Job Market; Some See Slower Migration of Low-skilled Workers.   Thanks to a decades-long family-planning campaign, most Mexicans are having far fewer children. This demographic shift has fostered hope that someday Mexico will produce a healthy middle class of people. Most Mexicans today are far too poor for luxuries but the new, smaller Mexican family may help change that by allowing parents to invest more in their children's education, finally producing the generation that lifts Mexico into the developed world. Although the flood of Mexicans is whipping up debate in Washington, the crossings may slow simply because smaller families limit the pool of potential migrants, especially if a growing middle class makes more Mexicans comfortable at hom. A reduction in cheap Mexican labor would have ripple effects on the U.S. economy and could raise costs for employers as they searched for immigrant labor. If the current flood of immigrants is hurting lower-skilled native-born Americans, the easing of the flood might help them. An estimated 459,000 Mexicans come to the U.S. each year, most younger people looking for low-skilled work. There are millions of Mexicans in their 20s and 30s born to big families that had no means to support education. But the prediction are that by 2050, Mexico's median age will rise to 42, while the U.S. will rise to 41. This is by no means assured and the critical challenge for Mexicans is what they will do with the next 20 years. Mexico's large working-age population means it should spend more on job training, power and transportation, and a social-security system. But currently taxes are low and many rich people evade them. The public-education system is weak and the poor often inherit the low-wage jobs of their parents. If an aging Mexico stagnates, the drive to emigrate to the U.S. may grow stronger than ever. It's hard to predict whether Mexico will prosper. Rapid population growth was long seen as both a religious obligation in largely Roman Catholic Mexico and as a goal of public policy. In the early 1970s, demographers began warning that Mexico's population could triple to 150 million by 2000. The government set up family-planning clinics, free contraception, sterilization quotas at clinics and began an advertising campaign that is still widely remembered. "The small family lives better," proclaimed television and radio commercials. Today, the government still sends the same message. The Mexican Senate recently voted to extend sex education to kindergarten. The population-control efforts had a huge impact, but not before a flood of Mexicans born in the 1970s, '80s and '90s began moving to the U.S. The vast flow has relieved pressure on Mexico from millions of jobless young people and helped keep its population in check. Mexico would have another 16 million people today if it hadn't been for the migrants and the children they had in the U.S. instead of Mexico. However, economic development may fuel immigration by giving would-be migrants the cash to cross the border. Many Mexicans move to the U.S. not because they are jobless but because they want a better job than the one they have. Polls show that 49% of Mexican adults would move to the U.S. if they could.   How can we possibly accomodate all the people who WANT to come to the U.S? 78 million people a year are born into this world. Most of them are poor. If they have the means to come to the U.S., they probably will. If everyone came who wanted to, say 40 million a year, that place a tremendous burden on this country and its environment. We must have immigration limits!!! Also,the Mexican birth rate is probably lower because the Mexican birth rate is exported to the U.S. Given that 9% of all Mexicans are now in the U.S. (Population Reference Bureau), this is not hard to believe. What is also unfair is that Mexicans can afford to come to the U.S., while many truely impoverished people don't have a chance to come here!   May 08, 2006   Wall Street Journal 017267

Mexican Officials Line Their Pockets While Demanding U.S. Help.   Mexican politicians demand increased immigrant visas for their citizens, an expanded guest-worker program, and amnesty for their illegal aliens living north of the Rio Grande, so that the border serves as a safety-valve for job seekers, while Mexican officials enjoy princely lifestyles and spend little of the nation's wealth on education and health care, says a new report from the Center for Immigration Studies. The following are the salaries and benefits of Mexico's governing elite and the minimal investments it makes in the country's social development. President Vicente Fox makes more ($236,693) than the leaders of France ($95,658), the U.K. ($211,434), or Canada ($75,582). Mexico's Chamber of Deputies make $148,000 -- more than their counterparts in France ($78,000), Germany ($105,000). Members of the 32 state legislatures earn on average twice the amount earned by U.S. state legislators ($60,632 vs. $28,261). The salaries and bonuses of the lawmakers in Baja California ($158,149), Guerrero ($129,630), and Guanajuato ($111,358) exceed the salaries of legislators in California ($110,880), the District of Columbia ($92,500), Michigan ($79,650), and New York ($79,500). Average salaries (plus Christmas stipends known as aguinaldos) place the average compensation of Mexican governors at $125,759, which exceeds the mean earnings of their U.S. counterparts ($115,778). In 2002 Mexico spent only 6.1% of its GDP for health care, trailing Argentina (8.9%), Barbados (6.9%), Brazil (7.9%), Colombia (8.1%), Costa Rica (9.3%), Cuba (7.50 %), El Salvador (8.0%), Haiti (7.6%), and Nicaragua (7.9%). Mexico spent only 5.3% of GDP to education in 2002, behind Barbados (7.6%), Cuba (9%), Honduras (7.2%), and Uruguay (8.5%).   We should be requiring Mexico to take care of its own before opening the floodgates to refugees from Mexico's own bad practices.   April 2006   Center for Immigration Studies 017259

U.S.: We Don't Need 'Guest Workers'.   In 1964 Congress killed the seasonal Mexican laborers program despite warnings that its abolition would doom the tomato industry. Then scientists developed oblong tomatoes that could be harvested by machine and California's tomato output has risen fivefold. Now we're being warned again that we need unskilled laborers from Mexico and Central America to relieve U.S. "labor shortages." Guest workers would mainly legalize today's vast inflows of illegal immigrants, with the same consequence: We'd be importing poverty. They generally don't go home, assimilation is slow and the ranks of the poor are constantly replenished. Since 1980 the number of Hispanics with incomes below the government's poverty line has risen 162%, while the number of non-Hispanic whites in poverty rose 3% and blacks, 9.5%. What we have now is a policy of creating poverty in the US while relieving it in Mexico. It stresses local schools, hospitals and housing and feeds social tensions (witness the Minutemen). Some Americans get cheap landscaping services but if more mowed their own lawns it wouldn't be a tragedy. Among immigrant Mexican and Central American workers in 2004, only 7% had a college degree and nearly 60% lacked a high school diploma. Among native-born U.S. workers, 32% had a college degree and 6% did not have a high school diploma. The illegal immigrants represent only about 4.9% of the labor force. In no major occupation are they a majority. They're drawn here by wage differences, not labor "shortages." Most new illegal immigrants can get work by accepting wages below prevailing levels. Hardly anyone thinks that illegal immigrants will leave, but what would happen if illegal immigration stopped and wasn't replaced by guest workers? Some employers would raise wages to attract U.S. workers; others would find ways to minimize those costs. The number of native high school dropouts with jobs declined by 1.3 million from 2000 to 2005. Some lost jobs to immigrants and unemployment remains high for some groups. Business organizations support guest worker programs - they like cheap labor and ignore the consequences. Why do liberals support a program that worsens poverty and inequality? Poor immigrant workers hurt the wages of unskilled Americans. We've never tried a policy of real barriers and strict enforcement against companies that hire illegal immigrants. Until that's shown to be ineffective, we shouldn't adopt guest worker programs that add to serious social problems.      March 21, 2006   Midwest Coalition to Reduce Immigration 016968

Mexican Official: Flow of Migrants Will Grow.   The number of Mexicans leaving for the United States has reached 400,000 per year and will continue to grow. The increase in migration has coincided with the US increasing security on its southern border which has not reduced migratory flows. Increased border controls have fueled growth in migrant trafficking organizations. The migration is fueled by demographic pressure and a lack of jobs in Mexico and will eventually turn downward when those pressures ease through economic growth and reduced birthrates. The country's population is rising by about 1% per year, but is expected to cool to 0.59% by 2030, and emigration is expected to fall to about 380,000 per year by 2025. We are seeing a greater flow in undocumented migrants with very low educational levels. Migration not only affects the lives of the migrants and the countries to which they emigrate, but also their own hometowns, where relatives receive the money they send home. In some places, they've stopped working the land, and live off the money. There is more money around, but products become more expensive, and the value of properties in rising in several communities where there are more migrants who maintain close ties to their home towns.   With 9% of Mexicans living in the U.S. and those being mostly younger people of child-bearing age, and many from rural areas where birth rates are higher, one might suspect that some of Mexico's birth rate is exported to the U.S., thus lowering the Mexican birth rate and raising the U.S. birth rate.   December 02, 2005   Associated Press 015831

With Family Planning, Mexico Takes Giant Leap toward Future.   Americans have blamed Mexico's traditionally high birth rate and large families for much of the illegal immigration. But this week, Mexfam, the population planning organization and a member of the international Planned Parenthood Organization, announced that Mexico is approaching population stabilization. In 1972, the average Mexican family had seven children - now it is 2.1. The population is growing at only 1.4% per year and the rate is declining. In a country of 106 million people, roughly a million come into the labor market every year; many immediately go to the U.S. In only 30 years the population doubled to 100 million in 2000. We now predict it will stabilize at 130 million around 2050 and immigration will start to slow down. The transformation began in 1974 with a policy that encouraged family planning. The Mexican constitution says that every person has the right to decide the number of children and their spacing. Today you can buy the morning-after pill over the counter. It's really a success story, but what has been as stunning are the facts that there has been little opposition to birth control among Mexican women and religion has played a minor role. Although 85% of women in the programs said they were Roman Catholic, 75% used contraception. Groups like Mexfam are working with men and their traditional macho attitudes. They coordinate with the police, in trying to win over young delinquents to a different kind of masculinity. It will take time, for these changes to show up on American immigration but they are coming. New factors could begin to solve the immigration problem from inside.   The conclusion that reaching replacement level will reduce migration from Mexico is merely a conjecture. Also, with 9% of the Mexican population in the U.S., it is very likely that Mexico's excess births have been exported to the U.S., thus reducing the birth rate in Mexico.   December 01, 2005   Universal Press Syndicate 015802

Mexican Immigration Isn't Going Away on Its Own.   In an op-ed in the New York Times, Matthew Dowd claims that falling birthrates in Mexico will lead to a decrease in illegal immigration in the next 20 years. But in 1970, when Mexico still had a fertility rate of over 6, the Mexican immigrant population in the US was less than 800,000. Over the next 30 years, Mexico’s fertility fell by more than half, yet its immigrant population grew ten-fold. Mexico’s census agency found that under any economic assumptions, mass immigration to the US would continue for a generation, by 3.5 to 5 million people per decade. Russia, for instance, has one of the lowest fertility rates in the world and yet continues to send large numbers of immigrants to the US. Congo has one of the highest fertility rates in the world, and sends few immigrants anywhere. Japan and South Korea have extremely low fertility, and one sends lots of immigrants while the other doesn’t. The reality is that immigration may begin for a variety of reasons, poverty and social disorder, greater economic opportunity and social and political freedom abroad, but it continues because of the networks that connect potential immigrants in the sending country with family and friends in the receiving country. So until we interrupt the immigration networks - like vigorous enforcement of the law, reductions in legal immigration, and avoiding a new guestworker program, we’re going to see continued mass immigration. In the meantime the White House says the law can’t be enforced - even though they haven't really tried - and that work won’t get done without immigrants, and pleading that Mexico is our blood brother [ignoring the millions in Africa and Asia that are too poor to immigrate to another country].      August 03, 2005   Center for Immigration Studies 015140

Population Study: Mexico is World's 11th Most Populous Country, With 105 Million People in 2004.   Mexico's population increased by almost 1.1 million in 2004, the 11th largest in the world in terms of population. The birthrate declined to 2.16 births per 100 women, while life expectancy increased to an average 75.2 years. Over the course of the year, 398,000 people emigrated, most of them headed for the United States. This migration could be diminished if the economic disparities and wage differentials between the two countries are reduced. Mainly due to the high birth rates of the 1970s, Mexico's population has doubled in the past thirty years.   With 9% of it's population living in the U.S., and migrants to the U.S. consisting mostly of young adults, it is likely that some of Mexico's birth rate has been exported to the U.S.   December 28, 2004   SignonSanDiego.com 012542

Mexico's Population Currently Exceeds 104 Million.   Mexico's population is 104.2 million, and the growth rate has declined from 1.66% to 1.45% over the past three years. Family planning had reduced the fertility rate from 2.4 children in 2000 to 2.2 in 2003. The rate for zero population growth, is 2.1 children per woman, which it is projected will be reached in 2005. 73% of Mexican women use birth control.   Since 9% of the population of Mexico now live in the U.S., Mexico's growth rate is, by no small degree, affected by emigration. Since many rural women with higher than average birthrates migrate to the U.S., part of Mexico's birth rate is imported to the United States. For example, the birth rate of California is now 2.6, whereas the rest of the U.S. is at 2.0.   November 02, 2003   EFE News Services 009090

Nine Percent of the Mexican Population Has Moved to the United States.   In 2002, figures show that there were almost 10 million Mexican-born U.S. residents, having risen from 2.2 million in 1908 and 9 million in 2000. Since Mexico's total population was 100 million in 2000, this means that the equivalent of 9% of the Mexican population had moved to the United States. Hundreds of thousands more Mexicans are on waiting lists for immigrant visas. In 1994, NAFTA went into effect. Some Americans thought that NAFTA would quickly slow immigration. Instead, it continued. It seems that Mexican farmers and farm workers were displaced by giant mechanized farm corporations in Mexico. Many of them went to the U.S. where cheap labor was employed rather than heavily mechanized farming.   June 2003   Population Reference Bureau 007456

U.S.-Mexico Deal Aims at Cleaning Up Border.   The U.S. and Mexican governments will work cooperatively to reduce air pollution, protect water supplies, and prevent soil contamination along thir common border. Air and water problems are not based upon national boundaries and the new program is an improvement over an earlier agreement. One major change is that federal and state officials involved in the program are more likely to come from the border region than from Washington or Mexico City. Border residents will have greater say over which environmental and health issues are addressed. As a result of the program, tire piles near California and Texas would be removed, and human exposure to harmful pesticides would be reduced. It's a program that could bring some much-needed focus to the environmental issues along the U.S.-Mexico border.      April 05, 2003   MySanAntonio.com 006431

Mexico's Population Growth - the Driving Force of Emigration.   In the 1940s and 1950s the fertility rate in Mexico reached seven children per woman. Mexican leaders in 1977 approved a family planning policy including free birth control services and mandatory sex education. Mexico's fertility rate has declined and in 1999 averaged 2.5 children per woman. Unfortunately Mexico still adds more than a million people each year. Because of the number of women entering their reproductive years, the population will grow as fertility rates decline. The impacts are significant. Soil erosion affects 70% of the agricultural lands. A tenth of the irrigated acreage is salinized. More than 1,000 square kilometers are abandoned each year and one and a half million acres are deforested. The Rio Conchos is being diverted for agricultural use, and soon in Big Bend National Park it will be dry part of the year. Mexico quadrupled its grain production, but its population grew to 99.6 million by mid-2001 and Mexico is again a food importer. Migrants head for the cities and cross into the United States. The 21st century will see unprecedented migration across the face of the Earth; over 90% of population growth will be in the poorest nations of the world.      January 22, 2003   Glen Kaye 005679

NAFTA to Open Foodgates, Engulfing Rural Mexico.   The North American Free Trade Agreement began abolishing trade barriers between Mexico, the United States and Canada nearly 10 years ago. On Jan. 1 tariffs on agricultural imports from the U.S. will end. Hundreds of thousands of farmers and their supporters have blocked highways and have temporarily shut down gas and electricity installations. President Vicente Fox has offered little more than moral support. Meanwhile, some grope for ways to hold on to a middle-class way of life. One farmer held an auction to sell off half of his 2,000 pigs. He could not compete against producers in the United States, who hold 40% of the Mexican market. Mexico has become the world's ninth largest economy and a powerhouse in the export of manufactured goods. Thousands of jobs have been created, most in assembly plants. Food imports from the United States have doubled, But exports to the United States, have increased from $2.7 billion to nearly $5.3 billion. Mexico's largest food company has taken advantage of cheap grain imports. Maseca has become the world's largest producer of cornmeal and tortillas, and Sigma imports pork and poultry from the United States to make sandwich meats. Fruit and vegetable farmers, have also increased their exports to the United States under NAFTA. Mexico's most difficult challenge has been the fate of people who live in the countryside. About one in five working Mexicans are involved in farming, working plots as small as two acres. Midsized and poultry farmers will also be hit hard when remaining tariffs are lifted on Jan. 1. The impact will be felt on both sides of the border. Some 700,000 people are expected to lose jobs in farming and other food industries. Many may join the illegals to the United States. A farmer in Mexico receives $722 a year in government subsidies, officials say, while the average American farmer will receive more than $20,000. The government says the farming crisis is linked in large part to the legacy of government corruption and mismanagement by the Institutional Revolutionary Party, which controlled Mexico for seven decades.      December 2002   005066

Mexican Numbers Spell Trouble Ahead.   The potential windfall from the explosion of young people entering the workforce could turn into a scourge for Mexico and its northern neighbour if economic growth does not take off in the next 10 years. "We have to create more jobs," says Manuel Ordorica, head of the department of demographic studies at El Colegio de Mexico. "If we don't the only way out will be via migration to the US." Since 1970 the population has doubled to 100m, but in the next three decades experts say it will add only 30m more and growth will almost halt by 2050. Some 70% of women now use once-taboo birth control methods. Mexfam, the leading family planning charity, says Mexico has become so liberal that it is lobbying the government to dole out the "morning after" pill to halt the spread of teenage pregnancies. In the next two decades about 1m Mexicans will enter the workforce each year, pushing the working population to 64m from 42m this year. If the economic growth is strong in the next decade, payoff would be a "demographic dividend" of higher salaries, more personal savings, increased investment and better health and education. Alternatively, it could be squandered. Without more and better paying jobs, the number of Mexican-born migrants to the US will double in 20 years from its current level of 8m. In addition, Mexico's older population is increasing. The number of people over 65 is expected to grow to about 33m in 50 years. Mexico could be condemned to become a country of poor and old people. Population growth in the next decade will be 1.2m, and 300,000 a year already flee Mexico for the US. February 19, 2000   Financial Times (London) 004763

In Guanajuato    a state of 4.4 million, it was estimated that two million adults and their U.S.-born children -- equal to 45 percent of Guanajuato's population -- now live in or migrate regularly to the U.S., legally or illegally   2000   004765

U.S. Commission on Immigration Reform - Mexico-U.S. Binational Migration Study Report.   The numbers of Mexican-born migrants represent approximately 3% of the overall United States population, about 40% of the U.S. population of Mexican-American ancestry, and are equivalent to 8% of the overall national population of Mexico. More than one-quarter arrived in the past five years. Most migrants had some kind of work in Mexico prior to migrating. Border crossing data with large numbers of unauthorized migrants find that most had work prior to leaving. Nevertheless, the majority migrated with the intention of working in the U.S., mainly to obtain higher wages.The sectors employing Mexican-born migrants tend to seek lower-skilled workers. They also pay low wages, accounting for the low incomes and high poverty rates of Mexican-born settlers in the United States. This situation is exacerbated by the unauthorized status of many of these migrants. There is reason to believe that currently high levels of migration may represent a "hump" or peak in the volume of Mexico-United States migration. In the U.S., American employers are adjusting to higher minimum wages, to greater global competition, and to a likely increased supply of low-skilled U.S. residents shifted out of welfare programs. In the past, employers have adjusted to higher wages and increased competition by switching to means of production that lessen their reliance on low-skilled labor. All of these factors may decrease the availability of jobs for some types of Mexican migrants. Within the next decade, changes in Mexican demographics and other structural changes should begin to reduce emigration pressures. Net increases in the labor forced aged 15 to 44, which was between 500,000 and 550,000 in 1996, is projected to decrease to 430,000 in 2010. Mexico has adopted an ambitious restructuring and privatization program in the 1990s that promises to increase economic efficiency and job growth in the medium- to long-term. The International Monetary Fund and Mexico's 1997 development plan both project 5 percent annual economic growth that, if achieved, would soon create sufficient new jobs to match or exceed the growth of the labor force. New Mexican migrants compete with other low-skilled workers. Mexican migrants were not more prone to use welfare than similar natives   2000   004770

A Cross-over in Mexican and Mexican-American Fertility Rates: Evidence and Explanations for an Emerging Paradox.   Three surveys from Mexico and three from the U.S.demonstrate decreases in the fertility rates in Mexico and continuous increases in the fertility rates of native-born Mexican-Americans in the U.S. at younger ages. The analysis examines fertility patterns within the Mexican-Origin population in the U.S.. Mexican immigration to the US is the largest group immigrating to the U.S. in last 25 years. Their higher and earlier fertility has the potential to translate into a rejuvenating effect on the U.S. population. Previous estimates suggest Mexican-Origin fertility from the 1980s to 2040 of around 18 million births but a recent analysis suggests the tie may be underestimated. The revised projections put the contribution of Mexican-Origin fertility at 36 million and by 2031, will rise to over one million per year. The most common explanation behind these trends is that immigration is related to family building - that is, increased fertility levels occurs after migration, but after time in the host country, fertility falls. When women from Sweden migrate, for example, a “stimulating fertility effect” for first birth and higher-order births occured. But after about five years, the fertility of recent immigrants in Sweden did not deviate much from that of the native-born population. Then, looking at Mexican-Origin women, earlier research suggested the possibility of a disruption effect, so that the act of immigration may force women to interrupt their childbearing. Once they arrive to the U.S. they quickly begin to make-up for the delay. Given that a large number of Mexican-Origin women are unauthorized migrants the act of crossing over to the U.S. may be especially disruptive.   More people have a rejuvenaating effect"? - The author should stick to science and leave out the opinions.   2000   Demographic Research - Max Plank Institute 013112

Mexico: No End in Sight to Illegal Immigration to U.S.  
In a study, the Mexican government's National Population Council (Conapo) said that emigration from Mexico to the U.S. will increase by at least 50% in the next 15 years. The Mexican-born population of the U.S. is eight million - 1/3 of which are undocumented aliens. This number is expected to reach 12.48 - 13 million in 2015. The reasons for emigration are not just economic. Strong family and community ties in the U.S. compel thousands to leave Mexico for the U.S. There are 20 million Mexicans in the U.S. if you count their descendants. The U.S. and Mexico share a 3,200 km border, where contrasts between social and economic development, languages and cultures are apparent. More than 315,000 undocumented Mexicans annually enter the U.S. to look for work. Mexican President Zedillo says that xenophobia, confusing immigration with crime, mistreatment of Mexicans, exploitation and persecution describe the migration policies of its northern neighbor. 300 Mexicans died trying to enter the U.S. in 1998 due to tough border restrictions. Many Mexicans go to California to become agricultural workers where most of California's rural workforce is Mexican. One-third of the total U.S. farm production is in California. Reinforced police controls, construction of walls, tougher punishments and the use of military technology to detect movement across the border have not had a significant impact on immigration. July 15, 1999   Inter Press Service 004776

The Hispanic Population in the United States.     March 27, 1999   004728

Is Mexico Controlling its Population?.   by Meredith Burke. Births: Mexico's Loss, US's Gain. Because of population momentum, during this decade nearly three women entered childbearing age for each woman leaving it. The younger women are now entering their high-fertility 20s. But the National Demographic Study understates fertility. In deviation from the standard demographic practice, it averages the low number of number of children born to date per younger woman with the far higher cumulative number per older woman. The projected fertility of the younger women should have been included. It excludes births to Mexican nationals that occur elsewhere, primarily the United States. Mexican-born women bore 300,000 children in the United States in 1996. In this decade nearly 3 million infants lost to the Mexican population were gained by the United States, half of them by California. Mexico had 2.2 million births last year, which means is exported nearly one in 7 of its births. In the decade starting in 1989, Mexico's recorded population grew 10 million, but the United Nations had projected 18 million. Exported births accounted for 3 million of this 8 million shortfall. Much of the 5 million remaining can be found in numbers of legal immigrants admitted from Mexico to the United States, whose numbers rose from around almost 100,000 a year in the early 1990s to nearly 165,000 in 1997. An estimated 1.2 million Mexican nationals entered illegally. February 1999   San Diego Union-Tribune 004795

Immigration from Mexico Statistics.   In 1994, net legal immigration added about 816,000 people [about 50% of the growth] to the U.S. The Mexican-born population of the U.S. is eight million - 1/3 of which are undocumented aliens. More than 315,000 undocumented Mexicans are estimated to have entered the U.S. in 1998. Emigration from Mexico to the U.S. is expected to increase by at least 50% in the next 15 years.   1999   004721

Mexico a Big Source.   Mexico was the leading source country with 163,572 or 18% of all immigrants in FY 96. Of all immigrants intending to reside in California, Mexicans comprised 32% of the total.   1997   004780

Mexican Fertility Rates.    U.S. figures for 1994 show that women born in Mexico had the highest fertility rate of any major immigrant group - 147 births per 1,000 women ages 15 to 44. Women born elsewhere in Latin America had a fertility rate of 82. In contrast, women born in Europe had 53 births per 1,000, women born in Asia had 58 births per 1,000, and women born in the United States had 62 births per 1,000. 1996   Population Reference Bureau 004764

About La Raza - the 'Race'.   a "reconquista" movement to retake "illegally annexed territories" "stolen from their indigenous forebears" in 1848   004747

Where Do They Come From?


25 Years Later, Vietnamese Still Flock to the U.S.   Since the first rush of 130,000 who fled Vietnam when Saigon fell in April 1975, one million have emigrated from Vietnam to the U.S. "This present emergency should not last," said the top refugee official at the United Nations as desperate people jammed onto helicopters and small boats to flee the Communist victory. 26,000 Vietnamese a year now emigrate to the United States, forming one of the 6 largest flows of immigrants into America. Most of the immigrants now are part of what one consular official called "an expanding pyramid" of family reunification in which refugee citizens reach back to their homeland to bring their parents, children, siblings and spouses who eventually will send for more relatives. The immigrants say they go in search of an American dream of prosperity and education that shines as brightly here as anywhere in the world. Many of these people have spent much of their lives in refugee camps, trying for decades to reach the United States or other countries. Though required to prove "a well- founded fear of persecution" long after hostilities have ended, they are often given the benefit of the doubt by immigration officials. Of the "boat people" who fled, 10 - 15% died at sea, but 400,000 found asylum in the U.S. Another 20,000 "land people" who fled on foot through Cambodia came to the U.S. In addition, special programs started in 1990 have accepted 90,000 Amerasian children of servicemen and about 165,000 survivors of re- education camps, where high-ranking South Vietnamese officials and military officers were incarcerated. $2 billion a year is sent back to family members in Vietnam from the two million or so ethnic Vietnamese now living in the U.S. This is twice the total amount of foreign aid received by the Vietnamese government. November 07, 2000   New York Times 004800

Brain Drain


U.S.: AP Investigation: Banks Sought Foreign Workers.   Major U.S. banks sought permission to bring thousands of foreign workers into the country for high-paying jobs. The dozen banks receiving the biggest rescue packages, more than $150 billion, requested visas for more than 21,800 foreign workers over the past six years. The average annual salary for those jobs was $90,721. As the economic collapse worsened the numbers of visas sought by the dozen banks in AP's analysis increased from 3,258 in 2007, to 4,163 in 2008. The H-1B visa program allows temporary employment of foreign workers in specialized-skill and advanced-degree positions. The government only grants 85,000 such visas each year among all U.S. employers. Foreigners are paid less than American workers. Companies can use the lower end of government wage scales even for highly skilled workers, a legal mechanisms to underpay the workers. Beyond seeking approval for visas from the government, banks that accepted federal bailout money also enlisted uncounted foreign workers. Senators Grassley, and Durbin, are pushing for legislation to make employers recruit American workers first. The issue takes on a higher profile as President Obama pushes for massive government spending to create jobs nationwide.   Karen Gaia says: nothing is said about how our resources will be stretched even further and our environment stressed by the addition of more people. Also, undercutting the U.S. economy will leave our country less able to provide aid to other countries. It is the population pressures that drives the need to leave one's own country and go to a strange country to get a job because there are no jobs to be found where you come from. Are U.S. citizens now going to be driven to work in other countries, or is the beginning of the end of our lifestyle as we know it?   February 02, 2009   Yahoo News 023594

We Cannot Live by Remittances Alone, Warns Carrington; UNFPA Awards Media for Work on Population Issues.   Caribbean regional countries must not depend on remittances to sustain them; they need to expand their economies to meet the demands of the people. The loss of skilled and qualified labour could be crippling to the region's growth and development. One speaker stressed the dangers to the Caribbean of its skilled people migrating, usually in search of greener pastures. Caribbean countries were among the top 20 countries in the world with the highest tertiary educated emigration rates. The region was losing about 400 nurses per year to the developed nations, and Guyana had lost 80% of its tertiary-educated citizens. The majority of Caribbean countries have lost more than 5% of their labour force in the tertiary segment and more than 30% in the secondary education segment.   Karen Gaia says: Also sad is the fact that educated migrants often are not able to use their training in the U.S.   December 05, 2006   Jamaica Observer 019665

UNFPA Sounds Brain Drain Alarm.   UNFPA warns of the migration of trained professionals from developing countries. This is having an impact on critical sectors such as the health systems in developing countries. The movement of trained professionals from developing countries to developed countries remains a major concern. The fragile health sector in developing countries is losing its best and brightest. Surveys show that the intention to migrate is especially high among health workers in regions hit by HIV. UNFPA warns that when doctors and nurses migrate because of low wages and bad working conditions patients suffer and health care systems crumble. In Ghana, in 2000, twice as many nurses left that country as the number which graduated from its nursing schools. In 2003 several nurses migrated from Jamaica despite a 58% shortage of nurses in the public health sector. Developed countries will continue to demand experienced nurses from countries such as Jamaica. The migration of skilled workers is a major challenge for Jamaica.   September 20, 2006   Radio Jamaica 018782

UNFPA Publishes 'Moving Young'.   UNFPA has issued the first publication dealing with social, economic and demographic aspects of youth migration. Entitled Moving Young, it tells stories of young people whose lives have been shaped by migration. People from developing countries are increasingly on the move and represent a third of all international migrants. Many are searching for jobs and better opportunities, while other are forced to escape conflict or persecution. An incresing number are seeking education abroad. Many moved to be reunited with parents or other relatives. The report highlights the need to create opportunities for young people in their own countries. It calls for world leaders to protect their human rights and recognise their contributions-both to origin and destination countries. The young men and women profiled come from 10 countries: Burkina faso, Colombia, India, Kenya, Liberia, Moldovia, the Netherlands, the Philippines, Suriname and Zambia.   September 12, 2006   Swaziland Observer 018697

Britain Should Help Third World Over Nurses Brain Drain.   Developed countries must compensate the Third World for the brain drain of their doctors and nurses. Greater investment is needed to build health systems of developing countries, which lose thousands of trained workers each year. A report examines the effect of female migration on countries, especially the yearly exodus of 20,000 qualified nurses and doctors from Africa to developed countries. In Europe and North America, ageing populations and a shortage of nurses and doctors are driving the demand for health workers. In poorer countries, skilled women and men are increasingly turning to migration as a means to improve their own lives and those of their families. The movement of skilled migrant workers could be a "win-win" situation for rich and poor countries provided there was management and dialogue between governments. More money and help should be given to developing countries that find themselves with a hole in their health workforce. Quotas would be a part of discussions between governments but need to be carefully managed.   September 06, 2006   Press Association 018640

Is Brain Drain Robbing Poor to Pay for the Rich?.   The outflow of nurses, midwives and doctors from poorer to wealthier countries is one of the challenges posed by international migration. On one hand, skilled women and men are turning to migration as a means of improving their lives, on the other, their countries are facing a health-care crisis. Health systems are collapsing in poor countries that face massive health care needs. Nursing is one of the occupations that offer migrant women decent work with decent pay. The intention to migrate is high among health workers living in regions hit hardest with HIV/AIDS. More Malawian doctors are practicing in Manchester (UK) than in the whole of Malawi. In Central African Republic, Liberia and Uganda, there are less than 10 nurses per 100,000 people. There should be measures to improve health systems in poor countries by improving health staff job satisfaction and retention. Richer countries should invest more in training nurses to meet their needs. In 2005, international migrants numbered 191 million with 95 million women and their rights and concerns are largely ignored yet the most vulnerable migrants are women and children. 800,000 are trafficked across international borders each year of which 80% are women and girls who are forced into sex work, domestic jobs or sweatshops. Human trafficking is the third most lucrative illicit trade, and nets from 7 billion to 12 billion dollars annually. International standards must be enforced for guaranteeing the human rights of migrants. Every year millions of women working overseas remit hundreds of millions of dollars to their home countries that go to improve living standards for loved ones left behind. Of the more than one billion dollars in migrant funds sent back to Sri Lanka in 1999, women contributed over 62% of the total. Still there is increasing ill-treatment of women. Many migrant women are excluded from national labour laws and protections. In many countries, she said, they are barred from switching employers, even in cases of abuse, or they lose their visa status. Corrections, include reviewing immigration policies and visa policies, and ensuring labour laws, afford migrant women workers the same protections as any other worker; prosecuting unscrupulous employers; and providing migrant women with access to information about their rights.   September 06, 2006   InterPress Service 018642

Global Nurse Shortages on Agenda at WHO Meeting.   A shortages of doctors, nurses and midwives is to be discussed at a conference in Scotland. The WHO will highlight the importance healthcare staff. It will identify 57 nations where a serious shortage of health workers is impairing the provision of lifesaving interventions such as child immunisation and safe pregnancy. In today's global labour market, the way we deal with our health services at home has an impact on healthcare systems across the world. There is a current shortage of more than four million doctors, nurses and midwives. Almost half the nurses who have registered in the UK since 1997 have come from countries such as the Philippines, Australia, India, South Africa and other sub-Saharan African countries. Ghana has lost more than 1,000 nurses to the UK over the past eight years.   Karen Gaia says: brain drain is a major problem with migration   June 06, 2006   BBC News 017712

U.S.;: Confronting Compassion.   Compassion is learned in childhood, but nore pressing lessons on compassion await the world traveler. When asked to lend a neighborly hand, we respond. The visible face of need evokes a response. Neighborhood needs are addressed long before more desperate pleas in faraway places are answered. Meanwhile, a global tragedy of disproportionate urgency unfolds beyond the pale. Of the 6.4 billion earthlings, about 4.8 billion exist below the Mexican standard of living. Desperate lives lack basic medical care and endure hunger, unsafe water, unemployment, or hopelessness. At least one million illegal immigrants settle in the US annually. Their level of need is shared with at least 4.8 billion others around the globe. Traditionally, U.S. immigration has averaged about 250,000 annually. The U.S. is accepting more people for permanent resettlement than all other nations in the world combined. Mass immigration is propelling the present 300 million U.S. inhabitants toward 500 million in 2050. Amnesty makes a mockery of law-abiding people waiting their legal turn to gain entry into the U.S. The very persons with the foresight and means to cut and run are the best catalysts to agitate for reform in their nation of origin. Rather than foster a spirit of needed reform, we reward their departure. The magnitude and depth of human desperation commanding our attention extends far beyond the immigrant. Let's not lose sight of the physicians' maxim in formulating an immigration policy: First do no harm.   May 22, 2006   Cagle Syndication Service 017977

Devastating Exodus of Doctors From Africa and Caribbean.   There has been an increasing amount of doctors who are leaving Africa and the Caribbean to seek emplyoment in United States, Britain, Canada and Australia. This exodus of physicians has left an already pandemic criplied country with fewer doctors than two at most hospitals. The ratio being only 6:100,000 people in most areas. Women are dying in childbirth more and more due to the lack of obstetricians. The poorest countries of Africa and the Caribbean are loosing between 30% to 41% of the their trained doctors to English speaking countries. Due to the exodus of doctors, there is a fear that neglect for the sick in the poorest countries will also threaten the health of Americans in the face of potential outbreaks of avian flu and SARS. At a World Health Organization forum on global staffing issues, there was international outcry to train more doctors for the pandemic cripplied African and Caribbean countries.      October 27, 2005   Push Journal 015450

Malawian Woman Dies Every Hour in Childbirth - Brain Drain Attributes to High Mortality Rate.   Malawi's Health Minister, Hetherwick Ntaba said that the situation is "tragic and obscene." Malawi, one of the world's poorest countries, has a maternal death rate now at 1,800 per 100,000 live births, climbing from 620 two decades ago and 1,120 in 2000, which is attributed to unsafe abortions, lack of emergency facilities and patients not receiving professional treatment due to a brain drain - Up to 120 registered nurses migrate to Britain and the United States every year. Malawi is a peaceful and stable country, but 60% of the estimated population of 12 million live below the poverty line, on less than $1 a day. Its maternal death rate is the third-highest maternal mortality rate after Sierra Leone and Afghanistan, both emerging from brutal and protracted wars. Britain, Norway and Sweden have launched a programme to reverse Malawi's flight of medical personnel by providing aid to double the salaries of medical workers to $200 a month.   October 10, 2005   Agence France-Presse 015368

Zambia: Decent Perks Key to Stop Brain Drain.   Decent salaries are key to combating brain drain and creating a motivated workforce, UNPF representative said, also that donor reliance in Zambia was too high. She said the only way to stop brain drain was to provide motivating salaries. There is also a tendency to spend too much time talking and not enough on implementation. She was impressed with the high level of cooperation between the government, donors and NGOs. She bemoaned the lack of optimisation of national resources and the high level of dependency on donor funding. Zambia has a small population, plenty of land, sunlight and water, but the resources are not optimised. She also said Zambia had huge agricultural potential and needed to get its economy going. There were about 38 million condoms in Zambia and if distributed would reduce the prevalence rate of HIV.      July 07, 2005   The Post (Zambia) 014484

Migration is Here to Stay, So Get Used to It; Dispelling the Myths.   By the end of 2004, there were 185 million migrants worldwide, roughly one in every 35 persons, almost half of whom were women. International migration is a feature of contemporary economic, social and political life. Modern communication and transportation ensure that more people know more about distant lands. Migration touches every country. How to manage migration for the benefit for all? Countries that traditionally receive migrants, such as Australia, New Zealand and Britain, are examining their real or perceived brain drain; Australia and New Zealand are considering options for attracting back skilled and talented emigres. Temporary labor migration is outpacing permanent immigration in some destination countries. Developing countries add more than 40 million workers to their labor force each year, while there is slow or no growth in developed countries. A key finding is that costs and benefits of migration vary widely, which makes generalizations difficult and precludes "one-size-fits-all" migration management. The one million Indians living in the US account for 0.1% of India's population but earn the equivalent to 10% of India's national income; the 50 million Chinese who live outside China earn an equivalent to two-thirds of China's GDP. The contribution of immigrants to public finances is growing, from 8.% of Britain's tax receipts in 1999-2000 to 10.0% in 2003-2004. Costs are apparent when effective management policies are not in place. Brain drain can be a significant problem when not accompanied by measures to mitigate the loss of skilled workers and to encourage their return to invest.      June 24, 2005   International Herald Tribune 014339

G8 'Must Stop Medic Brain-Drain'.   Sub-Saharan African Health Systems, crippled by a lack of nurses and doctors have called on the UK Government to tackle the "poaching" of healthcare workers. They say staff migration from developing nations is killing millions and compounding poverty. They praise the UK's stance on recruitment, but call for other nations to make similar commitments. The WHO estimates that one million more healthcare workers are needed in these countries to meet basic goals. A letter from Medical and Nursung Associations emphasizes that G8 nations must address the exodus of healthcare workers from the developing world. It warns that dealing with HIV and other health crises in the developing world are being hampered by staff shortages. The UK will not recruit from certain developing countries, including those in sub-Saharan Africa but healthcare professionals are free to apply for jobs in the UK. Currently, nearly a third of the doctors practising in the UK were actually trained overseas. In comparison, only 5 of doctors in Germany and France were trained overseas. "The UK Government has led the way in establishing a code of practice for recruitment," the letter says. "It is now essential that other developed countries, such as the US, make a similar commitment to address the issue."      June 17, 2005   BBC News 014099

U.S. Opposes Forming U.N. Agency on Migration.   The U.S. opposes forming a U.N. agency to deal with international migration. The U.S. favors regional approaches and is skeptical about the ability of the U.N. to address the issue effectively at the global level. There have been calls for a global solution to the problem and a commission has been studying the issue and could recommend a new U.N. agency. Representatives from 20 Jesuit schools in the U.S., Mexico, Central America and Africa, attended the forum and hope to launch a three-year center to promote curriculum, joint research, lectures and events on migration. One in 35 people is a migrant. The issue is a major concern for governments, human rights advocates and others. Migration has sparked a host of worries including human trafficking, security, and a brain drain for poor countries. You cannot deal with international migration without international cooperation. Existing bodies could be strengthened to deal with migration.      June 10, 2005   Associated Press 013988

United Nations Says Widespread Migration Here to Stay.   Global migration shows no sign of letting up - but is keeping populations from declining in Europe, stimulating economic growth in the U.S. and providing a source of foreign income for poor nations. Most countries are looking to control who and how many people immigrate, while the economic and social rewards of migration depend on integrating new arrivals and providing clear rules of transit. The first strong wave of global migration was at the turn of the 19th and 20th centuries, when migrants flocked to the Americas. But over 175 million people are living outside their country of origin. Migrants represent 3% of the world's population, with high proportions in the United States and Persian Gulf countries. Many of the migrants gain voting rights, as we have seen in the U.S. where the growing population of Hispanics is an important voting group. In the U.S. immigrants increased from 13.5 million - or 15% - in 1910 to 35 million - or 12% - in 2000. In the EU the population would have declined between 1995 and 2000 without new blood from abroad. In North America, migration accounts for 43% of the population increase of 10 million from 1995 through 2000. An estimated 10 million people born in Mexico are living in the U.S. Developed countries are seeking greater control of immigration. More countries want to lower immigration, and have policies controlling the qualities of who comes in. This presents a threat to developing countries, in the Caribbean and Latin America, that cannot afford to lose skilled employees and health professionals. Migration can offer benefits to countries where deaths are outpacing births and the work force is struggling to keep up with an aging population. But migration should not be the only antidote to an aging population. Efforts to integrate immigrants are welcome developments, while temporary-worker programs represent a potential tool for regulating labor supplies and encourage skilled migrants to return home.      November 29, 2004   Associated Press 012242

Africa Needs a Million More Health Care Workers.   Africa needs triple the number of its health workers to reverse plummeting life expectancies and combat disease. Money and drugs will fail unless poor countries have enough people to tend the sick. Rich countries must take steps to slow what the flow of nurses and doctors from poor African countries to Europe and North America. Wealthy nations must educate their own nationals, rather than rely on doctors and nurses whose training has been paid for by African countries. The African Union estimates that poor countries subsidize rich ones with $500 million a year through the migration of health workers. The Joint Learning Initiative called for the creation of an education fund that would pay to educate tens of thousands of health workers who are not doctors and nurses but are trained to diagnose and treat major killers in Africa as well as perform basic life-saving surgeries. Such workers are not attractive to employers in Western nations. It said rich countries should voluntarily contribute to an education fund.      November 26, 2004   New York Times* 012258

Africa Needs a Million More Health Care Workers.   Africa needs to triple its health workers to reverse plummeting life expectancies and combat pandemics of disease. Money and drugs will fail unless poor countries have enough people to tend the sick. Rich countries must slow the flow of nurses and doctors from African countries to Europe and North America and educate their own nationals rather than rely on doctors and nurses whose training has been paid for by African countries. Poor countries subsidize rich ones with $500 million a year through the migration of health workers. The efforts to channel doctors and nurses from rich countries to volunteer in Africas should be supported. The Institute of Medicine in the US recommended an AIDS corps of American professionals to help care for and treat people with H.I.V. The creation of an education fund would pay to educate health workers who are trained to diagnose and treat major killers in Africa, as well as perform life-saving surgeries like Caesarean sections. Such workers are not attractive in Western nations. African countries banded together to push rich countries to compensate them for the loss of migrating health workers, but this was impractical. Instead, rich countries should voluntarily contribute to an education fund. Studies document the importance of health workers in lowering death rates for infants, children under 5 and women in childbirth, controlling for the effects of higher income and female literacy.      November 26, 2004   New York Times* 012300

Rights Group Seeks to Halt Africa's Losses in Health Care.   A drain of nurses, doctors and pharmacists from Africa is crippling health systems as they struggle to give people with AIDS access to medicines. A report urges wealthy nations to reimburse African countries for the loss of health professionals educated at African expense and to train more people domestically rather than recruiting abroad. It also advocates that developed countries and international organizations begin directly supporting higher remuneration for underpaid African health workers. Efforts to expand the treatment of AIDS are hampered by the shortage of skilled staff. Physicians for Human Rights advocates tough limits on the recruitment of health professionals from Africa by rich countries, but stops short of restricting their immigration as that would be discriminatory for nurses and doctors from India and the Philippines. Another difficult choice is whether H.I.V.-positive health workers should be first to get treatment with scarce drugs they otherwise could not afford as AIDS is decimating health staffs in some of the African countries. African governments are urged to ensure that health workers are informed about the treatment programs and encouraged to get tested.      July 13, 2004   New York Times* 010982

Botswana's Brain Drain Cripples War on AIDS.   One of the obstacles to an expansion of treatment for people with AIDS in Botswana is a dearth of doctors, nurses, pharmacists and health workers. The nonprofit groups, and international organizations have hired many skilled health professionals by offering better pay and benefits. This brain drain is compounded by the departure of doctors and nurses for other countries. Botswana has more than a third of adults in their prime infected with H.I.V., has sought professionals from poorer countries, which have their own AIDS crises, as well as India and Cuba. The shortage of people and a slow building of clinics, laboratories and drug warehouses have delayed the expansion of Botswana's AIDS program. It is two years since Botswana began a national effort to provide free drug treatment to the estimated 110,000 people who need it. So far only 10,000 are getting help. Botswana is paying 70% of its AIDS program and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the Merck Company Foundation, have each donated $50 million. President Bush has committed to $15 billion AIDS plan for Africa and the Caribbean, more than half of it for drug treatment.      November 13, 2003   New York Times* 009203

Congress Backs More Tech Visas.   Congress approved legislation to increase the number of visas for highly skilled foreign workers. The Senate voted 96 to 1 for the bill; the House passed it on a voice vote, and President Clinton is expected to sign it. Up to195,000 "H-1B visas" will be issued in each of the next three years, mainly to satisfy the voracious appetite of the burgeoning high-tech industry. In addition, initiatives are being sponsored by the Democrats to grant amnesty to illegal aliens who have been in the United States since 1986 and to ease restrictions for many immigrants. [Why is this important? Because the environment of the U.S. is impacted by population growth, currently at 1% a year, which would result in the doubling of the population in 70 years. In some areas the doubling will occur much faster. California, for example, will experience a doubling in 40-50 years if the current growth rate of 1.6% continues. Immigration contributes significantly to the U.S. population growth, perhaps as much as 60%, and may amount to 90% in the future if children of immigrants are included. In addition, Americans, including immigrants, tend to consume far out of proportion to the rest of the world. If Americans are going to accept immigration in large numbers, they should at least be prepared to tighten their belts considerably so that they don't impact the rest of the world with their overconsumption and contribution to global warming. The growing of the economy this way is a false economy that exploits the world's resources in order to continue, leading to eventual collapse when resources run out.] October 14, 2000   The Washington Post 004785

Immigrants for Reduction


Examine Mexico's Real Intent Before Reforming Immigration.   Why should Americans take a close look at the impacts of massive Mexican immigration? Mexican immigration differs from past immigration due to a combination of six factors: contiguity, scale, illegality, regional concentration, persistence, and historical presence. The BBC reported: "The Latinization of California is nothing short of a revolution. California will become a Spanish-speaking state within the next few years. And there is no incentive for them to assimilate into American society. Whether Latinos decide to push for greater autonomy or to seek closer ties to Mexico is up for grabs. In 2001, the pro-immigration New California Media reported that Mexico "continues to mourn the loss of half of its territory to the U.S.." Mexico is pushing hard for amnesty and benefits for millions of illegal Mexican migrants. Once naturalized, they could add tens of millions of future voters to the U.S. U.S.-born children, even of illegal immigrants and guest workers, are American citizens and could vote at 18. In 2001 Ernesto Ruffo Appel, then-border czar of Mexico, reportedly advised Mexican migrants: "If the border patrol agent finds you, try again." In 2004, the Mexican government published a guide with safety tips for Mexicans who want to illegally cross the U.S. border. In 1997, Ernest Zedillo, then-President of Mexico, declared "the Mexican nation extends beyond the territory enclosed by its borders and that Mexican migrants are a very important part of it." Activists across the country have campaigned to secure the right to vote for non-citizens and actively register voters. Bustamente, the lieutenant governor of California; and California State Senator Gil Cedillo, have pushed to grant driver's licenses to illegal aliens. The Mexican government and Mexican American leaders have lobbied very effectively. After California's voters approved the measure to deny public benefits to illegal immigrants, the Mexican American and other pro-illegal groups sued to overturn it. Many Mexican-American are patriotic. But many newcomers and their U.S.-born children can be mobilized by Mexico to vote according to Mexico's interests. U.S.-born Juan Hernandez, a member of Mexico President Vicente Fox's cabinet, has stated: "We are betting that the Mexican-American population in the United States...will think Mexico first." Indeed, many American citizens of Mexican descent have run for political offices in Mexico: Manuel de la Cruz wanted to make the U.S. a Mexican electoral district when he ran for Mexico's Congress. Americans should heed Charles Truxillo, a Mexican-American professor at the University of New Mexico. Truxillo warned. "No nation's borders have been permanent."   Karen Gaia says: This piece was written by an immigrant to the U.S. While I do not like to emphasize the cultural impact of population growth on a country of spoiled rich people, I do believe that each country must be responsible for it's own sustainability and thus the culture of that country must be respected. It cannot be overriden by a system that promotes corruption by allowing illegal entry to be rewarded with amnesty and looking the other way; which allows employers to hire people at illegal wages while the law looks the other way. Each country's boundaries must be protected in order for a country to maintain its own healthy environment. In the case of the US it is doubly important not to increase the number of super consumers whose impact is felt far beyond the borders of the U.S. But, perhaps it no longer matters. The U.S., in its greed, has consumed much of the world's oil, raped the planet with the aid of foreign financing of its debt, and is now reaching the end of its own economic rope. When the scales tip, perhaps Mexicans will no longer find the U.S. so attractive.   May 2005   The Record - Yeh Ling-Ling 017280

Yeh Ling-Ling, an Immigrant for Immigration Reduction.   "Vitamin A is a good thing. But too much of it is bad," says Ling-Ling. Though immigration is "not bad," the reason America has the problems of traffic congestion, sprawl, overcrowded schools, and pollution, with both native-born and immigrants being impacted, is largely because of the country's policy on immigration, which allows an estimated 1.2 million people to migrate, legally and illegally, to the U.S. per year. U.S. native born blacks are sometimes out-competed in jobs by immigrants. Born in Vietnam, Yeh Ling-Ling is the executive director of the Diversity Alliance for A Sustainable America. The group's advisory board includes minorities and immigrants, such as Rudolph Marshal, chairman of the Bay Area Black Media Coalition, Maria Hsia Chang, a professor at the University of Nevada, Reno, and physician Clay Ching. On the group's directors is Prof. Chair Frank L. Morris, who has testified before U.S. Congress on immigration's impact on blacks. The vice-chair is Indian American Vishwas More. Ling-Ling has the support of minority groups such as Latino Americans for Immigration Reform and Asian Americans for Border Control. The U.S. population is expected to double within 100 years, with immigration the biggest reason, according to the U. S. Census Bureau. Ling-ling says: "Let's say we live in a small house of two bedrooms and all of a sudden our best friends, our closest relatives that we love very much descended upon us, and want to live with us forever -- scores of them -- what do you think the reaction would be?" She wants the government to encourage other countries to take care of their people rather than have them immigrate to the U.S.   February 17, 2000   Asian Week 004768

Diversity Alliance for a Sustainable America.     004753

Immigration to California, New York, Florida


California: Decrease in White Population Forecast.   California white population will decrease from 77% in 1970 to 30% in 2040, while Hispanic population goes from 13% in 1977 to 48% in 2040.
Year Total Pop White Pop Percent White Hispanic Pop Percent Hispanic Asian Pop Percent Asian Black Pop Percent Black Indian Pop Percent Indian
1970 20038286 15480723 77.26% 2423085 12.09% 671077 3.35% 1379563 6.88% 83838 0.42%
1975 21537828 15450807 71.74% 3452528 16.03% 943450 4.38% 1568542 7.28% 122501 0.57%
1980 23780068 15949865 67.07% 4615231 19.41% 1257019 5.29% 1793663 7.54% 164290 0.69%
1985 26402633 16216876